I-Quantumrun

ISIKWELETU SESITHOMBE: I-Quantumrun

Uhlu lwezandulela zomthetho zesikhathi esizayo izinkantolo zakusasa zizokwahlulela: Ikusasa lomthetho P5

UDavid Tal, Umshicileli, i-Futurist
@DavidTalWrites
I-LinkedIn

Msombuluko, 09/14/2020 - 10:48

Njengoba isiko lithuthuka, njengoba isayensi iqhubeka, njengoba ubuchwepheshe buthuthuka, kuphakama imibuzo emisha ephoqa isikhathi esedlule nesamanje ukuthi sinqume ukuthi zizokhawulela noma zinikeze ithuba ikusasa.

Ngokomthetho, isendlalelo umthetho osungulwe ecaleni elidlule lezomthetho osetshenziswa abameli bamanje nezinkantolo lapho zinquma ukuthi zitolikwa kanjani, zizama futhi zahlulele amacala afanayo, angomuso, izindaba noma amaqiniso. Uma sibeka ngenye indlela, isibonelo senzeka lapho izinkantolo zanamuhla zinquma ukuthi izinkantolo zesikhathi esizayo ziwuhumusha kanjani umthetho.

Kwa-Quantumrun, sizama ukwabelana nabafundi bethu ngombono wokuthi amathrendi kanye nezinto ezintsha zizoshintsha kanjani izimpilo zabo esikhathini esizayo esiseduze. Kodwa umthetho, uhlelo olufanayo olusibophezelayo, oluqinisekisa ukuthi amathrendi nezinto ezintsha azibeki engozini amalungelo ethu ayisisekelo, inkululeko, nokuphepha. Kungakho amashumi eminyaka ezayo ezoletha izinhlobonhlobo ezimangalisayo zezandulela ezingokomthetho izizukulwane ezidlule ebezingasoze zacabanga ukuthi zingenzeka.

Uhlu olulandelayo luwukubuka kuqala kwezandulela ezibekwe ukuze zilolonge indlela esiphila ngayo izimpilo zethu kuze kube sekupheleni kwaleli khulu leminyaka. (Qaphela ukuthi sihlela ukuhlela nokukhulisa lolu hlu njalo ngonyaka, ngakho qiniseka ukuthi ubeka uphawu lokubekisa leli khasi ukuze uhlale ubheka zonke izinguquko.)

Izibonelo ezihlobene nempilo

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Lempilo, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezilandelayo ezingokomthetho ezihlobene nezempilo ngo-2050:

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokuthola usizo lwezempilo oluphuthumayo lwamahhala? Njengoba ukunakekelwa kwezokwelapha kuthuthuka ngenxa yezinqubo ezintsha zama-antibacterial agents, i-nanotechnology, amarobhothi okuhlinzwa nokunye okwengeziwe, kuzokwazi ukunikeza usizo oluphuthumayo ngengxenyana yamazinga okunakekelwa kwezempilo abonwa namuhla. Ekugcineni, izindleko zizokwehla zifike ezingeni eliphuthumayo lapho umphakathi uzonxusa abenzi bomthetho bawo ukuthi benze ukunakekelwa okuphuthumayo kube mahhala kubo bonke.

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokuthola usizo lwezempilo lwamahhala? Ngokufanayo naleli phuzu elingenhla, njengoba ukunakekelwa kwezokwelapha kuthuthuka ngenxa yezindlela ezintsha zokuhlela i-genome, ucwaningo lwe-stem cell, impilo yengqondo nokunye, kuzokwazi ukunikeza ukwelashwa okuvamile ngengxenyana yamazinga okunakekelwa kwezempilo abonwa namuhla. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, izindleko zizokwehla zifike ezingeni lapho umphakathi uzonxusa abenzi bomthetho ukuthi benze ukunakekelwa kwezempilo okujwayelekile kube mahhala kubo bonke.

Izibonelo zedolobha noma zasemadolobheni

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Lamadolobha, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezilandelayo ezingokomthetho ezihlobene nokufudukela emadolobheni ngo-2050:

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokuthola ikhaya? Ngenxa yenqubekelaphambili kubuchwepheshe bokwakha, ikakhulukazi ngendlela yamarobhothi okwakha, izingxenye zokwakha ezenziwe ngaphambili, namaphrinta esikali sokwakha se-3D, izindleko zokwakha izakhiwo ezintsha zizokwehla kakhulu. Lokhu kuzoholela ekwenyukeni okukhulu kwesivinini sokwakha, kanye nenani eliphelele lamayunithi amasha emakethe. Ekugcineni, njengoba ukwakhiwa kwezindlu eziningi kungena emakethe, isidingo sezindlu sizokhula, sinciphise imakethe yezindlu zasemadolobheni eshisa ngokweqile emhlabeni, ekugcineni kwenze ukukhiqizwa kwezindlu zomphakathi kufinyeleleke kakhulu kohulumeni basekhaya.

Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, njengoba ohulumeni bekhiqiza izindlu ezanele zomphakathi, umphakathi uzoqala ukucindezela abenzi bomthetho ukuthi benze ukungabi namakhaya noma ukuzulazula kube ngokungemthetho, empeleni, kugcizelelwe ilungelo lomuntu lapho sinikeza zonke izakhamuzi inani elichaziwe lezithombe eziyisikwele ukuze ziphumuze amakhanda azo ngaphansi kwasebusuku.

