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ZITHUNZI CREDIT: Quantumrun

Canada ndi Australia, linga la ayezi ndi moto: Geopolitics of Climate Change

David Tal, Wofalitsa, Futurist
@DavidTalWrites
LinkedIn

Lachiwiri, 09/15/2020 - 11:04

Kuneneratu kosakhala bwino kumeneku kudzayang'ana kwambiri za dziko la Canada ndi Australian geopolitics monga zikugwirizana ndi kusintha kwa nyengo pakati pa zaka za 2040 ndi 2050. Pamene mukuwerengabe, mudzawona dziko la Canada lomwe likupindula mopanda malire chifukwa cha kutentha kwa nyengo. Koma mudzawonanso Australia yomwe yatengedwera m'mphepete, ikusintha kukhala malo achipululu pomwe imamanga malo obiriwira kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi kuti apulumuke.

Koma tisanayambe, tiyeni timveke bwino pa zinthu zingapo. Chithunzi ichi - tsogolo lazandale la Canada ndi Australia - silinatengeke. Chilichonse chomwe mukufuna kuwerenga chimachokera ku ntchito zolosera zaboma zomwe zikupezeka poyera kuchokera ku United States ndi United Kingdom, magulu oganiza achinsinsi komanso ogwirizana ndi boma, komanso ntchito ya atolankhani ngati Gwynne Dyer, mtsogoleri wotsogola. wolemba m'munda uno. Maulalo kuzinthu zambiri zogwiritsidwa ntchito alembedwa kumapeto.

Kuphatikiza apo, chithunzithunzichi chimakhazikitsidwanso pamalingaliro awa:

Ndalama zapadziko lonse lapansi zomwe boma likuchita pofuna kuchepetsa kapena kusintha kusintha kwanyengo sizikhala zapakati mpaka kulibe.
Palibe kuyesa kwa mapulaneti a geoengineering omwe akuchitidwa.
Zochita za dzuwa za dzuwa sichigwera pansi mmene lilili panopa, motero kuchepetsa kutentha kwa dziko.
Palibe zopambana zomwe zimapangidwira mu mphamvu ya fusion, ndipo palibe ndalama zazikulu zomwe zimapangidwira padziko lonse lapansi pakuchotsa mchere wamchere ndi zomangamanga zaulimi.
Pofika chaka cha 2040, kusintha kwanyengo kudzakhala kwapita patsogolo mpaka pomwe mpweya wowonjezera kutentha (GHG) mumlengalenga umaposa magawo 450 pa miliyoni.
Mumawerenga mawu athu oyambira pakusintha kwanyengo ndi zotsatira zoyipa zomwe zingakhudze madzi athu akumwa, ulimi, mizinda ya m'mphepete mwa nyanja, ndi zomera ndi zinyama ngati palibe chomwe chingachitike.

Poganizira izi, chonde werengani maulosi otsatirawa ndi maganizo omasuka.

Chirichonse nzabwino pansi pa mthunzi wa Amereka

Pofika kumapeto kwa zaka za m'ma 2040, dziko la Canada likhalabe limodzi mwa mayiko ochepa okhazikika ademokalase padziko lapansi ndipo lidzapitirizabe kupindula ndi chuma chomwe chikukula pang'onopang'ono. Chifukwa chomwe chimapangitsa kukhazikika kumeneku ndi chifukwa cha malo ake, chifukwa Canada idzapindula kwambiri ndi kusintha kwa nyengo koyambirira m'njira zosiyanasiyana.

Water

Chifukwa cha madzi ake ochuluka (makamaka ku Nyanja Yaikulu), Canada sidzawona kusowa kwa madzi pamlingo womwe ungawonekere padziko lonse lapansi. M'malo mwake, Canada idzakhala yotumiza madzi kunja kwa mayiko oyandikana nawo akumwera omwe akuchulukirachulukira. Komanso, madera ena a Canada (makamaka Quebec) adzawona mvula yowonjezereka, zomwe zidzalimbikitsa kukolola kwakukulu m'mafamu.

