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Ukukhula kwesibalo sabantu uma kuqhathaniswa nokulawula: Ikusasa labantu P4

UDavid Tal, Umshicileli, i-Futurist
@DavidTalWrites
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ULwesibili, 09/15/2020 - 04:25

Abanye bathi inani labantu emhlabeni lizoqhuma, okuholela emazingeni endlala angakaze abonwe kanye nokuntengantenga komnotho. Abanye bathi inani labantu emhlabeni lizowohloka, okuholela enkathini yokuwohloka komnotho unomphela. Ngokumangalisayo, yomibili le mibono ilungile uma kukhulunywa ngokuthi inani labantu bethu lizokhula kanjani, kodwa aliyikhulumi yonke indaba.

Ezigabeni ezimbalwa, usuzobambeka neminyaka eyi-12,000 yomlando wabantu. Sizobe sesisebenzisa lowo mlando ukuhlola ukuthi umphakathi wethu wesikhathi esizayo uzodlala kanjani. Asingene kuyona.

Umlando wabantu bomhlaba ngamafuphi

Kalula nje, inani labantu emhlabeni liyinani eliphelele labantu okwamanje abahlala edwaleni lesithathu ukusuka elangeni. Emlandweni omningi wesintu, ukuthambekela okukhulu kwesibalo sabantu kwakumele kukhule kancane kancane, ukusuka ezigidini ezimbalwa nje ngo-10,000 ngaphambi kokuzalwa kukaKristu kuya cishe kwesigidigidi ngo-1800 CE. Kodwa ngokushesha ngemva kwalokho, kwenzeka okuthile okuguquguqukayo, i-Industrial Revolution ibe ncamashi.

Injini yesitimu iholele esitimeleni sokuqala nesikebhe esingenzanga izinto zokuhamba ngokushesha nje kuphela, yancipha umhlaba ngokunikeza labo abake bavaleleka emalokishini abo ukufinyelela kalula kuwo wonke umhlaba. Izimboni zingase zenziwe ngemishini okokuqala ngqa. Ama-Telegraphs avumele ukudluliswa kolwazi ezizweni nasemingceleni.

Konke-konke, phakathi kuka-1760 kuya ku-1840, i-Industrial Revolution yakhiqiza uguquko lolwandle ekukhiqizeni olwandisa umthamo wokuthwala abantu (inani labantu abangasekelwa) baseGreat Britain. Futhi ngokwanda kwemibuso yaseBrithani neyaseYurophu phakathi nekhulu leminyaka elalandela, izinzuzo zalokhu kuguquguquka zasakazekela kuwo wonke amagumbi omhlaba Omusha Nomdala.

Ngo-1870, lokhu kwanda, amandla okuthwala abantu emhlabeni wonke aholela ekubeni nenani labantu emhlabeni elingaba yizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-1.5. Lokhu kwakuwukwanda kwengxenye yebhiliyoni ekhulwini elilodwa leminyaka kusukela kwaqala INguquko Yezimboni—ukukhula okukhudlwana kunezinkulungwane ezimbalwa zeminyaka edlule ezandulele. Kodwa njengoba sazi kahle, umcimbi awugcinanga lapho.

INguquko Yesibili Yezimboni yenzeka phakathi kuka-1870 no-1914, iqhubeka ithuthukisa izinga lokuphila ngokusungulwa kwezinto ezinjengogesi, imoto nocingo. Lesi sikhathi siphinde sengeza enye ingxenye yebhiliyoni yabantu, okuhambisana nesivinini sokukhula kweNguquko Yezimboni yokuqala engxenyeni yesikhathi.

Khona-ke ngemva nje kweziMpi Zomhlaba ezimbili, ukunyakaza okubili okubanzi kwezobuchwepheshe kwenzeka okwakhulisa ukwanda kwethu kwabantu.

Okokuqala, ukusetshenziswa kabanzi kwemikhiqizo ye-petroleum kanye ne-petroleum yikho okwanika amandla impilo yesimanje manje esesiyijwayele. Ukudla kwethu, imithi yethu, imikhiqizo yethu yabathengi, izimoto zethu, nakho konke okuphakathi, kunikwe amandla noma kukhiqizwe ngokuphelele kusetshenziswa uwoyela. Ukusetshenziswa kukaphethiloli kwanikeza isintu amandla ashibhile nachichimayo esasingawasebenzisa ukuze sikhiqize yonke into eshibhile kunangaphambili.