Izandulela zokushintsha kwesimo sezulu

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Lokuguquguquka Kwesimo Sezulu, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezilandelayo ezingokomthetho ezihlobene nemvelo ngo-2050:

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokuthola amanzi ahlanzekile? Cishe amaphesenti angu-60 omzimba womuntu ungamanzi. Kuyinto esingeke sikwazi ukuphila ngaphezu kwezinsuku ezimbalwa ngaphandle kwayo. Kodwa-ke, kusukela ngo-2016, izigidigidi okwamanje zihlala ezindaweni ezingenamanzi lapho uhlobo oluthile lokulinganisa lusebenza khona. Lesi simo sizokhula sibi kakhulu njengoba ukuguquka kwesimo sezulu kuba kubi emashumini eminyaka ezayo. Isomiso sizoba sibi kakhulu futhi izifunda ezingenamanzi namuhla zizobe zingasahlali muntu.

Ngalesi sisetshenziswa esibalulekile sincipha, amazwe amaningi e-Afrika, eMpumalanga Ephakathi, nase-Asia azoqala ukuncintisana (futhi kwezinye izimo aye empini) ukuze alawule ukufinyelela emithonjeni esele yamanzi ahlanzekile. Ukuze kugwenywe usongo lwezimpi zamanzi, amazwe asethuthukile ayophoqeleka ukuba aphathe amanzi njengelungelo lomuntu futhi atshale imali eningi ezitshalweni ezithuthukisiwe zokukhipha usawoti emanzini ukuze ziqede ukoma komhlaba.

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lomoya owuphefumulayo? Ngokufanayo, umoya esiwuphefumulayo ubaluleke ngendlela efanayo ukuze siphile—asikwazi ukuhamba imizuzu embalwa singagcwele iphaphu. Futhi nokho, eChina, kulinganiselwa abantu abayizigidi ezingu-5.5 kufa ngonyaka ngenxa yokuphefumula emoyeni ongcolile ngokweqile. Lezi zifunda zizobona ingcindezi enkulu evela kwizakhamizi zakhona ukuthi zishaye imithetho eqinile yezemvelo ukuze zihlanze umoya wazo.

Isayensi yekhompyutha izandulela

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Lamakhompyutha, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezingokomthetho ezihambisana nemishini yokubala ngo-2050:

Imaphi amalungelo i-Artificial Intelligence (AI) enawo? Maphakathi nawo-2040s, isayensi izobe isidale ubuhlakani bokwenziwa—isidalwa esizimele lapho iningi lomphakathi wesayensi lizovuma ukuthi libonise uhlobo oluthile lokuqaphela, ngisho noma kungelona uhlobo lwalo lomuntu. Uma sekuqinisekisiwe, sizonikeza i-AI amalungelo ayisisekelo afanayo esiwanikeza izilwane ezifuywayo eziningi. Kodwa uma kubhekwa ubuhlakani bayo obuphambili, abadali be-AI abangabantu, kanye ne-AI ngokwayo, bazoqala ukufuna amalungelo ezinga lomuntu.

Ingabe lokhu kusho ukuthi i-AI ingaba ngumnikazi wendawo? Bazovunyelwa yini ukuthi bavote? Ugijimele isikhundla? Ukushada nomuntu? Ngabe amalungelo e-AI azoba ukunyakaza kwamalungelo omphakathi wesikhathi esizayo?

Izibonelo zezemfundo

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Lemfundo, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezilandelayo ezingokomthetho ezihlobene nemfundo ngo-2050:

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokuthola imfundo exhaswe ngokugcwele nguhulumeni ngemva kwesecondary? Uma uthatha umbono omude ngemfundo, uzobona ukuthi ngesinye isikhathi izikole eziphakeme zazikhokhisa imali yokufunda. Kodwa ekugcineni, uma unediploma yesikole samabanga aphezulu kwaba yisidingo sokuphumelela emakethe yezabasebenzi futhi lapho iphesenti labantu ababenediploma yesikole samabanga aphezulu selifinyelele emngceleni othile wabantu, uhulumeni wenza isinqumo sokubheka idiploma yesikole esiphakeme njenge isevisi futhi wayenza mahhala.

Lezi zimo ezifanayo ziyavela ngeziqu zeziqu zasenyuvesi. Kusukela ngo-2016, iziqu ze-bachelor seziphenduke idiploma entsha yesikole samabanga aphezulu emehlweni abaphathi abaningi abaqashayo abaqhubeka bebona idigri njengesisekelo okufanele baqashelwe ngaso. Ngokunjalo, iphesenti lemakethe yezabasebenzi manje esenezinga elithile lifinyelela eqophelweni elibucayi kangangokuthi lingakaze libhekwe njengomehluko phakathi kwabafake izicelo.

Ngenxa yalezi zizathu, angeke kuthathe isikhathi eside ngaphambi kokuthi izinhlangano zikahulumeni nezizimele ziqale ukubuka iziqu zasenyuvesi noma zasekolishi njengesidingo, okwenza ohulumeni bacabange kabusha ukuthi bayixhasa kanjani imfundo ephakeme.

