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Mapeto akuba: Tsogolo laupandu P1

David Tal, Wofalitsa, Futurist
@DavidTalWrites
LinkedIn

Lachisanu, 11/10/2017 - 06:20

Tikukhala m’dziko losoŵeka, losakhala ndi zokwanira zoyendayenda. Ndicho chifukwa chake, kuyambira chiyambi cha moyo waumunthu, pakhala pali chilakolako chakuba, kutenga kwa ena kuti tilemeretse ife eni. Ngakhale kuti malamulo ndi makhalidwe amaletsa, kuba ndi chilakolako chachibadwa, chomwe chathandiza makolo athu kukhala otetezeka ndi kudyetsedwa m'mibadwo yonse.

Komabe, monga momwe kuba kuliri kwachilengedwe m'chilengedwe chathu, umunthu wangotsala zaka makumi angapo kuti chisonkhezero chakuba chisagwire ntchito. Chifukwa chiyani? Chifukwa luntha la anthu, kwa nthawi yoyamba m’mbiri, likukankhira zamoyo zathu ku nyengo ya kuchulukana, kumene zosoŵa zakuthupi za aliyense zimakhutiritsidwa.

Ngakhale kuti tsogolo limeneli lingakhale lovuta kulilingalira lerolino, munthu afunikira kungolingalira mmene mikhalidwe yotsatirayi idzagwirira ntchito pamodzi kuthetsa nyengo yakuba wamba.

Tech ipangitsa kuti zinthu zamtengo wapatali zikhale zovuta kuziba

Makompyuta, ndi odabwitsa, ndipo posachedwa adzakhala mu chilichonse chomwe timagula. Cholembera chanu, kapu yanu ya khofi, nsapato zanu, chilichonse. Zamagetsi zikucheperachepera chaka chilichonse kotero kuti posachedwa chinthu chilichonse chikhala ndi gawo la 'nzeru' lokhazikika.

Izi zonse ndi gawo la Internet Zinthu (IoT), yofotokozedwa mwatsatanetsatane m'mutu XNUMX wa Tsogolo lathu lapaintaneti. Mwachidule, IoT imagwira ntchito poyika masensa amagetsi ang'onoang'ono-to-microscopic pamakina omwe amapanga zinthuzi, komanso (nthawi zina) ngakhale muzopangira zomwe zimadya m'makina omwe amapanga zinthuzi. .

Masensa amalumikizana ndi intaneti opanda zingwe ndipo poyambilira amayendetsedwa ndi mabatire ang'onoang'ono, kenako kudzera pa ma receptor omwe amatha. sonkhanitsani mphamvu popanda zingwe kuchokera kuzinthu zosiyanasiyana zachilengedwe. Masensa awa amapatsa opanga ndi ogulitsa kuthekera kosatheka kuwunika, kukonza, kusintha, ndi kugulitsa zinthu zawo patali.

Momwemonso, kwa munthu wamba, masensa a IoT awa amawalola kutsatira chilichonse chomwe ali nacho. Izi zikutanthauza kuti mukataya china chake, mudzatha kuchisaka ndi foni yamakono yanu. Ndipo ngati wina akuberani china chake, mutha kugawana ID ya sensor ya malo anu ndi apolisi kuti afufuze (mwachitsanzo, kutha kwa njinga).

Umboni wakuba ndi mapangidwe

Mofanana ndi mfundo yomwe ili pamwambayi, opanga zinthu zamakono ndi mapulogalamu amakono akupanga zinthu zanzeru zamtsogolo kuti zisabadwe mwa kupanga.

Mwachitsanzo, mutha kutsitsa mapulogalamu m'mafoni anu omwe angakuloleni kutseka kapena kupukuta mafayilo anu ngati foni yanu yabedwa. Pulogalamuyi imathanso kukuthandizani kuti muzitha kuyang'ana komwe ili. Pali ngakhale mapulogalamu kunja tsopano amene angakuthandizeni kuwononga kutali kapena 'njerwa' foni yanu ngati idzabedwa. Izi zikayamba kuchulukirachulukira pofika chaka cha 2020, mtengo wamafoni obedwa udzakwera, motero kuchepetsa umbava wawo wonse.

