Kutha kwa nyama mu 2035: Tsogolo la Chakudya P2

Pali mwambi wakale womwe ndidapanga womwe ukunena motere: Simungakhale ndi njala popanda kukhala ndi pakamwa pambiri kuti mudye.

Ena mwa inu mwachibadwa amaona kuti mwambiwo ndi woona. Koma si chithunzi chonsecho. Ndipotu, si kuchuluka kwa anthu komwe kumayambitsa njala, koma chikhalidwe cha zilakolako zawo. Mwa kuyankhula kwina, ndi zakudya za mibadwo yamtsogolo zomwe zidzabweretsa mtsogolo momwe kusowa kwa chakudya kudzakhala kofala.

Mu gawo loyamba za mndandanda wa Tsogolo la Chakudya, tidakambirana za momwe kusintha kwanyengo kudzakhudzire kuchuluka kwa chakudya chomwe tingapeze mzaka makumi angapo zikubwerazi. M'ndime zomwe zili pansipa, tikulitsa zomwe zikuchitika kuti tiwone momwe kuchuluka kwa anthu omwe akuchulukirachulukira padziko lonse lapansi kudzakhudzira mitundu yazakudya zomwe tidzasangalale nazo m'mbale zathu zamadzulo m'zaka zikubwerazi.

Kufika pachimake cha anthu

Khulupirirani kapena ayi, pali uthenga wabwino pamene tikukamba za kukula kwa chiwerengero cha anthu: Kukucheperachepera ponseponse. Komabe, vuto likadali loti kukwera kwa kuchuluka kwa anthu padziko lonse lapansi kuyambira kale, mibadwo yokonda ana, idzatenga zaka zambiri kuti ithe. Ichi ndichifukwa chake ngakhale pakutsika kwa kubadwa kwathu padziko lonse lapansi, zomwe tikuyembekezera chiwerengero cha anthu 2040 adzakhala tsitsi loposa anthu mabiliyoni asanu ndi anayi. NINE BILIYONI.

Pofika chaka cha 2015, pakali pano tili pa 7.3 biliyoni. Mabiliyoni awiri owonjezerawo akuyembekezeka kubadwira ku Africa ndi Asia, pomwe anthu aku America ndi ku Europe akuyembekezeka kukhala pompopompo kapena atsika m'magawo omwe asankhidwa. Chiwerengero cha anthu padziko lonse lapansi chikuyembekezeka kukwera pa 11 biliyoni kumapeto kwa zaka za zana lino, tisanatsike pang'onopang'ono kubwereranso pamlingo wokhazikika.

Tsopano pakati pa kusintha kwa nyengo kuwononga gawo lalikulu la minda yathu yamtsogolo komanso kuchuluka kwa anthu mabiliyoni awiri, mungakhale olondola kuganiza zoyipitsitsa - kuti sitingathe kudyetsa anthu ambiri. Koma si chithunzi chonsecho.

Machenjezo owopsa amodzimodziwo anaperekedwa kuchiyambi kwa zaka za zana la makumi awiri. Kalelo chiŵerengero cha anthu padziko lonse chinali pafupi ndi anthu mabiliyoni awiri ndipo tinkaganiza kuti palibe njira yoti tidyetse zambiri. Akatswiri otsogola komanso opanga mfundo panthaŵiyo analimbikitsa kuti pakhale njira zosiyanasiyana zochepetsera chiwerengero cha anthu. Koma tangoganizani, ife anthu ochenjera tinagwiritsa ntchito ma noggins athu kuti atipangitse kuti tituluke muzovuta kwambiri. Pakati pa zaka za m'ma 1940 ndi 1060, kafukufuku wambiri, chitukuko, ndi zotengera zamakono zinayambitsa Green Revolution zimene zinadyetsa anthu mamiliyoni ambiri ndi kuyala maziko a chakudya chowonjezera chimene ambiri padziko lapansi akusangalala nacho lerolino. Ndiye pali kusiyana kotani nthawi ino?