Izibonelo zamandla

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Lamandla, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezingokomthetho ezilandelayo ezihlobene namandla ngo-2030:

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokuzenzela amandla abo? Njengoba ubuchwepheshe bamandla elanga, umoya, kanye ne-geothermal energy evuselelekayo bushibhile futhi busebenza kahle, kuzoba ubuhlakani kwezomnotho kubanikazi bezindlu ezifundeni ezithile ukuthi bazikhiqizele ugesi wabo kunokuba bawuthenge kuhulumeni. Njengoba kubonakala ezimpini zomthetho zakamuva kulo lonke elase-US kanye ne-EU, lokhu kuthambekela kuholele ezimpini zomthetho phakathi kwezinkampani ezisetshenziswa uhulumeni kanye nezakhamizi mayelana nokuthi ngubani ophethe amalungelo okukhiqiza ugesi.

Ngokuvamile, njengoba lobu buchwepheshe obuvuselelekayo buqhubeka buthuthuka ngezinga labo lamanje, izakhamizi ekugcineni zizoyinqoba le mpi yezomthetho.

Izibonelo zokudla

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Lokudla, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezingokomthetho ezilandelayo ezihlobene nokudla ngo-2050:

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lesilinganiso esithile samakholori ngosuku? Izimo ezintathu ezinkulu zibheke ekungqubuzaneni okungokoqobo ngo-2040. Okokuqala, inani labantu emhlabeni lizokwanda libe ngabantu abayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyisishiyagalolunye. Umnotho wamazwekazi ase-Asia nase-Afrika uzobe ucebe kakhulu ngenxa yesigaba esiphakathi esikhulayo. Futhi ukuguquguquka kwesimo sezulu kuzobe kunciphise inani lomhlaba olimekayo onawo uMhlaba ukuze kukhule izitshalo zethu eziyinhloko.

Sekuhlangene, lezi zimo ziholela esikhathini esizayo lapho ukushoda kokudla kanye nokwenyuka kwamanani okudla kuzoba yinsakavukela. Ngenxa yalokho, kuzokwanda ingcindezi emazweni asele athumela ukudla kwamanye amazwe ukuthi athumele okusanhlamvu okwanele ukondla umhlaba. Lokhu kungase futhi kucindezele abaholi bomhlaba ukuba banwebe phezu kwelungelo elikhona, elamukelwa umhlaba wonke lokuthola ukudla ngokuqinisekisa zonke izakhamuzi inani elithile lama-kilojoule ngosuku. (ama-calories angu-2,000 kuya kwangu-2,500 yinani elijwayelekile lama-calories anconywa odokotela usuku ngalunye.)

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokwazi kahle ukuthi yini etholakala ekudleni kwabo nokuthi kwenziwa kanjani? Njengoba ukudla okuguqulwa ngofuzo kuqhubeka kudlondlobala kakhulu, ukwesaba okwandayo komphakathi ngokudla kwe-GM kungase kugcine kucindezele abenzi bomthetho ukuba baphoqelele ukulebula okunemininingwane eyengeziwe kukho konke ukudla okuthengiswayo.

Ukuziphendukela kwemvelo kwabantu kuyandulela

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Lokuziphendukela Kwabantu, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezilandelayo ezingokomthetho ezihlobene nokuziphendukela kwemvelo kwabantu ngo-2050:

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokushintsha i-DNA yabo? Njengoba isayensi elandela ukulandelana kofuzo nokuhlela ikhula, kuzokwazi ukususa noma ukuhlela izici ze-DNA yomuntu ukuze kwelaphe umuntu okhubazeke okuthile ngokwengqondo nangokomzimba. Uma umhlaba ongenazo izifo zofuzo usuyinto engenzeka, umphakathi uzocindezela abenzi bomthetho ukuthi bagunyaze izinqubo zokuhlela i-DNA ngemvume.

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokushintsha i-DNA yezingane zabo? Ngokufanayo naleli phuzu elingenhla, uma abantu abadala bengakwazi ukuhlela i-DNA yabo ukuze belaphe noma bavimbele uchungechunge lwezifo nobuthakathaka, abazali abazoba abazali cishe bayofuna ukwenza okufanayo ukuze bavikele izingane zabo ezisanda kuzalwa ukuze zizalwe zine-DNA enesici esiyingozi. Uma le sayensi isiba iqiniso eliphephile nelithembekile, izinhlangano ezimela abazali zizocindezela abenzi bomthetho ukuthi babhalise ngokusemthethweni izinqubo zokuhlela i-DNA yosana ngemvume yomzali.

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokuthuthukisa amakhono abo ngokomzimba nangokwengqondo ngaphezu kwejwayelekile? Uma isayensi iphelelisa ikhono lokwelapha nokuvimbela izifo zofuzo ngokuhlela izakhi zofuzo, kuyindaba yesikhathi ngaphambi kokuba abantu abadala baqale ukubuza mayelana nokuthuthukisa i-DNA yabo ekhona. Ukuthuthukisa izici zobuhlakani bomuntu nokukhetha izici zomzimba kuzokwenzeka ngokuhlela izakhi zofuzo, ngisho nalapho usumdala. Uma isayensi isiphelele, isidingo salokhu kuthuthukiswa kwebhayoloji sizophoqa isandla sabashayamthetho ukuthi sikulawule. Kodwa ingabe izophinde idale uhlelo olusha lwesigaba phakathi kwezakhi zofuzo ezithuthukisiwe kanye 'nezivamile.'

