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Insight posts
Insight posts
Global technical alliances will help drive future research but could also provoke geopolitical tensions.
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Signals
https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-trade-is-shifting-not-reversing-11672457528
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Wall Street Journal
This article from the Wall Street Journal discusses how global trade is shifting, rather than reversing. The author argues that despite ongoing disruptions caused by COVID-19, technology and protectionism, the global economy continues to become more interdependent while international boundaries become increasingly blurred. Examples of this include increasing digitalization in global commerce, increasing opportunities for collaboration between companies through joint ventures and strategic alliances, as well as the rise of regional trading blocs such as ASEAN. Despite challenges posed by trade wars and geopolitical tensions, these changes will shape global trade for years to come. To read more, use the button below to open the original external article.
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https://www.nationalreview.com/magazine/2019/08/26/the-coming-migration-out-of-sub-saharan-africa
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National Review
It could send millions to Europe.
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https://www.highnorthnews.com/en/us-will-not-increase-presence-arctic-until-2025
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High North News
The U.S.’ new icebreaker will only rarely travel to the Arctic, Coast Guard Commandant says. At the same time National Security Advisor says the U.S. will challenge Russia’s military influence in the region. Are the U.S’ Arctic ambitions all bark and no bite?
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https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/why-russia-and-china-are-expanding-their-roles-afghanistan
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Stratfor
Moscow's and Beijing's growing involvement in Afghanistan will challenge Washington's influence and enable Pakistan to deflect U.S. pressure.
FUTURE TIMELINE
COUNTRY FORECASTS
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https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2018/09/ab-testing-foreign-aid/570325/
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The Atlantic
For the first time, USAID compared a traditional intervention to a simple cash transfer.
FUTURE TIMELINE
COUNTRY FORECASTS
26564
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u0eJK4Avk2M&feature=youtu.be
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FDCC
For those of you who missed the Winter Meeting check out the fascinating discussion of our opening speaker, Peter Zeihan, on the current state of geopolitics...
FUTURE TIMELINE
COUNTRY FORECASTS
25320
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https://www.pewresearch.org/2020/10/05/in-u-s-and-uk-globalization-leaves-some-feeling-left-behind-or-swept-up/
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Pew Research Center
Focus groups held across the two nations reveal the degree to which Americans and Britons see common challenges to local and national identity.
FUTURE TIMELINE
COUNTRY FORECASTS
26070
Signals
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-09-21/africa-economy-west-should-try-to-match-chinese-investment?srnd=premium
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Bloomberg
FUTURE TIMELINE
COUNTRY FORECASTS
26713
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/09/26/data-dump-that-reveals-astonishing-breadth-beijings-interference-operations/
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Washington Post
Beijing is keeping track of everyone who matters around the world.
FUTURE TIMELINE
COUNTRY FORECASTS
23354
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https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/30/magazine/how-to-hide-400-million.html
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The New York Times
When a wealthy businessman set out to divorce his wife, their fortune vanished. The quest to find it would reveal the depths of an offshore financial system bigger than the U.S. economy.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_K0sis46To
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VisualPolitik EN
European Union does not want to follow the Iran sanctions passed by America. Nonetheless, Donald Trump wants to force European companies to cut their relatio...
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https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/apr/11/day-zero-water-crises-spain-morocco-india-and-iraq-at-risk-as-dams-shrink
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The Guardian
A new early warning satellite system reveals countries where shrinking reservoirs could lead to the taps completely drying up
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https://www.france24.com/en/20200328-france-issues-call-to-buy-french-as-coronavirus-erodes-single-market
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France24
As the coronavirus pandemic continues to wreak havoc on the Eurozone’s economy, French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire issued a rallying cry to the nation’s supermarkets on 24 March: ‘Stock French pr…
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https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change-asia-glaciers-shrinking-himalayas-science-a8934901.html
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Independent
'It could cause people to migrate and if you can’t migrate, it might cause conflict as people will need to fight with their neighbours for food'
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https://www.nature.com/news/south-korea-trumpets-860-million-ai-fund-after-alphago-shock-1.19595
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Nature
Historic win by Google DeepMind's Go-playing program has South Korean government playing catch-up on artificial intelligence.
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https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2017/1/30/14346766/drug-war-failure-evolution
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Vox
Evolution could have predicted the failure of the war on drugs.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1tECHzB-uCM
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Youtube - Al Jazeera English
Russia is back in the Central African Republic(CAR). In a military training base located on former palace grounds southwest of the capital Bangui, hundreds o...
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https://www.quantumrun.com/qr_dev/chinas-giant-400-billion-iran-investment-complicates-us-options
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South China Morning Post
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https://worldview.stratfor.com/life-expectancy-pension-retirement-age
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Stratfor
Increased life expectancies will put extra strain on the world economy, as this infographic from Visual Capitalist explains. It's a Pension Time Bomb
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https://www.newclimateforpeace.org/sites/default/files/NewClimateForPeace_all_graphics_png/NewClimateForPeace_Heat%20Map%20-%20-Where%20is%20the%20highest%20risk%20of%20water%20conflict-.png
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New Climate for Peace
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https://foreignpolicy.com/2016/08/27/the-west-can-have-burkinis-or-democracy-but-not-both/
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Foreign Policy
Elites can overturn Islamophobic laws, but the public's illiberalism isn't going anywhere.