United Kingdom predictions for 2024

Read 45 predictions about the United Kingdom in 2024, a year that will see this country experience significant change in its politics, economics, technology, culture, and environment. It’s your future, discover what you’re in for.

Quantumrun Foresight prepared this list; A trend intelligence consulting firm that uses strategic foresight to help companies thrive from future trends in foresight. This is just one of many possible futures society may experience.

International relations predictions for the United Kingdom in 2024

International relations predictions to impact the United Kingdom in 2024 include:

Politics predictions for the United Kingdom in 2024

Politics related predictions to impact the United Kingdom in 2024 include:

  • As at-home battery storage grows to over 550MW across Europe, the UK continues to lag due to unfavorable tax hikes on battery storage. Likelihood: 70%1
  • UK risks losing out to Europe in home battery boom, report warns.Link
  • Britain's 'sharing economy' is creating a desperate servant underclass.Link

Government predictions for the United Kingdom in 2024

Government related predictions to impact the United Kingdom in 2024 include:

  • The Creative Industries Independent Standards Authority starts to investigate bullying and harassment cases in the UK entertainment industry. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • Employer fines for a first breach increases from £15,000 to £45,000 for each employee found to be working without permission or in breach of their visa conditions. Likelihood: 90 percent.1
  • The government endorses the new UK sustainability corporate disclosure standards based on the International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB). Likelihood: 80 percent.1
  • The UK State Pension Bill costs the Treasury £10 billion more due to wage increase. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • PayPal continues to prohibit UK customers to buy cryptocurrencies through its platform to comply with new UK rules on crypto promotions. Likelihood: 75 percent.1
  • International students can no longer bring dependants, unless they are in postgraduate programmes with a research focus. Likelihood: 80 percent.1
  • Rail fare increase is below inflation rate as the government continues to work to bring down inflation. Likelihood: 75 percent.1
  • UK airports significantly relax limits on taking liquids in carry-on luggage, from less than 100ml to 2 liters. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • The Border Target Operating Model (BTOM) requires new export health certificates for medium- and high-risk food products from the EU. Likelihood: 75 percent.1
  • The Department for Work and Pensions resumes helping claimants move to Universal Credit. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • The Department for Food, Environment and Rural Affairs' Seasonal Workers visa scheme expires. Likelihood: 80 percent.1
  • From September, eligible parents get 15 free childcare hours from nine months until their children start school. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • UK risks losing out to Europe in home battery boom, report warns.Link
  • Britain's 'sharing economy' is creating a desperate servant underclass.Link

Economy predictions for the United Kingdom in 2024

Economy related predictions to impact the United Kingdom in 2024 include:

  • The Bank of England keeps interest rates high due to weaker growth and persistent inflation. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • The spending power of workers in some parts of the UK is still below the pre-pandemic level (except in London and some parts of the South). Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • From discount stores, supermarkets, to online retailers, customers have more options than ever, and the total value of the UK food and grocery industry grows to GBP 217.7 billion this year. This is a GBP 24.1 billion growth since 2019. Likelihood: 80%1
  • Unemployment numbers continue to rise now that artificial intelligence technology has replaced 1 in 5 retail workers. Likelihood: 80%1
  • UK government earns a total of 20.6 billion pounds selling its remaining shares in the Royal Bank of Scotland. Likelihood: 75%1
  • 500,000 UK retail jobs to be replaced by robots by 2024.Link
  • UK food sales to reach £24 billion by 2024.Link
  • Britain's 'sharing economy' is creating a desperate servant underclass.Link

Technology predictions for the United Kingdom in 2024

Technology related predictions to impact the United Kingdom in 2024 include:

  • The Advanced Mobility Ecosystem Consortium conducts initial test flights for its flying taxi service at private airfields between Heathrow and Bristol airports. Likelihood: 65 percent.1

Culture predictions for the United Kingdom in 2024

Culture related predictions to impact the United Kingdom in 2024 include:

  • UK’s new British alternative to Disneyland is now open! Called Paramount London, the theme park has rides, excursions, hotels, and restaurants galore. Likelihood: 40%1
  • Plans reveal incredible ''UK Disneyland'' set to open in 2024.Link

Defense predictions for in 2024

Defense related predictions to impact the United Kingdom in 2024 include:

  • The UK defense spending totals USD $32 billion since 2020. Likelihood: 70 percent1

Infrastructure predictions for the United Kingdom in 2024

Infrastructure related predictions to impact the United Kingdom in 2024 include:

  • Construction growth increases by 12% in 2024 and 3% in 2025. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • New rules are introduced to ensure all new homes and non-domestic buildings in Scotland use renewable or low-carbon heating. Likelihood: 80 percent1
  • Shopping centers, retail parks, pubs, restaurants, and leisure centers across the UK now home to over 2,000 new, pay-as-you-go, rapid electric vehicle charging stations. Likelihood: 90%1
  • Government incentives and increased supply of electric vehicles (EVs) help to boost the UK EV market to values of GBP 4.1 billion, a 14% growth since 2018. Likelihood: 90%1
  • 85% of UK homes now equipped with smart meters that allow individuals to see and understand how they are using their energy and how much it costs, with no added hassle or estimations. Likelihood: 80%1
  • A smart meter every 7 seconds to equip 85% of UK consumers by 2024.Link
  • UK's rapid EV charging stock 'to double by 2024'.Link

Environment predictions for the United Kingdom in 2024

Environment related predictions to impact the United Kingdom in 2024 include:

  • The Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate requires that 22 percent of all new cars and 10 percent of all new vans sold must be zero-emission. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • The UK becomes the world's largest e-waste contributor, overtaking Norway. Likelihood: 75 percent.1
  • The UK emissions trading scheme (ETS) is modified to tighten limits on carbon dioxide pollution and projected to expand in 2026 to include new sectors. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • The requirement for construction developers to deliver biodiversity net gain (BNG) of 10% begins. Likelihood: 75 percent.1
  • Great Britain no longer use coal to generate electricity, a year earlier than planned. Likelihood: 65 percent.1
  • UK electric vehicle market to reach $ 5.4 billion by 2024.Link

Science predictions for the United Kingdom in 2024

Science related predictions to impact the United Kingdom in 2024 include:

Health predictions for the United Kingdom in 2024

Health related predictions to impact the United Kingdom in 2024 include:

  • COVID-19 vaccine boosters become available for private sale. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • Research and development for new antibiotics, diagnostics, and vaccines have led to a 15% decrease in human antibiotic use. Likelihood: 60%1
  • UK aims to cut antibiotics 15% in 5-year AMR plan.Link

More predictions from 2024

Read the top global predictions from 2024 - click here

Next scheduled update for this resource page

January 7, 2022. Last updated January 7, 2020.

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