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokuthuthukisa amakhono ezingane zabo ngokomzimba nangokwengqondo ngaphezu kokujwayelekile? Ngokufanayo naleli phuzu elingenhla, uma abantu abadala bengakwazi ukuhlela i-DNA yabo ukuze bathuthukise amakhono abo angokomzimba, abazali abazoba abazali cishe bayofuna ukwenza okufanayo ukuze baqinisekise ukuthi izingane zabo zizalwa zinezinzuzo ezingokomzimba ezizijabulele kamuva ekuphileni. Amanye amazwe azovuleleka kakhulu kule nqubo kunamanye, okuholela ohlotsheni lomncintiswano wezikhali zofuzo lapho isizwe ngasinye sisebenzela ukuthuthukisa ukwakheka kofuzo kwesizukulwane saso esilandelayo.

Izibonelo zabantu

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Labantu, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezingokomthetho ezihlobene nezibalo ngo-2050:

Ingabe uhulumeni unalo ilungelo lokulawula ukukhetha kwabantu ukuzala? Njengoba inani labantu lizokwenyuka lifinyelele ezigidini eziyizinkulungwane eziyisishiyagalolunye ngo-2040, futhi lidlulele ezigidini eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-11 ekupheleni kwaleli khulu leminyaka, kuyoba nesithakazelo esivuselelwe kwabanye ohulumeni sokulawula ukwanda kwenani labantu. Le ntshisekelo izoqiniswa ukukhula kwemishini ezenzakalelayo ezoqeda cishe amaphesenti angama-50 emisebenzi yanamuhla, okushiyele izizukulwane ezizayo imakethe yezemisebenzi engavikeleki ngendlela eyingozi. Ekugcineni, umbuzo uzofika ekutheni ingabe umbuso ungawalawula yini amalungelo okuzala esakhamuzi sawo (njengoba i-China yenza ngomgomo wayo Wengane Eyodwa) noma ukuthi izakhamuzi ziyaqhubeka yini nokugcina ilungelo lazo lokukhiqiza kabusha ngaphandle kokuphazamiseka.

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokuthola imithi yokwelula impilo? Ngo-2040, imiphumela yokuguga izophinda ifakwe esigabeni sezempilo esizophathwa futhi sibuyiselwe emuva esikhundleni sengxenye yokuphila engenakugwenywa. Eqinisweni, izingane ezizalwe ngemva kuka-2030 zizoba isizukulwane sokuqala ukuphila kahle ngezinombolo zazo ezintathu. Ekuqaleni, lolu guquko lwezempilo luzofinyeleleka kwabacebile kuphela kodwa ekugcineni luzofinyeleleka kubantu abahola kancane.

Uma lokhu sekwenzekile, ingabe umphakathi uzocindezela abenzi bomthetho ukuthi benze izindlela zokwelapha ezinwetshiwe zixhaswe esidlangalaleni, ukuze kugwenywe ukuthi kungenzeka kube khona umehluko webhayoloji phakathi kwabacebile nabampofu? Ngaphezu kwalokho, ingabe ohulumeni abanenkinga yokugcwala ngokweqile bayokuvumela ukusetshenziswa kwale sayensi?

Izibonelo ze-inthanethi

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa le-inthanethi, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezingokomthetho ezilandelayo ezihlobene ne-inthanethi ngo-2050:

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokufinyelela ku-inthanethi? Kusukela ngo-2016, ngaphezu kwesigamu sabantu emhlabeni bayaqhubeka nokuhlala ngaphandle kokufinyelela ku-inthanethi. Ngokujabulisayo, ngasekupheleni kwawo-2020, lelo gebe lizoncipha, lifinyelele kumaphesenti angama-80 ekungeneni kwe-inthanethi emhlabeni jikelele. Njengoba ukusetshenziswa kwe-inthanethi nokungena kukhula, futhi njengoba i-inthanethi iba umgogodla wezimpilo zabantu, kuzovela izingxoxo mayelana nokuqinisa nokwandisa phezu ilungelo labantu eliyisisekelo elisha lokufinyelela i-inthanethi.

Ingabe ungumnikazi imethadatha yakho? Maphakathi nawo-2030, amazwe azinzile, anezimboni azoqala ukudlulisa umthethosivivinywa wamalungelo ovikela idatha yezakhamizi ku-inthanethi. Ukugcizelelwa kwalo mthethosivivinywa (kanye nezinguqulo zawo eziningi ezahlukene) kuzoba ukuqinisekisa ukuthi abantu bahlale:

Umnikazi wedatha ekhiqizwe mayelana nabo ngamasevisi edijithali abawasebenzisayo, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi babelana nobani;
Yiba ngumnikazi wedatha (amadokhumenti, izithombe, njll.) abazakhayo besebenzisa amasevisi edijithali angaphandle;
Lawula ukuthi ubani othola ukufinyelela kudatha yakhe yomuntu siqu;
Iba nekhono lokulawula ukuthi iyiphi idatha yomuntu siqu ababelana ngayo ngezinga eliyimbudumbudu;
Yiba nokufinyelela okuningiliziwe nokuqondakala kalula kudatha eqoqwe ngabo;
Banekhono lokususa unomphela idatha abayidalile nababelanayo.

