Nā wānana no 2023 | Ka wā e hiki mai ana
Heluhelu i nā wānana 422 no 2023, he makahiki e ʻike ai i ka hoʻololi ʻana o ka honua i nā ala nui a liʻiliʻi; e pili ana kēia i nā pilikia ma ko mākou moʻomeheu, ʻenehana, ʻepekema, olakino a me nā ʻoihana ʻoihana. ʻO kou wā e hiki mai ana, e ʻike i kāu mea e komo ai.
Quantumrun Foresight hoʻomākaukau i kēia papa inoa; A naʻauao ʻano hui kūkākūkā e hoʻohana ana ʻike maka e kōkua i nā ʻoihana e holomua mai ka wā e hiki mai ana nā ʻano i ka ʻike maka. ʻO kēia wale nō kekahi o nā mea e hiki mai ana e ʻike ʻia e ke kaiāulu.
Nā wānana wikiwiki no 2023
- Ua aneane pālua ka mana polysilicon honua ma ka hopena o kēia makahiki i 536 GW i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 295 GW i 2022 Likelihood: 70 pakeneka1
- Ua ʻae nā ʻāina i kahi kuʻikahi honua e kauoha ana i nā ʻoihana nui loa, me ka ʻenehana nui, e uku hou aku i ka ʻauhau ʻoihana ma waho a me kahi hapa liʻiliʻi ma ko lākou ʻāina home. Likelike: 60 pakeneka1
- ʻO 65% o ka heluna kanaka o ka honua e mālama ʻia kāna ʻikepili pilikino e nā hoʻoponopono pilikino. Likelike: 80 pakeneka1
- Pono nā lālā o ka United Nations-backed Race to Zero e hoʻopaʻa i ka hoʻomohala ʻana, kālā, a me ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻana i nā waiwai wahie fossil hou, me ka pāpā ʻana i nā papahana lanahu e hiki mai ana. Likelike: 55 pakeneka1
- Hoʻokō ka European Union i ka European Sustainability Reporting Standards (ESRSs) no nā hui hoihoi lehulehu me nā limahana ʻoi aku ma mua o 500. Likelike: 70 pakeneka1
- Hoʻomaka ka European Space Agency i ka Hera Mission, kahi ʻōnaehana asteroid binary i hoʻolālā ʻia e ʻike i nā asteroid hoʻoweliweli i nā hebedoma ma mua o ko lākou hiki ʻana i ka Honua. Likelike: 60 pakeneka1
- ʻO ka mikiona OSIRIS-REx, i hoʻokuʻu ʻia i ka makahiki 2016 e kipa aku i ka asteroid Bennu, e hoʻihoʻi i kahi laʻana 2.1 auneke o ke kino pōhaku i ka Honua. Likelike: 60 pakeneka1
- ʻO ka mākeke hui no nā PC a me nā papa e hōʻemi i ka 2.6 pakeneka ma mua o ka hoʻi ʻana i ka ulu i 2024. Likelihood: 80 pakeneka1
- Hoʻomaka ʻo NASA a me Axiom Space i ka lua o ka huakaʻi astronaut pilikino i ka International Space Station ma luna o SpaceX rockets. Likelike: 80 pakeneka1
- Hoʻokumu ka Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency i ka ukali lāʻau mua o ka honua. Likelike: 60 pakeneka1
- Ua lilo ka maʻi maʻi maʻi COVID-19 i ka hopena ma nā pae haʻahaʻa ma ka honua. E hoʻomau mau ʻia ʻo Kina i nā hopena koʻikoʻi ma muli o ka nele o ka pale ʻana o ka lehulehu. Likelike: 70 pakeneka1
- Ke kūʻai aku nei ʻo General Motors i 20 mau hiʻohiʻona kaʻa uila holoʻokoʻa, e hui pū ana i nā kaʻa uila a me ka wahie-cell-electric. Likelike: 70 pakeneka1
- Ke paʻa mau nei nā mākeke kinoea honua i ka emi ʻana o ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia ʻana o ke kinoea pipeline o Rūsia, e mālama ana i nā kumukūʻai ikehu kiʻekiʻe, ʻoiai ke hāʻule nei ke koi kinoea ma ʻEulopa ma muli o nā hana hoʻopakele ikehu. Likelike: 80 pakeneka1
