ʻEulopa; Ke ala aʻe o nā aupuni hoʻomāinoino: Geopolitics of Climate Change

ʻO kēia wānana maikaʻi ʻole e kālele ana i nā geopolitics ʻEulopa e pili ana i ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke aniau ma waena o 2040 a me 2050. Ke heluhelu nei ʻoe, e ʻike ʻoe i kahi ʻEulopa i ʻāhewa ʻia e ka pōʻai ʻai a me ka haunaele nui. E ʻike ʻoe i kahi ʻEulopa kahi e huki holoʻokoʻa ai ka UK mai ka European Union, aʻo ke koena o nā lāhui i komo e kūlou i ka ulu ulu ʻana o Russia. A e ʻike pū ʻoe i kahi ʻEulopa kahi e hāʻule ai ka hapa nui o kona mau lāhui i ka lima o nā aupuni ultra-nationalist e kuhikuhi ana i ka nui o nā miliona o ka poʻe mahuka e holo ana i ʻEulopa mai ʻApelika a me ka Middle East.

Akā, ma mua o ka hoʻomaka ʻana, e wehewehe kākou i kekahi mau mea. ʻAʻole i huki ʻia kēia kiʻi paʻi-ʻo kēia mua geopolitical o ʻEulopa. ʻO nā mea a pau āu e heluhelu ai, ua hoʻokumu ʻia ia mai ka hana o nā wānana aupuni i loaʻa i ka lehulehu mai ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa a me ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa, mai kahi pūʻulu manaʻo pilikino a pili i ke aupuni, a mai ka hana a nā mea nūpepa e like me Gywnne Dyer, he mea kākau alakaʻi ma kēia kahua. Ua helu ʻia nā loulou i ka hapa nui o nā kumu i hoʻohana ʻia ma ka hopena.

Ma luna o kēlā, ua hoʻokumu ʻia kēia snapshot i nā manaʻo penei:

1. ʻO nā hoʻopukapuka aupuni o ke ao holoʻokoʻa e kaupalena nui a hoʻohuli paha i ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke aniau e noho mālie a ʻaʻole loa.

2. ʻAʻole hoʻāʻo ʻia i ka geoengineering planetary.

3. Ka hana lā a ka lā ʻaʻole hāʻule i lalo kona kūlana i kēia manawa, a laila e ho'ēmi ana i ka mahana honua.

4. ʻAʻohe hanana koʻikoʻi i hana ʻia i ka ikehu fusion, a ʻaʻohe hoʻopukapuka nui i hana ʻia ma ka honua holoʻokoʻa i loko o ka desalination aupuni a me nā ʻoihana mahiʻai kūwaho.

5. I ka makahiki 2040, e holomua ana ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke aniau a hiki i kahi pae i ʻoi aku ka nui o ke kinoea greenhouse (GHG) i ka lewa ma mua o 450 ʻāpana o ka miliona.

6. Heluhelu ʻoe i kā mākou hoʻomaka ʻana i ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke aniau a me nā hopena maikaʻi ʻole e loaʻa iā mākou ma kā mākou wai inu, mahiʻai, kūlanakauhale kahakai, a me nā mea kanu a me nā holoholona inā ʻaʻohe hana e kūʻē iā ia.

Me kēia mau manaʻo noʻonoʻo, e ʻoluʻolu e heluhelu i ka wānana aʻe me ka noʻonoʻo hāmama.

ʻO ka meaʻai a me ka moʻolelo o ʻelua ʻEulopa

ʻO kekahi o nā hakakā koʻikoʻi e hoʻololi ʻia ke aniau ma ʻEulopa i ka hopena o 2040s ʻo ia ka palekana meaʻai. ʻO ka piʻi ʻana o ka mahana e lilo ai nā wahi ākea o ʻEulopa Hema e lilo ka hapa nui o kāna ʻāina mahiʻai (mahiai) i ka wela loa. ʻO ka mea nui, ʻo nā ʻāina hema nui e like me Sepania a me Italia, a me nā lāhui liʻiliʻi hikina e like me Montenegro, Serbia, Bulgaria, Albania, Makedonia, a me Helene, e alo a pau i waena o ka piʻi ʻana o ka wela loa, e hoʻoikaika ana i ka mahiʻai kuʻuna.  

ʻOiai ʻaʻole e lilo ka loaʻa ʻana o ka wai i mea pilikia no ʻEulopa e like me ia no ʻApelika a me ka Hikina Waena, ʻo ka wela nui e hoʻōki i ka pōʻaiapili germination o nā mea kanu ʻEulopa.

ʻo kahi laʻana, nā haʻawina i mālama ʻia e ke Kulanui Heluhelu ma luna o ʻelua o nā ʻano laiki i ulu nui ʻia, ʻo ka ʻāina haʻahaʻa, a me ka japonica uka, ua ʻike ʻia ua pilikia loa nā mea ʻelua i nā wela kiʻekiʻe. ʻO ka mea kikoʻī, inā ʻoi aku ka mahana ma mua o 35 degere Celsius i ka wā o ko lākou pua ʻana, e lilo nā mea kanu i sterile, e hua liʻiliʻi inā he mau hua. Nui nā ʻāina wela a me ʻAsia kahi o ka laiki ka meaʻai nui e waiho nei ma ka ʻaoʻao o kēia wahi wela o Goldilocks, no laila hiki i ka hoʻomehana ʻana ke hōʻeha i ka pōʻino. Loaʻa ka pilikia like no ka nui o nā mea kanu ʻEulopa e like me ka palaoa a me ka maile ke piʻi ka mahana ma mua o ko lākou mau wahi Goldilocks.

Nā loulou moʻo WWIII Climate Wars

Pehea ka 2 pakeneka hoʻomehana honua e alakaʻi ai i ke kaua honua: WWIII Climate Wars P1

WWIII NA KAUA KLIMA: NARRATIVES

ʻO ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa a me Mekiko, he moʻolelo o hoʻokahi palena: WWIII Climate Wars P2

ʻO Kina, ka hoʻopaʻi ʻana o ka Dragon Yellow: WWIII Climate Wars P3

ʻO Kanada a me Australia, Ua hewa ka hana: WWIII Climate Wars P4

ʻEulopa, Pāpū Pelekane: WWIII Climate Wars P5

ʻO Rusia, kahi hānau ma kahi mahiʻai: WWIII Climate Wars P6

ʻO India, e kali ana i nā ʻuhane: WWIII Climate Wars P7

Hikina Waena, hāʻule hou i loko o nā wao nahele: WWIII Climate Wars P8

Hikina Hema o Asia, Drowning in your Past: WWIII Climate Wars P9

ʻApelika, Ke pale ʻana i kahi hoʻomanaʻo: WWIII Climate Wars P10

ʻAmelika Hema, Kipi: WWIII Climate Wars P11

WWIII NA KAUA ANA: KA GEOPOLITICS O KA HOOLOLI ANA

ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa VS Mekiko: Geopolitics of Climate Change

Kina, Ke ala ʻana o kahi alakaʻi honua hou: Geopolitics of Climate Change

ʻO Kanada a me Australia, nā pā kaua o ka hau a me ke ahi: Geopolitics of Climate Change

ʻO Rūsia, ua hoʻi hou ke aupuni: Geopolitics of Climate Change

India, Wī a me Fiefdoms: Geopolitics of Climate Change

Hikina Waena, Hoʻohaʻahaʻa a me Radicalization o ka Honua Arab: Geopolitics of Climate Change

Hikina Hema o Asia, Hiolo o na Tiga: Geopolitics of Climate Change

ʻApelika, Continent of Famine and War: Geopolitics of Climate Change

ʻAmelika Hema, Continent of Revolution: Geopolitics of Climate Change

WWIII CLIMATE WARS: He aha ka hiki ke hana

Nā Aupuni a me ka Global New Deal: The End of the Climate Wars P12

He aha kāu e hana ai e pili ana i ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke aniau: The End of the Climate Wars P13