Ingabe obunikazi bedijithali babantu banamalungelo namalungelo afanayo njengobunikazi babo bempilo yangempela? Njengoba into engekho ngokoqobo ivuthwa futhi iba yinto evamile, I-inthanethi Yokuzizwisa izovela ivumele abantu ukuba baye ezinguqulweni zedijithali zezindawo zangempela, bahlangabezane nemicimbi edlule (erekhodiwe) futhi bahlole imihlaba eyakhiwe ngedijithali enwebekayo. Abantu bazohlala kulokhu kuzizwisa okubonakalayo ngokusebenzisa i-avatar yomuntu siqu, ukumelwa okudijithali kwakho. Lawa ma-avatar kancane kancane azozwakala njengesandiso somzimba wakho, okusho ukuthi amanani afanayo nokuvikelwa esikubeka emizimbeni yethu izosetshenziswa kancane kancane futhi ku-inthanethi.

Ingabe umuntu uyawagcina amalungelo akhe uma ekhona ngaphandle kohlaka? Maphakathi nawo-2040s, ubuchwepheshe obubizwa nge-Whole-Brain Emulation (WBE) buzokwazi ukuskena futhi bugcine isipele esigcwele sobuchopho bakho ngaphakathi kwedivayisi yokugcina kagesi. Eqinisweni, lena idivayisi ezosiza ukunika amandla okungokoqobo kwe-cyber okufana ne-Matrix ngokuvumelana nezibikezelo ze-sci-fi. Kodwa cabanga ngalokhu:

Ithi uneminyaka engama-64, futhi inkampani yakho yomshwalense iyakukhava ukuze uthole isipele sobuchopho. Bese kuthi uma usuneminyaka engu-65, uba sengozini edala ukulimala kwengqondo nokulahlekelwa inkumbulo okukhulu. Izindlela ezintsha zokwelapha zesikhathi esizayo zingase zipholise ingqondo yakho, kodwa ngeke zibuyise izinkumbulo zakho. Yilapho odokotela befinyelela isipele sakho sobuchopho ukuze balayishe ubuchopho bakho ngezinkumbulo zakho zesikhathi eside ezingekho. Lesi sipele ngeke sibe impahla yakho kuphela kodwa singaba inguqulo yakho esemthethweni, enamalungelo afanayo nokuvikelwa, uma kwenzeka ingozi.

Ngokunjalo, yithi uyisisulu sengozi okuthi kulokhu ikufaka ekhoma noma esimweni sokumila. Ngenhlanhla, wasekela ingqondo yakho ngaphambi kwengozi. Ngenkathi umzimba wakho ululama, ingqondo yakho isengahlanganyela nomndeni wakho futhi isebenze ukude ngaphakathi kwe-Metaverse (umhlaba obonakalayo ofana ne-Matrix). Uma umzimba ululama futhi odokotela sebelungele ukukuvusa ekukhomeni kwakho, isipele somqondo singadlulisela izinkumbulo ezintsha ezidalile emzimbeni wakho osanda kwelashwa. Futhi nalapha, ukwazi kwakho okusebenzayo, njengoba kukhona ku-Metaverse, kuzoba inguqulo yakho esemthethweni, onamalungelo afanayo nokuvikelwa, uma kwenzeka ingozi.

Kunenqwaba yezinye izinto ezisonta ingqondo ezicatshangelwayo ezingokomthetho nezokuziphatha uma kuziwa ekulayisheni ingqondo yakho ku-inthanethi, okucatshangelwayo esizokusho ku-Future yethu ezayo ochungechungeni lwe-Metaverse. Nokho, ngenjongo yalesi sahluko, lesi sitimela somcabango kufanele sisenze sibuze: Kuzokwenzekani kulesi sisulu sengozi uma umzimba waso ungalulami? Kuthiwani uma umzimba ufa kuyilapho ingqondo isebenza kakhulu futhi ixhumana nomhlaba nge-Metaverse?

Izibonelo zokuthengisa

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Lokuthengisa, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezingokomthetho ezihlobene nezitolo ngo-2050:

Ubani umnikazi wemikhiqizo ye-virtual ne-augmented reality? Cabangela lesi sibonelo: Ngokwethulwa kweqiniso elingathandwa kwabathelisi esikubona, izindawo zamahhovisi ezincane zizosebenza ngokushibhile. Cabanga nje osebenza nabo bonke begqoke izibuko ze-augmented reality (AR) noma abathintwayo, futhi uqale usuku kulokho obekungabukeka njengehhovisi elingenalutho. Kodwa ngalezi zibuko ze-AR, wena nozakwenu nizobona igumbi eligcwele amabhodi amhlophe edijithali kuzo zonke izindonga ezine ongakwazi ukukrwelela kuzo ngeminwe yakho.

Ngemva kwalokho ungayala igumbi ukuze ulondoloze iseshini yakho yokucabanga futhi uguqule ukuhlobisa kodonga lwe-AR kanye nefenisha yokuhlobisa ibe isakhiwo se-boardroom esisemthethweni. Ngemva kwalokho ungayala igumbi ukuthi liguqule futhi libe indawo yokubonisa yezethulo zemidiya exubile ukuze wethule izinhlelo zakho zakamuva zokukhangisa kumakhasimende akho avakashelayo. Izinto zangempela kuphela ekamelweni zizoba yizinto ezinesisindo njengezihlalo netafula.