- Hoʻomaka ka mea hana kaʻina hana Intel i ke kūkulu ʻana i ʻelua mau hale hana kaʻina hana ma Kelemānia, ke kumu kūʻai ma kahi o $ 17 biliona kālā a manaʻo ʻia e hoʻopuka i nā pahu kamepiula me ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā ʻenehana transistor kiʻekiʻe loa. Likelike: 70 pakeneka1
- ʻO ka papahana SOLARIS o ka European Space Agency, i hoʻolālā ʻia e aʻo i ka hiki ke kūkulu ʻia ʻo Space-Based Solar Power. Likelike: 70 pakeneka1
- Ua hoʻopau ka mea hoʻomohala pākaukau Suedena, ʻo Northvolt, i ke kūkulu ʻana i ka hale hana pākaukau lithium-ion nui loa o ʻEulopa ma Skellefteå i kēia makahiki. Likelihood: 90 pakeneka1
- I kēia makahiki, loaʻa iā Sepania ka ʻāpana kiʻekiʻe loa o nā māla waina i hōʻoia ʻia, he 160,000 mau ʻeka, he ʻekolu ʻekolu i ka mea i loaʻa i ka ʻāina i ka makahiki 2013. Likelihood: 100 Percent1
- ʻO ke kūlanakauhale "naʻauao" mua o ʻEulopa, ʻo Elysium City, e wehe ʻia ma Sepania i kēia makahiki. Ua kūkulu ʻia ka papahana hoʻomau mai ka wā ʻuʻuku a hoʻohana ʻia e ka ikehu lā, a me nā hiʻohiʻona ʻē aʻe. Likelihood: 90 pakeneka1
- Hoʻopuka ka Bank of Mexico (Banxico) i kahi bila $2,000 pesos i kēia makahiki. Hiki paha: 60%1
- Hoʻopau ʻo Mekiko i ka lawe ʻana i ka ʻaila ma kēia makahiki ma hope o ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i kona hiki i ka home e hoʻomaʻemaʻe i ka ʻaila. Hiki paha: 90%1
- Hiki ke hoʻololi i nā genes e hoʻololi i nā pilikia kino āpau i nā mana ʻōpio 1
- E hoʻopili ʻia ka 10 pakeneka o nā aniani heluhelu i ka pūnaewele. 1
- ʻO ka waiwai o ka mea kūʻai aku i nā lawelawe hoʻolimalima peer-to-peer hiki i $ 100.4bn i ka waiwai i kēia makahiki ma ka honua holoʻokoʻa, kahi lele o 40 pakeneka i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 2017. Likelihood: 80%1
- Hoʻopau ʻo Kina i ke kūkulu ʻana i kahi mega-laser (100-pewatt laser pulses) ikaika loa, hiki iā ia ke hoʻokaʻawale i kahi ākea; ʻo ia hoʻi, hiki iā ia ke hana i nā mea mai ka ikehu. Hiki paha: 70%1
- Hoʻopaʻa piha ʻo Malaysia i ka Advanced Passenger Screening System e hiki ai ke nānā i nā malihini ma mua o ka pae ʻana i ka ʻāina ma o ka nānā ʻana i kā lākou ʻikepili me nā moʻolelo mai ka Immigration Department, Royal Malaysian Police (PDRM), a me International Criminal Police Organization (Interpol). Hiki paha: 75%1
- Loaʻa iā Munich nā puka pale paepae ma kāna ʻōnaehana U-Bahn. Hiki paha: 75%1
- Ke hoʻomau nei ʻo India i ke kūʻai ʻana i nā mea kaua mai Rūsia, e hoʻopiʻi ana i kāna pilina pale i hānai ʻia me ka US ma 2018. Likelihood: 60%1
- Ke holo pono nei ke kauoha cyber o NATO, e hana ana e pale aku i ka poe hackers kamepiula mai kela aoao o ka EU. (90%)1
- Hāʻawi hope ʻo UN i ka hoʻolālā e hoʻemi i ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia e ka ʻoihana moku honua. 1