Momwemonso, magalimoto ogula amakono kwenikweni amakhala makompyuta pamawilo. Mitundu yambiri yatsopano imakhala ndi chitetezo chakuba (kutsata kwakutali) komwe kumapangidwa mwachisawawa. Mitundu yamtengo wapatali imakhala ndi zotsimikizira zakutali, kuwonjezera pa kukonzedwa kuti zizigwira ntchito kwa eni ake okha. Zodzitchinjiriza zoyambilira izi zidzakwaniritsidwa bwino nthawi yomwe magalimoto odziyendetsa okha (odziyendetsa okha) afika pamsewu, ndipo kuchuluka kwawo kukamakula, mitengo yakuba magalimoto idzatsikanso.

Zonse, kaya ndi laputopu yanu, wotchi yanu, wailesi yakanema yokulirapo, chida chilichonse chamagetsi choposa $50-100 chamtengo wapatali chidzakhala ndi zida zotsutsana ndi kuba zomwe zidakhazikitsidwa mkati mwazaka zapakati pa 2020s. Pofika nthawi imeneyo, makampani a inshuwaransi ayamba kupereka chithandizo chotsika mtengo chothana ndi kuba; Zofanana ndi zotetezera kunyumba, ntchitoyi idzayang'anira katundu wanu 'wanzeru' ndikuchenjezani kuti chilichonse chichoke kunyumba kwanu kapena munthu popanda chilolezo chanu.

Ndalama zakuthupi zimapita ku digito

Ogwiritsa ntchito mafoni a m'manja mwina adamva kale zilengezo zoyambirira za Apple Pay ndi Google Wallet, ntchito zomwe zimakupatsani mwayi wogula zinthu pamalo enieni kudzera pa foni yanu. Pofika kumayambiriro kwa zaka za 2020, njira yolipirayi idzavomerezedwa komanso yodziwika kwa ogulitsa ambiri akuluakulu.

Izi ndi ntchito zina zofananira zidzafulumizitsa kusintha kwa anthu kuti agwiritse ntchito mitundu ya digito ya ndalama zokhazokha, makamaka pakati pa omwe ali pansi pa 40. Ndipo pamene anthu ochepa amanyamula ndalama zakuthupi, kuopseza kwa mbava kudzatsika pang'onopang'ono. (Zodziwikiratu ndizo anthu omwe amagwedeza malaya a mink ndi zodzikongoletsera zolemera.)

Chilichonse chikutsika mtengo

Mfundo ina yofunika kuiganizira n’njakuti kufunika kwa kuba kudzakula pamene moyo ukuyenda bwino ndiponso mtengo wa moyo ukucheperachepera. Kuyambira m'ma 1970, takhala tizolowera dziko la kukwera kwa mitengo kosalekeza kotero kuti tsopano ndizovuta kulingalira dziko lomwe pafupifupi chilichonse chidzakhala chotchipa kwambiri kuposa masiku ano. Koma ndi dziko lomwe tikupitako muzaka makumi awiri kapena zitatu zokha. Ganizirani mfundo izi:

Pofika chaka cha 2040, mtengo wazinthu zambiri za ogula udzatsika chifukwa cha kuchuluka kwazinthu zopanga zokha (maloboti ndi luntha lochita kupanga), kukula kwachuma chogawana (Craigslist), komanso ogulitsa mapepala omwe amapeza phindu lambiri adzafunika kugwira ntchito kuti agulitse. misika yayikulu yosagwira ntchito kapena yochepera.
Mautumiki ambiri amamvanso kutsika kofananako pamitengo yawo kuchokera pampikisano wapaintaneti, kupatula mautumiki omwe amafunikira chidwi chamunthu: lingalirani ophunzitsa aumwini, othandizira kutikita minofu, osamalira, ndi zina zambiri.
Maphunziro, pafupifupi m'magawo onse, adzakhala aulere - makamaka chifukwa cha kuyankha koyambirira kwa boma (2030-2035) pazovuta za ma automation ambiri komanso kufunikira kopitiliza kuphunzitsa anthu kuti agwire ntchito ndi ntchito zatsopano. Werengani zambiri m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la Maphunziro zino.
Kugwiritsa ntchito kwambiri makina osindikizira a 3D, kukula kwa zida zomangira zovuta, komanso kuyika ndalama zaboma m'nyumba zambiri zotsika mtengo, kupangitsa kuti mitengo yanyumba (renti) igwe. Werengani zambiri m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la Mizinda zino.
Ndalama zachipatala zidzatsika chifukwa cha kusintha koyendetsedwa ndi tekinoloje pakutsata zaumoyo mosalekeza, mankhwala opangidwa ndi munthu payekha (kulondola), komanso chisamaliro chaumoyo chodzitetezera kwanthawi yayitali. Werengani zambiri m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la Thanzi zino.
Pofika mchaka cha 2040, mphamvu zongowonjezedwanso zidzadyetsa theka la zofunikira zamagetsi padziko lonse lapansi, kutsitsa kwambiri mabilu amagetsi kwa ogwiritsa ntchito wamba. Werengani zambiri m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la Mphamvu zino.
Nthawi ya magalimoto amtundu uliwonse idzatha m'malo mwa magalimoto amagetsi, odziyendetsa okha omwe amayendetsedwa ndi makampani ogawana magalimoto ndi taxi - izi zidzapulumutsa eni magalimoto akale pafupifupi $3-6,000 pachaka. Werengani zambiri m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la Maulendo zino.
Kukwera kwa GMO ndi zolowa m'malo mwazakudya kudzachepetsa mtengo wazakudya zofunika kwa anthu ambiri. Werengani zambiri m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la Chakudya zino.
Pomaliza, zosangalatsa zambiri zidzaperekedwa motchipa kapena kwaulere kudzera pazida zowonetsera pa intaneti, makamaka kudzera pa VR ndi AR. Werengani zambiri m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la intaneti zino.

Kaya ndi zinthu zomwe timagula, chakudya chomwe timadya, kapena denga la pamutu pathu, zofunika zomwe munthu wamba adzafunika kukhala nazo zonse zidzatsika pamtengo m'dziko lathu lamtsogolo laukadaulo, lopangidwa ndi makina. Ichi ndichifukwa chake ndalama zamtsogolo zapachaka za $24,000 zitha kukhala ndi mphamvu zogulira zofananira ngati malipiro a $50-60,000 mu 2016.

Owerenga ena atha kukhala akufunsa kuti, "Koma mtsogolomo pomwe makina azidzatenga ntchito zambiri, kodi anthu adzatha bwanji kupanga $24,000 poyambira?"

Chabwino, m'malo athu Tsogolo la Ntchito tikufotokoza mwatsatanetsatane momwe maboma amtsogolo, akayang'anizana ndi chiyembekezo cha kuchuluka kwa ulova, adzakhazikitse ndondomeko yatsopano yazaumoyo yotchedwa Zowonjezera Zachilengedwe (UBI). Mwachidule, UBI ndi ndalama zomwe zimaperekedwa kwa nzika zonse (olemera ndi osauka) payekhapayekha komanso mopanda malire, mwachitsanzo, popanda kuyesa njira kapena ntchito. Ndi boma kukupatsirani ndalama zaulere mwezi uliwonse.

M'malo mwake, ziyenera kumveka ngati zodziwika bwino poganizira kuti anthu okalamba amalandira zinthu zomwezo monga chithandizo chapamwezi. Koma ndi UBI, olimbikitsa mapulogalamu akunena kuti, 'N'chifukwa chiyani timangodalira akuluakulu kuti azisamalira ndalama za boma zaulere?'

Poganizira zochitika zonsezi zikubwera pamodzi (ndi UBI itaponyedwa mu kusakaniza), ndizomveka kunena kuti pofika m'ma 2040, anthu ambiri okhala m'mayiko otukuka sadzakhalanso ndi nkhawa kuti akusowa ntchito kuti apulumuke. Zidzakhala chiyambi cha nthawi ya kuchuluka. Ndipo kumene kuli kochulukira, kufunikira kwa kuba zazing'ono kumagwera m'mbali mwa njira.

Kugwira ntchito bwino kwa apolisi kumapangitsa kuba kukhala kowopsa komanso kokwera mtengo

Kukambidwa mwatsatanetsatane wathu Tsogolo la Apolisi mndandanda, madipatimenti apolisi a mawa adzakhala ogwira mtima kwambiri kuposa masiku ano. Bwanji? Kupyolera mu kuphatikiza kwa Big Brother surveillance, artificial intelligence (AI), ndi Minority Report-style pre-crime.