Manje sebenzisa lo mbono ofanayo ekhaya lakho. Cabanga ulungisa kabusha okokuhlobisa kwakho ngokuthepha kuhlelo lokusebenza noma ngomyalo wezwi. Leli kusasa lizofika ngeminyaka yawo-2030, futhi lezi zimpahla ezibonakalayo zizodinga imithetho efanayo nendlela esiphatha ngayo ukwabelana kwamafayela edijithali, njengomculo.

Ingabe abantu kufanele babe nelungelo lokukhokha ngokheshi? Ingabe amabhizinisi kufanele amukele ukheshi? Ngasekuqaleni kwawo-2020, izinkampani ezifana ne-Google ne-Apple zizokwenza ukukhokhela izimpahla ngefoni yakho kucishe kungabi namandla. Ngeke kuthathe isikhathi eside ngaphambi kokuthi uphume endlini yakho ngaphandle kokunye ngaphandle kwefoni yakho. Abanye abenzi bomthetho bazobona lokhu kusungulwa njengesizathu sokumisa ukusetshenziswa kwemali ebonakalayo (nokonga izigidigidi zamadola entela yomphakathi ekugcinweni kohlobo lwemali olushiwo). Kodwa-ke, amaqembu amalungelo obumfihlo azobona lokhu njengomzamo we-Big Brother wokulandelela yonke into oyithengayo futhi aqede ukuthenga okugqamayo kanye nomnotho omkhulu ongaphansi komhlaba.

Izinto zokuhamba ezihamba phambili

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Lezokuthutha, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezilandelayo ezingokomthetho ezihlobene nezokuthutha ngo-2050:

Ingabe abantu banalo ilungelo lokuzishayela ngemoto? Emhlabeni jikelele, cishe abantu abayizigidi ezingu-1.3 bafa ezingozini zomgwaqo unyaka ngamunye, kanti abanye abayizigidi ezingu-20-50 bayalimala noma bakhubazekile. Uma izimoto ezizimele sezingena emigwaqeni ekuqaleni kwawo-2020, lezi zibalo zizoqala ukujikela zehle. Ngemva kweminyaka engamashumi amabili kuya kwamashumi amabili, lapho izimoto ezizimele sezifakazele ngokungenakuphikiswa ukuthi zingabashayeli abangcono kunabantu, abenzi bomthetho bazophoqeleka ukuthi bacabangele ukuthi abashayeli abangabantu kufanele bavunyelwe yini ukushayela. Ingabe ukushayela imoto kusasa kuzofana nokugibela ihhashi namuhla?

Ubani onecala lapho imoto ezimele yenza iphutha elisongela ukuphila? Kwenzekani ngemoto ezimele ibulale umuntu? Ungena engozini? Ikushayela endaweni engafanele noma endaweni eyingozi? Ubani onephutha? Ubani ongabekwa icala?

Izandulela zokuqashwa

Kusuka ochungechungeni lwethu ku Ikusasa Lomsebenzi, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezingokomthetho ezilandelayo ezihlobene nokuqashwa ngo-2050:

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokuthola umsebenzi? Ngo-2040, cishe ingxenye yemisebenzi yanamuhla izoshabalala. Yize kuzodaleka amathuba emisebenzi emisha, kusewumbuzo ovulekile mayelana nokuthi izokwakhiwa yini imisebenzi emisha ezothatha indawo yemisebenzi elahlekile, ikakhulukazi uma inani labantu emhlabeni selifinyelele ezigidini eziyizinkulungwane eziyisishiyagalolunye. Ingabe umphakathi uzocindezela abenzi bomthetho ukuba benze ukuba nomsebenzi kube ilungelo lomuntu? Ingabe bazocindezela abashayamthetho ukuba babeke imingcele ekuthuthukisweni kobuchwepheshe noma batshale izimali ezinhlelweni ezimba eqolo zokuzenzela? Abenzi bomthetho bakusasa bazosisekela kanjani inani labantu bethu elikhulayo?

Izandulela zempahla yobuhlakani

Izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezingokomthetho ezihambisana namalungelo engqondo ngo-2050:

Amalungelo okushicilela anganikezwa isikhathi esingakanani? Ngokuvamile, abadali bemisebenzi yobuciko yangempela kufanele bajabulele i-copyright yemisebenzi yabo impilo yabo yonke, kanye neminyaka engama-70. Ezinkampanini, inani cishe liyiminyaka eyi-100. Ngemva kokuphelelwa yisikhathi lawa malungelo okushicilela, le misebenzi yobuciko iba isizinda somphakathi, okuvumela amaciko nezinkampani zesikhathi esizayo ukuthi zifanele lezi zingcezu zobuciko ukuze zenze okuthile okusha ngokuphelele.