Food

Dziko la Canada limadziwika kale kuti ndi limodzi mwa mayiko omwe amagulitsa zinthu zaulimi padziko lonse lapansi, makamaka mu tirigu ndi mbewu zina. M'zaka za m'ma 2040, nyengo yokulirapo komanso yotentha idzapangitsa utsogoleri waulimi ku Canada kukhala wachiwiri ku Russia. Tsoka ilo, chifukwa cha kugwa kwaulimi komwe kukuwoneka m'madera ambiri kum'mwera kwa United States (US), chakudya chochuluka ku Canada chidzalowera chakum'mwera m'malo mopita kumisika yapadziko lonse lapansi. Kugulitsa uku kumachepetsa mphamvu zomwe dziko la Canada lingapindule ngati lingagulitse zochulukira zake zaulimi kutsidya lina.

Chodabwitsa n'chakuti, ngakhale chakudya cham'dzikoli chili ndi zakudya zambiri, anthu ambiri aku Canada adzawonabe kukwera mtengo kwamitengo yazakudya. Alimi aku Canada angopanga ndalama zochulukirapo pogulitsa zokolola zawo kumisika yaku America.

Nthawi za Boom

Kuchokera pazachuma, zaka za m'ma 2040 zitha kuwona kuti dziko lapansi likulowa m'mavuto azaka khumi pomwe kusintha kwanyengo kumakweza mitengo pazinthu zofunika padziko lonse lapansi, ndikufinya kuwononga kwa ogula. Ngakhale zili choncho, chuma cha Canada chipitilira kukula motere. Kufuna kwa US kwa zinthu zaku Canada (makamaka zaulimi) kudzakhala kokulirapo, kulola Canada kuti ibwezenso ku zotayika zandalama zomwe zidawonongeka pambuyo pa kugwa kwa misika yamafuta (chifukwa chakukula kwa ma EV, zongowonjezera, ndi zina).

Pakadali pano, mosiyana ndi US, yomwe iwona mafunde a anthu othawa kwawo omwe ali osauka akuthamangira kumalire akumwera kuchokera ku Mexico ndi Central America, akuvutitsa ntchito zake, Canada iwona mafunde a anthu ophunzira kwambiri komanso okwera mtengo aku America akusamukira kumpoto kudutsa malire ake, komanso. monga Azungu ndi Asiya akuchokera kunja. Ku Canada, kuchuluka kwa anthu obadwa m'mayiko ena kudzatanthauza kuchepa kwa anthu ogwira ntchito zaluso, kubwezeredwanso ndalama zothandizira chitetezo cha anthu, komanso kuchulukitsa kwandalama ndi bizinesi pachuma chake chonse.

Mad Max dziko

Australia kwenikweni ndi mapasa aku Canada. Amagawana mgwirizano wa Great White North paubwenzi ndi mowa koma amasiyana ndi kutentha kwake, ng'ona, ndi masiku atchuthi. Maiko awiriwa ndi ofanana modabwitsa m'njira zina zambiri, koma kumapeto kwa 2040s adzawawona akulowera njira ziwiri zosiyana kwambiri.

Dustbowl

Mosiyana ndi Canada, Australia ndi amodzi mwa mayiko otentha kwambiri komanso ouma kwambiri padziko lapansi. Pofika kumapeto kwa zaka za m'ma 2040, malo ake ambiri aulimi a chonde m'mphepete mwa nyanja ya kum'mwera adzawola pansi pa kutentha kwapakati pa madigiri anayi mpaka asanu ndi atatu. Ngakhale kuti ku Australia kuli madzi ambiri opanda mchere m'madawe apansi panthaka, kutentha kwakukulu kumalepheretsa kumera kwa mbewu zambiri za ku Australia. (Kumbukirani: Takhala tikuweta mbewu zamakono kwa zaka zambiri ndipo, chifukwa chake, zimatha kumera ndikukula pamene kutentha kwangokhala “Goldilocks moyenera.” Kuopsa kumeneku kulinso ku mbewu zambiri zazikulu za ku Australia, makamaka tirigu)

Monga chodziwikiratu, ziyenera kunenedwa kuti oyandikana nawo aku Southeast Asia aku Australia nawonso akukumana ndi zovuta zofanana ndi zokolola zamafamu. Izi zitha kupangitsa kuti Australia ivutike kugula chakudya chokwanira pamsika waposachedwa kuti chithandizire kuchepa kwaulimi wawo.