Kuwonjezeka kwa mayiko omwe akutukuka kumene

Pali magawo otukuka kwa maiko achichepere, magawo omwe amawapangitsa kukhala fuko losauka kupita kudziko lokhwima lomwe limapeza ndalama zambiri pamunthu aliyense. Pazifukwa zomwe zimatsimikizira magawo amenewa, pakati pa zazikulu kwambiri, ndi zaka zapakati pa anthu a dziko.

Dziko lokhala ndi anthu ochepa - kumene anthu ambiri ali ndi zaka zosakwana 30 - limakonda kukula mofulumira kusiyana ndi mayiko omwe ali ndi anthu okalamba. Ngati mungaganizire pamlingo waukulu, ndizomveka: Chiwerengero cha achinyamata nthawi zambiri chimatanthawuza kuti anthu ambiri okhoza ndi okonzeka kugwira ntchito zotsika mtengo, ntchito zamanja; chiwerengero chimenecho chimakopa anthu amitundumitundu omwe amakhazikitsa mafakitale m'mayikowa ndi cholinga chochepetsera ndalama polemba ntchito zotsika mtengo; Kusefukira kwa ndalama zakunja kumeneku kumapangitsa mayiko achichepere kukulitsa zomanga zawo ndikupatsa anthu ake ndalama zothandizira mabanja awo ndikugula nyumba ndi katundu wofunikira kuti akwere makwerero azachuma. Tawona ndondomekoyi nthawi ndi nthawi ku Japan pambuyo pa WWII, ndiye South Korea, ndiye China, India, mayiko a Southeast Asia Tiger, ndipo tsopano, mayiko osiyanasiyana ku Africa.

Koma m'kupita kwa nthawi, pamene chiwerengero cha anthu ndi chuma cha dziko zikukula, ndipo gawo lotsatira la chitukuko chake limayamba. Kuno anthu ambiri akulowa m’zaka za m’ma 30 ndi 40 n’kuyamba kufuna zinthu zimene ife a Kumadzulo timaziona mopepuka: malipiro abwino, mikhalidwe yabwino yogwirira ntchito, utsogoleri wabwino, ndi misampha ina yonse imene munthu angayembekezere kuchokera ku dziko lotukuka. Zachidziwikire, izi zimakulitsa mtengo wopangira bizinesi, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti mayiko ambiri atuluke ndikukhazikitsa malo ogulitsira kwina. Koma ndi nthawi ya kusinthaku pamene anthu apakati adzakhala atapanga kuti apititse patsogolo chuma chapakhomo popanda kudalira ndalama zakunja. (Inde, ndikudziwa kuti ndikufewetsa zinthu molimba.)

Pakati pa zaka za m'ma 2030 ndi 2040, ambiri a ku Asia (ndi kutsindika kwambiri za China) adzalowa mu gawo lokhwima lachitukuko kumene anthu ambiri adzakhala ndi zaka zoposa 35. Mwachindunji, pofika 2040, Asia idzakhala ndi anthu mabiliyoni asanu, 53.8 peresenti ya iwo adzakhala opitirira zaka 35, kutanthauza kuti anthu 2.7 biliyoni adzalowa muchuma cha moyo wawo wogula.

Ndipo ndipamene titi timve chisoni—chimodzi mwa zinthu zimene anthu a m’mayiko otukuka amafunafuna kwambiri mphoto yake ndi chakudya cha azungu. Izi zikutanthauza vuto.

Mavuto ndi nyama

Tiyeni tione kaye kadyedwe kake: M’mayiko ambiri amene akungotukuka kumene, anthu ambiri amadya zakudya za mpunga kapena zambewu, ndipo mwa apo ndi apo amadya zakudya zomanga thupi zodula kwambiri zochokera ku nsomba kapena ziweto. Panthawiyi, m'mayiko otukuka, zakudya zambiri zimadya nyama zambiri komanso zamagulu osiyanasiyana komanso zamagulu a mapuloteni.