- ʻO 90 ka nui o ka heluna kanaka o ka honua e loaʻa kahi supercomputer i kā lākou ʻeke. 1
- E pau ana ka "super sewer" hou o Ladana. 1
- Ua hoʻopau ʻo Australia a me New Zealand i ka hoʻomohala ʻana o SBAS i kēia makahiki, ʻo ia ka ʻenehana satelite e kuhikuhi i kahi wahi ma ka Honua i loko o 10 mau kenimika, e wehe ana ma mua o $7.5 biliona i nā pōmaikaʻi no nā ʻoihana ma nā ʻāina ʻelua. Hiki paha: 90%1
- E loaʻa i ka 80 pakeneka o ka poʻe ma ka honua kahi kikohoʻe ma ka pūnaewele. 1
- ʻO ke aupuni mua i pani i kāna helu helu me nā ʻenehana ʻikepili nui. 1
- Hoʻokumu ʻia ka pale ōlaʻi acoustic e pale i nā kūlanakauhale mai nā ʻōlaʻi e hoʻomaka ana e ʻike i ka hoʻohana mua ʻana. 1
- Hiki ke hoʻololi i nā genes e hoʻololi i nā pilikia kino āpau i nā mana ʻōpio. 1
- ʻO ke aupuni mua i pani i kāna helu helu me nā ʻenehana ʻikepili nui 1
- E hoʻopili ʻia ka 10% o nā aniani heluhelu i ka pūnaewele. 1
- 80% o ka poʻe ma ka honua e loaʻa i kahi kikohoʻe ma ka pūnaewele. 1
- 90% o ka heluna kanaka o ka honua e loaʻa kahi supercomputer i kā lākou ʻeke. 1
- Hoʻokumu ʻia ka pale ōlaʻi acoustic e pale i nā kūlanakauhale mai nā ʻōlaʻi e hoʻomaka ana e ʻike i ka hoʻohana mua ʻana 1
- Ua ʻae nā ʻāina i kahi kuʻikahi honua e kauoha ana i nā ʻoihana nui loa, me ka ʻenehana nui, e uku hou aku i ka ʻauhau ʻoihana ma waho a me kahi hapa liʻiliʻi ma ko lākou ʻāina home. 1
- ʻO 65% o ka heluna kanaka o ka honua e mālama ʻia kāna ʻikepili pilikino e nā hoʻoponopono pilikino. 1
- Pono nā lālā o ka United Nations-backed Race to Zero e hoʻopaʻa i ka hoʻomohala ʻana, kālā, a me ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa ʻana i nā waiwai wahie fossil hou, me ka pāpā ʻana i nā papahana lanahu e hiki mai ana. 1
- Hoʻokō ka European Union i nā European Sustainability Reporting Standards (ESRSs) no nā ʻoihana hoihoi lehulehu me nā limahana ʻoi aku ma mua o 500. 1
- Hoʻomaka ka European Space Agency i ka Hera Mission, kahi ʻōnaehana asteroid binary i hoʻolālā ʻia e ʻike i nā asteroid hoʻoweliweli i nā hebedoma ma mua o ko lākou hiki ʻana i ka Honua. 1
- ʻO ka mikiona OSIRIS-REx, i hoʻokuʻu ʻia i ka makahiki 2016 e kipa aku i ka asteroid Bennu, e hoʻihoʻi i kahi laʻana 2.1 auneke o ke kino pōhaku i ka Honua. 1
- ʻO ka mākeke hui no nā PC a me nā papa e hoʻemi i ka 2.6 pakeneka ma mua o ka hoʻi ʻana i ka ulu i 2024. 1
- Hoʻomaka ʻo NASA a me Axiom Space i ka lua o ka huakaʻi astronaut pilikino i ka International Space Station ma luna o SpaceX rockets. 1
- Hoʻokumu ka Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency i ka ukali lāʻau mua o ka honua. 1
- Pau ka maʻi maʻi COVID-19. 1
- Ke kūʻai aku nei ʻo General Motors i nā kaʻa kaʻa uila holoʻokoʻa he 20, e hui pū ana i nā kaʻa uila uila a me ka wahie-cell-electric. 1
- Ke paʻa mau nei nā mākeke kinoea honua i ka emi ʻana o ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia ʻana o ke kinoea pipeline o Rūsia, e mālama ana i nā kumukūʻai ikehu kiʻekiʻe, ʻoiai ke hāʻule nei ke koi kinoea ma ʻEulopa ma muli o nā hana hoʻopakele ikehu. 1
- Ua aneane pālua ka mana polysilicon honua ma ka hopena o kēia makahiki i ka 536 GW i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 295 GW i 2022. 1
- Hāʻawi hope ʻo UN i ka hoʻolālā e hoʻemi i ka hoʻokuʻu ʻia e ka ʻoihana moku honua. 1
- ʻO ke aupuni mua i pani i kāna helu helu me nā ʻenehana ʻikepili nui 1
- E hoʻopili ʻia ka 10% o nā aniani heluhelu i ka pūnaewele. 1
- 80% o ka poʻe ma ka honua e loaʻa i kahi kikohoʻe ma ka pūnaewele. 1
- 90% o ka heluna kanaka o ka honua e loaʻa kahi supercomputer i kā lākou ʻeke. 1
- Hoʻokumu ʻia ka pale ōlaʻi acoustic e pale i nā kūlanakauhale mai nā ʻōlaʻi e hoʻomaka ana e ʻike i ka hoʻohana mua ʻana 1
- Hiki ke hoʻololi i nā genes e hoʻololi i nā pilikia kino āpau i nā mana ʻōpio 1
- ʻO ke kumu kūʻai o nā paneli lā, no ka watt, ua like ia me 1 kālā ʻAmelika 1
- Ua wānana ʻia ka heluna kanaka o ka honua i ka 7,991,396,000 1
- ʻO ke kūʻai aku ʻana o nā kaʻa uila i ka honua a hiki i 8,546,667 1
- He 66 exabytes i wānana ʻia ka holo ʻana o ka pūnaewele puni honua 1
- Ke piʻi nei ka hele ʻana o ka pūnaewele puni honua i 302 exabytes 1
Nā wānana ʻāina no 2023
Heluhelu i nā wānana e pili ana i 2023 kikoʻī i nā ʻāina, me:
Nā wānana ʻenehana no 2023
ʻO nā wānana e pili ana i ka ʻenehana ma muli o ka hopena i 2023 e komo pū ana:
- ʻO ka ʻoihana nui e hiki mai ana ma hope o nā kaʻa kaʻa ponoʻī: Future of Transportation P2
- Ke piʻi aʻe o nā mea kōkua virtual-powered data: Future of the Internet P3
- Pehea e hoʻololi ai ka naʻauao mua Artificial General: ʻO ka wā e hiki mai ana o ka naʻauao artificial P2
- ʻO Artificial Intelligence ka uila o ka lā ʻapōpō: Future of artificial intelligence P1
- No ke aha e hoʻokūkū nei nā ʻāina e kūkulu i nā supercomputers nui loa? ʻO ka wā e hiki mai ana o nā kamepiula P6
Nūhou pāʻoihana no 2023
ʻO nā wānana e pili ana i ka ʻoihana ma muli o ka hopena i 2023 ka:
Nā wānana moʻomeheu no 2023
ʻO nā wānana e pili ana i ka moʻomeheu ma muli o ka hopena i ka makahiki 2023, penei:
- Nā hana e ola ai i ka automation: Future of Work P3
- Ke ala o ke kaʻa uila: Future of Energy P3
- E hoʻouka kaua a hoʻopau paha? Hoʻoponopono hou i nā mākaʻi no ke kenekulia 21: ka wā e hiki mai ana o ka mākaʻi P1
- ʻO Geopolitics o ka pūnaewele unhinged: Future of the Internet P9
- ʻO nā ʻano e hoʻoikaika ana i kā mākou ʻōnaehana hoʻonaʻauao i ka hoʻololi ʻana: Ka wā e hiki mai ana o ka hoʻonaʻauao P1
Nā wānana ʻepekema no 2023
ʻO nā wānana e pili ana i ka ʻepekema ma muli o ka hopena ma 2023:
Nā wānana olakino no 2023
ʻO nā wānana e pili ana i ke olakino ma muli o ka hopena i 2023 ka:
- Ke kuleana ma luna o kou olakino i helu ʻia: Future of Health P7
- Hoʻopili ka mālama olakino pololei i kāu genome: Future of Health P3
- ʻO ka mālama olakino e kokoke ana i kahi hoʻololi: Future of Health P1