Ngeshwa, izinkampani ezinkulu zisebenzisa izikhwama zazo ezijulile ukuze zicindezele abenzi bomthetho ukuthi banwebe lezi zimangalo ze-copyright ukuze zigcine ukulawula impahla yazo enamalungelo okukopisha futhi zikhawulele izizukulwane ezizayo ekuzisebenziseni izinjongo zobuciko. Nakuba lokhu kuvimbela ukuqhubeka kwesiko, ukunwetshwa kwezimangalo ze-copyright ngokungapheli kungase kugwemeke uma izinkampani zakusasa zizoceba futhi zibe nomthelela.

Yimaphi amalungelo obunikazi okufanele aqhubeke nokunikezwa? Amalungelo obunikazi asebenza ngokufana namalungelo okukopisha achazwe ngenhla, ahlala kuphela isikhathi esifushane, cishe iminyaka eyi-14 kuye kwengama-20. Nokho, nakuba imiphumela engemihle yobuciko ukuhlala ngaphandle kwesizinda somphakathi mincane, amalungelo obunikazi angenye indaba. Kukhona ososayensi nonjiniyela emhlabeni wonke abakwaziyo namuhla ukwelapha izifo eziningi emhlabeni nokuxazulula izinkinga eziningi zomhlaba, kodwa abakwazi ngenxa yokuthi izingxenye zezixazululo zabo ziphethwe inkampani encintisanayo.

Ezimbonini zanamuhla zemithi nezobuchwepheshe ezinokuncintisana kakhulu, amalungelo obunikazi asetshenziswa njengezikhali ezimelene nezimbangi kakhulu kunamathuluzi okuvikela amalungelo abasunguli. Ukuqhuma kwanamuhla kwamalungelo obunikazi amasha afakwayo, nalawo angakhiwe kahle agunyazwa, manje sekufaka isandla ekwandeni kwelungelo lobunikazi okwehlisa ijubane ukuqamba okusha kunokukuvumela. Uma amalungelo obunikazi eqala ukudonsela phansi ukuqamba okusha kakhulu (ekuqaleni kwawo-2030), ikakhulukazi uma kuqhathaniswa nezinye izizwe, abenzi bomthetho bazoqala ukucabangela ukuguqula lokho okunegunya lobunikazi kanye nendlela amalungelo obunikazi amasha agunyazwa ngayo.

Izibonelo zezomnotho

Izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezingokomthetho ezihlobene nezomnotho ngo-2050:

Ingabe abantu banelungelo lokuthola iholo eliyisisekelo? Njengoba ingxenye yemisebenzi yanamuhla isinyamalala ngo-2040 futhi inani labantu emhlabeni likhula lifinyelela ezigidini eziyizinkulungwane eziyisishiyagalolunye ngawo lowo nyaka, kungase kungenzeki ukuqasha bonke abakulungele futhi abakwazi ukusebenza. Ukusekela izidingo zabo eziyisisekelo, a Ingeniso Eyisisekelo (BI) cishe izokwethulwa ngendlela ethile ukuze inikeze sonke isakhamuzi imali yamahhala yenyanga ukuze siyichithe ngendlela esifisa ngayo, efana nempesheni yabadala kodwa yawo wonke umuntu.

Izibonelo zikahulumeni

Izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezilandelayo ezingokomthetho ezihlobene nokubusa komphakathi ngo-2050:

Ngabe ukuvota kuzoba yimpoqo? Nakuba kubalulekile ukuvota, amaphesenti anciphayo ezakhamuzi emibusweni eminingi yentando yeningi aze azihluphe ngokubamba iqhaza kuleli lungelo. Nokho, ukuze imibuso yentando yeningi isebenze, idinga igunya elisemthethweni elivela kubantu ukuze liphathe izwe. Yingakho abanye ohulumeni bengenza ukuvota kube yimpoqo, okufana ne-Australia namuhla.

Izibonelo ezivamile zomthetho

Kusukela ochungechungeni lwethu lwamanje lwekusasa Lomthetho, izinkantolo zizonquma ngalezi zibonelo ezingokomthetho ezilandelayo ngo-2050:

Ingabe isigwebo sentambo kufanele siqedwe? Njengoba isayensi ifunda kabanzi mayelana nobuchopho, kuzofika isikhathi ngasekupheleni kweminyaka yama-2040 kuya maphakathi nawo-2050 lapho ubugebengu babantu bungaqondwa ngokusekelwe kubhayoloji yabo. Mhlawumbe isiboshwa sazalwa sithambekele ekubeni nolaka noma sokuziphatha okungathandeki emphakathini, mhlawumbe sinekhono eliphazamisekile ngokwemizwa lokuzwa uzwela noma ukuzisola. Lezi izimfanelo ezingokwengqondo ososayensi banamuhla abasebenzela ukuzihlukanisa ngaphakathi kwengqondo ukuze, esikhathini esizayo, abantu 'belapheke' kulezi zici zobuntu ezeqisayo.

Ngokufanayo, njengoba kubonisiwe ku isahluko sesihlanu ochungechungeni lwethu Lwekusasa Lezempilo, isayensi izoba nekhono lokuhlela kanye/noma ukusula izinkumbulo ngokuthanda kwakho, Sunshine Okuphakade of the Mind Ungenabala-isitayela. Ukwenza lokhu 'kungaphulukisa' abantu ezinkumbulo ezilimazayo kanye nolwazi olubi olunomthelela ekuthambekeleni kwabo kobugebengu.

Uma kubhekwa leli khono lesikhathi esizayo, ingabe kulungile ngomphakathi ukuba ugwebe umuntu intambo lapho isayensi izokwazi ukumelapha ngezizathu zebhayoloji nezingokwengqondo ezibangela ubugebengu? Lo mbuzo uzofiphaza inkulumo-mpikiswano ngokwanele ukuthi isigwebo sentambo sizowela ku-guillotine.

Ingabe uhulumeni kufanele abe negunya lokususa ngokwemithi noma ngokuhlinzwa ukuthambekela kobudlova noma okungahambisani nomphakathi kwezigebengu ezitholwe zinecala? Lesi sandulela esingokomthetho siwumphumela onengqondo wamakhono esayensi achazwe esandulela esingenhla. Uma othile elahlwa icala lobugebengu obungathi sína, ingabe uhulumeni kufanele abe negunya lokuhlela noma ukususa izimfanelo zalesi sigebengu ezinobudlova, ubudlova, noma zokungahloniphi? Ingabe isigebengu kufanele sikhethe okuthile kule ndaba? Yimaphi amalungelo isigebengu esinodlame esinawo maqondana nokuphepha komphakathi ngobubanzi?

Ingabe uhulumeni kufanele abe negunya lokukhipha incwadi egunyaza ukufinyelela imicabango nezinkumbulo ezisengqondweni yomuntu? Njengoba kuhlolisisiwe esahlukweni sesibili salolu chungechunge, maphakathi nawo-2040, imishini yokufunda ingqondo izongena endaweni yomphakathi lapho izoqhubeka nokubhala kabusha isiko futhi iguqule imikhakha eyahlukene. Ngokwengqikithi yomthetho, kufanele sibuze ukuthi thina njengomphakathi siyafuna yini ukuvumela abashushisi bakahulumeni ilungelo lokufunda izingqondo zabantu ababoshiwe ukuze babone ukuthi benze icala yini.

Ingabe ukwephulwa komqondo womuntu kuwukuhwebelana okuzuzisayo ukuze abonise ukuthi unecala? Kuthiwani ngokufakazela ubumsulwa bomuntu? Ingabe ijaji lingagunyaza incwadi egunyaza amaphoyisa ukuba aseshe imicabango nezinkumbulo zakho ngendlela efanayo nejaji elingagunyaza ngayo amaphoyisa okwamanje ukuba aseshe ikhaya lakho uma esola isenzo esingekho emthethweni? Kungenzeka ukuthi impendulo izoba uyebo kuyo yonke le mibuzo; kodwa, umphakathi uzofuna ukuthi abenzi bomthetho babeke imingcele echazwe kahle yokuthi amaphoyisa angangcolisana kanjani ekhanda lomuntu isikhathi esingakanani.

Ngabe uhulumeni kufanele abe negunya lokukhipha izigwebo ezinde ngokweqile noma odilikajele? Ukwelulwa kwezigwebo ejele, ikakhulukazi udilikajele, kungase kube yinto yesikhathi esidlule emashumini ambalwa eminyaka edlule.

Kokunye, ukubophisa umuntu ukuphila kwakhe konke kubiza ngendlela engalawuleki.

Okwesibili, nakuba kuyiqiniso ukuthi umuntu akasoze abusula ubugebengu, kuyiqiniso futhi ukuthi umuntu angashintsha ngokuphelele ngesikhathi esithile. Umuntu oseminyakeni yawo-80 akayena umuntu owayeneminyaka engu-40, njengoba nje umuntu oseminyakeni yawo-40 engeyena umuntu owayenguye eminyakeni yawo-20 noma eshumini nambili njalonjalo. Futhi uma kubhekwa iqiniso lokuthi abantu bayashintsha futhi bakhule ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, ingabe kulungile ukuvalela umuntu ukuphila kwakhe konke ngenxa yobugebengu abenza eminyakeni yawo-20, ikakhulukazi uma kubhekwa ukuthi cishe bayoba abantu abahluke ngokuphelele lapho beneminyaka engu-40 noma engu-60? Le mpikiswano iqiniswa kuphela uma isigebengu sivuma ukuthi ubuchopho baso belashwe ukuze kususwe ukuthambekela kwaso kobudlova noma okungahambisani nomphakathi.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, njengoba kuchaziwe ku- isahluko sesithupha ochungechungeni lwethu Lwekusasa Lenani Labantu, kwenzekani lapho isayensi yenza kube nokwenzeka ukuphila ngezinombolo ezintathu—isikhathi sokuphila samakhulu eminyaka. Ingabe kuyoba nokuziphatha okuhle ukuvalela umuntu ukuphila kwakhe konke? Kwaphela amakhulu eminyaka? Esikhathini esithile, izigwebo ezinde ngokweqile ziba uhlobo lwesijeziso esinonya ngokungenasizathu.

Ngenxa yazo zonke lezi zizathu, amashumi eminyaka ezayo azobona izigwebo zodilikajele ziqedwa njengoba uhlelo lwethu lwezobulungiswa bobugebengu lukhula.

Lezi kumane kuyizibonelo zohlu olubanzi lwezandulela zomthetho abameli namajaji okuzodingeka basebenze phakathi namashumi eminyaka ezayo. Sithanda noma singathandi, siphila ezikhathini ezingavamile.