Vuto ndiloti magwero a nyama, monga nsomba ndi ziweto - ndi magwero osakwanira a mapuloteni poyerekeza ndi mapuloteni omwe amachokera ku zomera. Mwachitsanzo, pamafunika makilogalamu 13 a tirigu ndi malita 5.6 (malita 2,500) amadzi kuti apange kilogalamu imodzi ya ng’ombe. Ganizirani kuti ndi anthu angati omwe angadyetsedwe ndi kuthiridwa madzi ngati nyama itachotsedwa mu equation.

Koma tiyeni tikhale enieni apa; ambiri a dziko sangafune konse zimenezo. Timapirira kuwononga chuma chambiri poweta ziweto chifukwa ambiri mwa omwe akukhala m'mayiko otukuka amayamikira nyama monga chakudya chawo chatsiku ndi tsiku, pamene ambiri omwe ali m'mayiko omwe akutukuka kumene amagawana nawo mfundozo ndipo amafunitsitsa kuwonjezera zakudya zawo. kudya nyama kumapangitsa kuti pakhale makwerero azachuma omwe amakwera.

(Zindikirani kuti padzakhala zosiyanitsa chifukwa cha maphikidwe apadera achikhalidwe, komanso kusiyana kwa chikhalidwe ndi zipembedzo za mayiko ena omwe akutukuka kumene. India, mwachitsanzo, amadya nyama yotsika kwambiri potengera kuchuluka kwa anthu ake, popeza 80 peresenti ya nzika zake ndizo. Hindu motero amasankha zakudya zamasamba pazifukwa zachikhalidwe ndi zachipembedzo.)

Kuphwanyidwa kwa chakudya

Pofika pano mutha kuganiza komwe ndikupita ndi izi: Tikulowa m'dziko lomwe kufunikira kwa nyama pang'onopang'ono kumawononga nkhokwe zathu zambewu padziko lonse lapansi.

Poyamba, tiwona mitengo ya nyama ikukwera chaka ndi chaka kuyambira 2025-2030 - mtengo wambewu udzakweranso koma pamapindikira okwera kwambiri. Izi zipitilira mpaka chaka chimodzi chotentha mopusa chakumapeto kwa 2030s pomwe mbewu zapadziko lonse lapansi zidzasokonekera (kumbukirani zomwe tidaphunzira gawo loyamba). Izi zikachitika, mtengo wambewu ndi nyama udzakwera kwambiri, ngati mtundu wodabwitsa wa ngozi yazachuma ya 2008.

Pambuyo pa Kugwedeza Kwanyama kwa 2035

Pamene kukwera kwamitengo yazakudyaku kukafika pamisika yapadziko lonse lapansi, zoyipa zidzafika pachimake kwambiri. Monga momwe mungaganizire, chakudya ndi chinthu chachikulu pamene palibe chokwanira kuzungulira, kotero maboma padziko lonse lapansi adzachitapo kanthu mofulumira kuti athetse vutoli. Zotsatirazi ndi ndondomeko ya nthawi ya kukwera kwa mitengo yazakudya pambuyo pa zotsatira, poganiza kuti zidzachitika mu 2035:

● 2035-2039 - Malo odyera adzawona mtengo wawo ukukwera motsatira mndandanda wa matebulo opanda kanthu. Malo ambiri odyera apakati pamitengo ndi maunyolo okwera kwambiri azakudya adzatseka; malo otsika otsika zakudya adzachepetsa mindandanda yazakudya komanso kukulitsa pang'onopang'ono kwa malo atsopano; malo odyera okwera mtengo adzakhalabe osakhudzidwa.

● 2035-m'tsogolo - Magolosale amamvanso kuwawa kwamitengo. Pakati pa ndalama zobwereketsa ntchito ndi kusowa kwa chakudya kosatha, malire awo ang'onoang'ono adzakhala ochepa kwambiri, zomwe zimalepheretsa phindu lalikulu; ambiri adzakhalabe mubizinesi kudzera mu ngongole zaboma zadzidzidzi ndipo popeza anthu ambiri sangapewe kuzigwiritsa ntchito.