Sizokhazo, pamafunika makilogalamu 13 a tirigu ndi malita 5.9 (malita 2,500) amadzi kuti apange kilogalamu imodzi ya ng’ombe. Zokolola zikalephera, padzakhala kuchepa kwakukulu kwa mitundu yambiri ya nyama m'dzikolo-chinthu chachikulu popeza Aussies amakonda ng'ombe yawo. M’chenicheni, mbewu iliyonse imene ingabzalidwebe iyenera kudyedwa ndi anthu m’malo modyetsa nyama zapafamu. Kugawika kwachakudya kosatha komwe kudzadze kudzadzetsa chipwirikiti chapachiweniweni, kufooketsa mphamvu za boma lalikulu la Australia.

Mphamvu ya dzuwa

Kuthedwa nzeru ku Australia kukakamiza kuti ikhale yanzeru kwambiri pankhani yopangira magetsi komanso kulima chakudya. Pofika m'zaka za m'ma 2040, zotsatira za kusintha kwa nyengo zidzaika nkhani za chilengedwe patsogolo komanso pakati pa ndondomeko za boma. Otsutsa kusintha kwa nyengo sadzakhalanso ndi malo m'boma (zomwe ndi zosiyana kwambiri ndi ndondomeko ya ndale ya Aussie yamasiku ano).

Chifukwa cha kuchuluka kwa dzuwa ndi kutentha ku Australia, magetsi oyendera dzuwa adzamangidwa m'matumba m'zipululu za dzikolo. Mafakitale opangira magetsi adzuwawa adzapereka magetsi ku malo ambiri ochotsa mchere m'mafakitale ambiri omwe akusowa mphamvu, omwenso azidzadyetsa madzi ambiri abwino m'mizinda komanso zazikulu, Mafamu opangidwa ndi Japan amkati oyima komanso apansi panthaka. Ngati atamangidwa munthawi yake, ndalama zazikuluzikuluzi zitha kuthana ndi zovuta zakusintha kwanyengo, kusiya anthu aku Australia kuti azolowere nyengo yofanana ndi wamisala Max kanema.

Environment

Chimodzi mwazinthu zomvetsa chisoni kwambiri m'tsogolomu ku Australia ndi kuwonongeka kwakukulu kwa zomera ndi zinyama. Kungotentha kwambiri kuti zomera zambiri ndi zamoyo zoyamwitsa zizikhala panja. Pakali pano, nyanja zotentha zidzacheperachepera, ngati sizidzawononga kotheratu, Great Barrier Reef—tsoka kwa anthu onse.

Zifukwa za chiyembekezo

Chabwino, choyamba, zomwe mwangowerengazi ndizoneneratu, osati zenizeni. Komanso, ndizoneneratu zomwe zinalembedwa mu 2015. Zambiri zingathe ndipo zidzachitika pakati pa nthawi ino mpaka kumapeto kwa zaka za 2040 kuti zithetse zotsatira za kusintha kwa nyengo, zambiri zomwe zidzafotokozedwe mu mndandanda womaliza. Ndipo chofunika kwambiri, zonenedweratu zomwe tafotokozazi ndizotheka kupewa pogwiritsa ntchito ukadaulo wamakono komanso m'badwo wamakono.

Kuti mudziwe zambiri za momwe kusintha kwanyengo kungakhudzire madera ena padziko lapansi kapena kudziwa zomwe mungachite kuti muchepetse kusintha kwanyengo kenako ndikusintha, werengani nkhani zathu zokhudzana ndi kusintha kwanyengo pogwiritsa ntchito maulalo ali pansipa: