India predictions for 2030

Read 52 predictions about India in 2030, a year that will see this country experience significant change in its politics, economics, technology, culture, and environment. It’s your future, discover what you’re in for.

Quantumrun Foresight prepared this list; A trend intelligence consulting firm that uses strategic foresight to help companies thrive from future trends in foresight. This is just one of many possible futures society may experience.

International relations predictions for India in 2030

International relations predictions to impact India in 2030 include:

  • Climate change and growing populations in India and Pakistan put too much stress on the Indus Basin, resulting in a severe drought, escalating tensions between the two nations. Likelihood: 60%1

Politics predictions for India in 2030

Politics related predictions to impact India in 2030 include:

  • Has a water-sharing pact between Pakistan and India grown stagnant?.Link

Government predictions for India in 2030

Government related predictions to impact India in 2030 include:

  • India mandates new laws to reduce waste generated from the renewable energy sector, namely solar e-waste, which reached 1.8 million tonnes this year. Likelihood: 60%1
  • India stares at pile of solar e-waste.Link
  • Greenhouse gas emissions up 22% between 2010 and 2014.Link
  • Has a water-sharing pact between Pakistan and India grown stagnant?.Link

Economy predictions for India in 2030

Economy related predictions to impact India in 2030 include:

  • Lost labor hours due to increasing heat and humidity leads to a USD $150–250-billion loss for the economy. Likelihood: 60 percent1
  • Average household income grows 2.6x from 2019 levels. Likelihood: 60 percent1
  • India's digital economy reaches USD $800 billion, up from USD $90 billion in 2020, primarily driven by online retail. Likelihood: 70 percent1
  • The online retail market grows to USD $350 billion in gross merchandise value from USD $55 billion in 2020. Likelihood: 70 percent1
  • India loses 6% of working hours due to climate change, namely heat stress. That number was 4.3% in 1995. Likelihood: 90%1
  • India is quietly laying claim to economic superpower status.Link
  • United States will drop to become the world's third biggest economy behind China and India by 2030, new financial rankings suggest.Link
  • India could face productivity loss equivalent to 34 million jobs in 2030 due to global warming .Link
  • India may get rid of extreme poverty by 2030, under 3% to remain poor by 2020.Link
  • India to be lone economy facing suppressed wages by 2030.Link

Technology predictions for India in 2030

Technology related predictions to impact India in 2030 include:

  • The secret space race - why India's timing of the ASAT tests were of utmost importance.Link

Culture predictions for India in 2030

Culture related predictions to impact India in 2030 include:

Defense predictions for in 2030

Defense related predictions to impact India in 2030 include:

  • India now has a small fleet of hypersonic missiles, weapons that combine the speed of a ballistic missile with the maneuvering capabilities of a cruise missile. Likelihood: 60%1
  • India now possesses anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons, which can destroy satellites, since the country first test-fired the weapon back in 2019. Likelihood: 60%1
  • The secret space race - why India's timing of the ASAT tests were of utmost importance.Link
  • India’s quest to develop hypersonic weapons.Link

Infrastructure predictions for India in 2030

Infrastructure related predictions to impact India in 2030 include:

  • India sources 50% of its energy requirements from renewables. Likelihood: 65 percent.1
  • Battery storage in India reaches 601 gigawatts per hour (GWh), a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44.5% in annual demand from 2022 levels. Likelihood: 65 percent.1
  • The government increases renewable-energy capacity to 500 gigawatts, double 2021's input. Likelihood: 60 percent1
  • Conglomerate Reliance Industries produces 100 gigawatts of renewable energy, a fifth of India''s target for non-fossil capacity. Likelihood: 65 percent1
  • The country’s green hydrogen production reaches 5 million tonnes. Likelihood: 60 percent1

Environment predictions for India in 2030

Environment related predictions to impact India in 2030 include:

  • Temperatures during the most severe heat waves in the hottest parts of India breach 34 degrees wet-bulb. Likelihood: 60 percent1
  • About 160–200 million people in urban areas have a non-zero annual probability of experiencing a lethal heatwave. Likelihood: 60 percent1
  • The number of daylight hours during which outdoor work is unsafe due to high temperatures increases by approximately 15%. Likelihood: 60 percent1
  • India reduces emissions intensity by 45% and transitions to approximately 50% electric power from non-fossil-based sources. Likelihood: 65 percent1
  • India electrifies its entire railway network, all 75,000 miles of it. Likelihood: 70%1
  • India restores 26 million hectares of degraded land, beating its original target of 21 million hectares. Likelihood: 60%1
  • After Indian Railways sourced 10% of its electricity needs in 2020, the company is now a net-zero carbon emitter. Likelihood: 70%1
  • India adds 500 gigawatts of renewable energy capacity, up from 175 gigawatts in 2020. Likelihood: 90%1
  • India reduces the 2014 peak of 2.6 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide released by 34%. Likelihood: 60%1
  • India released 1.60 metric tons of CO2 emissions per capita in 2012. Today, that figure is now double. Likelihood: 90%1
  • India plans to add 500 GW renewable energy by 2030.Link
  • Indian Railways to become 'net zero' carbon emitter by 2030.Link
  • India will restore 26 million hectares of degraded land by 2030.Link
  • India to decarbonize national railway network by 2030.Link
  • Guest post: India’s emissions will double at most by 2030.Link

Science predictions for India in 2030

Science related predictions to impact India in 2030 include:

  • India now regularly builds and utilizes reusable rockets for its national space agency. Likelihood: 65 percent1
  • The Indian space sector reaches more than USD $1 trillion in annual revenues. Likelihood: 65 percent1
  • After India sent astronauts to the moon as part of its Gaganyaan project in 2022, the country launches its first space station to accommodate astronauts for up to 20 days. The space station is orbiting Earth at an altitude of ~400 km. Likelihood: 70%1

Health predictions for India in 2030

Health related predictions to impact India in 2030 include:

  • India adds 30 gigawatts of offshore wind plants. The first project started in 2018 and was only 1 gigawatt. Likelihood: 70%1
  • 21 Indian cities ran out of groundwater in 2020. Today, that number rises to 30 as demand outpaces supply. Likelihood: 90%1
  • Ninety-eight million people in India now have Type 2 diabetes, up 69 million 15 years ago. Likelihood: 80%1
  • India eradicates malaria across the country. Likelihood: 60%1
  • India’s ‘worst water crisis in its history’ is only going to get worse, government think tank says.Link
  • India aims to add 30GW of offshore wind plants by 2030.Link
  • ICMR launches 'MERA India' to eliminate malaria by 2030 .Link
  • Diabetes epidemic: 98 million people in India may have type 2 diabetes by 2030.Link

More predictions from 2030

Read the top global predictions from 2030 - click here

Next scheduled update for this resource page

January 7, 2022. Last updated January 7, 2020.

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