● 2035 - Maboma apadziko lonse lapansi achitapo kanthu mwadzidzidzi popereka chakudya kwakanthawi. Mayiko otukuka kumene amagwiritsa ntchito malamulo ankhondo pofuna kuwongolera nzika zawo zanjala ndi zipolowe. M’madera osankhidwa a ku Africa, Middle East, ndi Southeast Asia, zipolowe zidzakhala zachiwawa kwambiri.

● 2036 - Maboma amavomereza ndalama zambiri zothandizira mbewu zatsopano za GMO zomwe zimagonjetsedwa ndi kusintha kwa nyengo.

● 2036-2041 - Kukula kokwezeka kwa mbewu zosakanizidwa bwino kwachulukira.

● 2036 - Pofuna kupewa kusowa kwa chakudya pazakudya zofunika kwambiri monga tirigu, mpunga, ndi soya, maboma adziko lapansi akhazikitsa njira zatsopano zowongolera alimi a ziweto, ndikuwongolera kuchuluka kwa ziweto zomwe amaloledwa kukhala nazo.

● 2037 - Chithandizo chonse chotsala chamafuta amafuta ophatikizika chathetsedwa ndi kupitilira apo ulimi wa biofuel oletsedwa. Izi zokha zimamasula pafupifupi 25 peresenti ya tirigu waku US kuti adye anthu. Akuluakulu ena opanga mafuta a biofuel monga Brazil, Germany, ndi France akuwona kusintha kofananako pakupezeka kwa tirigu. Magalimoto ambiri amayendera magetsi panthawiyi.

● 2039 - Malamulo atsopano ndi zothandizira zakhazikitsidwa kuti zipititse patsogolo kayendetsedwe ka chakudya padziko lonse ndi cholinga chochepetsa kuchuluka kwa zinyalala zomwe zimayambitsidwa ndi zakudya zowola kapena zowonongeka.

● 2040 - Maboma a azungu makamaka atha kuyika bizinesi yonse yaulimi pansi pa ulamuliro wokhwima ndi boma, kuti azitha kuyang'anira bwino chakudya komanso kupewa kusakhazikika m'nyumba chifukwa cha kusowa kwa chakudya. Padzakhala chitsenderezo chachikulu cha anthu kuti athetse kugulitsa chakudya kumayiko olemera ogula zakudya monga China ndi mayiko olemera kwambiri ku Middle East.

● 2040 - Ponseponse, zoyesayesa za bomazi zikuyesetsa kupewa njala yoopsa padziko lonse lapansi. Mitengo ya zakudya zosiyanasiyana imakhazikika, kenako pitirizani kukwera pang'onopang'ono chaka ndi chaka.

● 2040 - Kuti tiyendetse bwino ndalama zapakhomo, chiwongola dzanja chofuna kusadya nyama chidzakwera chifukwa nyama za makolo (nsomba ndi ziweto) zizikhala chakudya cha anthu apamwamba.

● 2040-2044 - Malo odyera ambiri osamva nyama komanso osadya masamba amatseguka ndikukwiyitsa. Maboma amathandizira pakukula kwawo kudzera pakupuma misonkho yapadera kuti alimbikitse chithandizo chambiri chazakudya zotsika mtengo, zochokera ku zomera.

● 2041 - Maboma amaika ndalama zothandizira anthu kuti apange minda yanzeru, yoyimirira, komanso yapansi panthaka. Pa nthawiyi, Japan ndi South Korea adzakhala atsogoleri mu awiri otsiriza.

● 2041 - Maboma amaika ndalama zina zothandizira ndi kuvomereza zilolezo za FDA mwachangu pazakudya zosiyanasiyana.

● 2042-m'tsogolo - Zakudya zam'tsogolo zidzakhala zopatsa thanzi komanso zomanga thupi, koma sizidzafanananso ndi zaka za m'ma 20.

Mbali ya nsomba

Mwinamwake mwawona kuti sindinatchulepo nsomba ngati gwero lalikulu la chakudya pa zokambiranazi, ndipo ndi chifukwa chabwino. Masiku ano, usodzi wapadziko lonse watha kale moopsa. M'malo mwake, tafika pomwe nsomba zambiri zogulitsidwa m'misika zimawetedwa m'matanki pamtunda kapena (zabwinoko pang'ono) makola kunja kwa nyanja. Koma ndicho chiyambi chabe.

Pofika kumapeto kwa zaka za m'ma 2030, kusintha kwa nyengo kudzataya mpweya wokwanira m'nyanja zathu kuti zikhale za acidic, kuchepetsa mphamvu zawo zothandizira moyo. Zili ngati kukhala mumzinda waukulu waku China komwe kuipitsidwa kwa mafakitale amagetsi kumapangitsa kuti zikhale zovuta kupuma - ndizomwe nsomba zapadziko lapansi ndi mitundu ya ma coral zidzakumana nazo. Ndiyeno mukaganizira za kuchuluka kwa chiwerengero chathu, n’zosavuta kuneneratu kuti nsomba zapadziko lonse zidzakololedwa kufika pamlingo wovuta kwambiri—m’madera ena zidzakankhidwira kugwa, makamaka ku East Asia. Njira ziwirizi zithandizana kukweza mitengo, ngakhale nsomba zoweta, zomwe zitha kuchotseratu gulu lonse lazakudya pazakudya za anthu wamba.

Monga wothandizira wa VICE, Becky Ferreira, mochenjera kutchulidwa: mwambi woti ‘m’nyanja muli nsomba zambiri’ sudzakhalanso woona. Zachisoni, izi zikakamizanso abwenzi apamtima padziko lonse lapansi kuti abwere ndi ma liner atsopano kuti atonthoze ma BFF awo atatayidwa ndi SO yawo.

Kuziyika zonse pamodzi

Eya, kodi simukonda pamene olemba akufotokoza mwachidule nkhani zawo zazitali—zomwe anazitumikira motalika kwambiri—m’chidule chachidule cha kuluma! Pofika chaka cha 2040, tidzalowa m'tsogolo lomwe lili ndi malo ochepa (olima) chifukwa cha kusowa kwa madzi komanso kukwera kwa kutentha komwe kumachitika chifukwa cha kusintha kwa nyengo. Panthaŵi imodzimodziyo, tili ndi chiŵerengero cha anthu padziko lonse chimene chidzafikira anthu mabiliyoni asanu ndi anayi. Unyinji wa chiwonjezeko cha anthuwo udzachokera m’maiko otukuka kumene, dziko lotukuka kumene lomwe chuma chake chidzachuluka m’zaka makumi aŵiri zikubwerazi. Zopeza zazikulu zomwe zimatayidwa zimanenedweratu kuti zipangitsa kuti pakhale kufunikira kwa nyama. Kuwonjezeka kwa kufunikira kwa nyama kudzawononga mbewu zapadziko lonse lapansi, zomwe zimabweretsa kusowa kwa chakudya komanso kukwera kwamitengo komwe kungasokoneze maboma padziko lonse lapansi.

Kotero tsopano kuti mukumvetsa bwino momwe kusintha kwa nyengo ndi kukula kwa chiwerengero cha anthu ndi chiwerengero cha anthu zidzasintha tsogolo la chakudya. Zina zonse za mndandandawu zifotokoza zomwe anthu angachite kuti atuluke mu chisokonezo ichi ndi chiyembekezo chosunga zakudya zathu zanyama kwa nthawi yayitali. Chotsatira: GMOs ndi superfoods.

Tsogolo la Chakudya Chakudya

Kusintha kwa Nyengo ndi Kusowa Chakudya | Tsogolo la Chakudya P1

GMOs vs Superfoods | Tsogolo la Chakudya P3

Smart vs Vertical Farms | Tsogolo la Chakudya P4

Zakudya Zam'tsogolo: Nsikidzi, In-Vitro Nyama, ndi Zakudya Zopangira | Tsogolo la Chakudya P5