Makamera a CCTV. Chaka chilichonse, kupita patsogolo kosasunthika muukadaulo wamakamera a CCTV kumapangitsa zida zowunikirazi kukhala zotsika mtengo komanso zothandiza kwambiri. Pofika chaka cha 2025, makamera a CCTV adzaphimba mizinda yambiri ndi nyumba zachinsinsi, osatchulanso makamera a CCTV omwe ali ndi ma drones apolisi omwe azikhala ofala chaka chomwecho.

AI. Pofika kumapeto kwa zaka za m'ma 2020, m'madipatimenti onse apolisi m'mizinda yayikulu adzakhala ndi makompyuta apamwamba m'malo awo. Makompyuta awa azikhala ndi apolisi amphamvu a AI omwe adzawononge kuchuluka kwazinthu zowunikira makanema zomwe zimasonkhanitsidwa ndi makamera masauzande a CCTV ammzindawu. Kenako idzagwiritsa ntchito mapulogalamu apamwamba ozindikiritsa nkhope kuti agwirizane ndi nkhope za anthu zomwe zajambulidwa pavidiyo ndi nkhope za anthu omwe ali m'ndandanda wazowunikira boma. Ichi ndi gawo lomwe lithandizira kuthetsa vuto la anthu omwe akusowa ndi othawa kwawo, komanso kutsata anthu omwe amasulidwa, omwe akuganiziridwa kuti ndi ophwanya malamulo, komanso zigawenga zomwe zingatheke.

Upandu usanachitike. Njira inanso ma kompyuta akuluakulu a AI angathandizire m'madipatimenti apolisi ndikugwiritsa ntchito "programu ya predictive analytics" kuti atolere malipoti azaka zaupandu ndi ziwerengero, kenako ndikuziphatikiza ndi zosintha zenizeni zenizeni monga kuchitika kwa zosangalatsa, njira zamagalimoto, nyengo, ndi zina. Zomwe zapangidwa kuchokera mu datayi zidzakhala mapu a mzinda omwe akuwonetsa kuthekera ndi mtundu wa zigawenga zomwe zingachitike nthawi ina iliyonse.

Zomwe zikugwiritsidwa ntchito masiku ano, madipatimenti apolisi amagwiritsa ntchito chidziwitsochi kutumiza apolisi awo m'matauni momwe pulogalamuyo imaneneratu zachigawenga. Pokhala ndi apolisi ochulukirapo omwe amalondera madera omwe ali ndi vuto, apolisi amakhala ndi mwayi wothana ndi umbanda momwe zimachitikira kapena kuwopseza omwe angakhale zigawenga.

Mitundu yakuba yomwe idzapulumuke

Ngakhale kuti maulosi onse angaoneke ngati abwino, tiyenera kunena zoona kuti si mitundu yonse ya kuba imene idzathe. Tsoka ilo, kuba sikumakhalako kokha chifukwa cha chikhumbo chathu chokhala ndi chuma ndi zofunikira, kumadzanso chifukwa cha nsanje ndi chidani.

Mwina mtima wanu ndi wa munthu wina amene ali naye pachibwenzi. Mwina mukulimbirana udindo kapena udindo wina ali nawo. Mwina wina ali ndi galimoto yomwe imatembenuza mitu yambiri kuposa yanu.

Monga anthu, sitisirira zinthu zokhazo zomwe zimatilola kukhala ndi moyo, komanso zinthu zomwe zimatsimikizira kudzidalira kwathu. Chifukwa cha kufooka kwa psyche yaumunthu, nthawi zonse padzakhala chilimbikitso chobera chinachake, munthu kapena lingaliro lina ngakhale pamene palibe zinthu zokakamiza kapena kupulumuka kuyenera kutero. Ichi ndichifukwa chake zolakwa zamtima ndi zokonda zathu zipitiliza kusunga ndende zamtsogolo mu bizinesi.

Kenako mu mndandanda wathu wa Tsogolo la Upandu, tikufufuza za tsogolo la umbanda wa pa intaneti, chigawenga chomaliza.