Okwesibili, okubaluleke kakhulu emazweni asathuthuka, i-Green Revolution yenzeka phakathi kweminyaka yama-1930s kuya kuma-60s. Lokhu kuguquguquka kwakuhilela ucwaningo olusha kanye nobuchwepheshe obenze ezolimo zaba sezingeni lesimanjemanje ukuze zibe amazinga esiwajabulelayo namuhla. Phakathi kwezimbewu ezingcono, ukuchelela, ukuphathwa kwepulazi, umanyolo wokwenziwa kanye nezibulala-zinambuzane (futhi, ezenziwe nge-petroleum), i-Green Revolution yasindisa abantu abangaphezu kwesigidigidi endlaleni.

Ngokuhlangene, lezi zimo ezimbili zathuthukisa izimo zokuphila zomhlaba wonke, ingcebo, nokuphila isikhathi eside. Ngenxa yalokho, kusukela ngo-1960, inani labantu emhlabeni lenyuka lisuka kubantu abangaba yizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezine laya 7.4 billion by 2016.

Inani labantu emhlabeni lizoqhuma ... futhi

Eminyakeni embalwa edlule, izazi zabantu ezisebenzela i-UN zalinganisela ukuthi inani labantu emhlabeni lalizodlula ezigidini eziyizinkulungwane eziyisishiyagalolunye ngo-2040 bese lehla kancane kancane phakathi nalo lonke leli khulu leminyaka libe ngaphezudlwana kwezigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyisishiyagalombili. Lesi sibikezelo asisanembile.

Ngo-2015, uMnyango Wezindaba Zezomnotho Nezenhlalakahle WeZizwe Ezihlangene ukhiphe isibuyekezo esibikezelweni sabo esabona inani labantu emhlabeni lifinyelela inani eliphakeme labantu abayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-11 ngo-2100. Futhi leso isibikezelo esimaphakathi!

The ishadi elingenhla, evela kuyi-Scientific American, ibonisa ukuthi lokhu kulungiswa okukhulu kungenxa yokwanda okukhulu kunokulindelekile ezwenikazi lase-Afrika. Izibikezelo zangaphambilini zabikezela ukuthi amanani enzalo azokwehla ngokuphawulekayo, ithrendi engakaze yenzeke kuze kube manje. Amazinga aphezulu obumpofu,

ukwehlisa izinga lokufa kwezinsana, iminyaka yokuphila isikhathi eside, kanye nenani labantu basemaphandleni elingaphezu kwesilinganiso konke kube nomthelela kuleli zinga eliphezulu lokuzala.

Ukulawulwa kwabantu: Unesibopho noma i-alamu?

Noma nini lapho igama elithi 'population control' liphonswa nxazonke, uzohlale uzwa igama elithi, Thomas Robert Malthus, ngomoya ofanayo. Kungenxa yokuthi, ngo-1798, lesi sazi sezomnotho esicatshangelwayo saphikisana ngokuthi iphepha lesidoda ukuthi, “Isibalo sabantu, uma singahloliwe, sikhuphuka ngesilinganiso sejometri. Ukuziphilisa kukhula kuphela ngenani le-arithmetical." Ngamanye amazwi, inani labantu likhula ngokushesha kunekhono lomhlaba lokuliphakela.

Lesi sitimela sokucabanga saguqukela ekubeni nombono ongenathemba wokuthi sidla malini njengomphakathi kanye nemikhawulo ephezulu yokuthi kungakanani inani eliphelele elingasetshenziswa umuntu emhlabeni. Kubantu abaningi baseMalthusis banamuhla, inkolelo iwukuthi kufanele bonke abantu abayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyisikhombisa abaphila namuhla (2016) bathole amazinga okusetshenziswa e-First World—impilo ehlanganisa ama-SUV ethu, ukudla kwethu okunamaphrotheni amaningi, ukusebenzisa kwethu ugesi namanzi ngokweqile, njll. — The Earth ngeke ibe nezinsiza ezanele kanye nomhlaba ongahlangabezana nezidingo zawo wonke umuntu, ingasaphathwa eyesibalo sabantu abayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-11.

Sekukonke, ongqondongqondo baseMalthusian bakholelwa ekwehliseni ngamandla ukwanda kwenani labantu bese kusimamisa inani labantu emhlabeni ngenani elingenza kube nokwenzeka ukuba sonke isintu sihlanganyele ezingeni eliphezulu lokuphila. Ngokugcina inani labantu liphansi, singakwazi kuzuzwe indlela yokuphila yokusetshenziswa kakhulu ngaphandle kokuba nomthelela omubi endaweni ezungezile noma ukucekela phansi abanye. Ukuze uwuqonde kangcono lo mbono, cabangela lezi zimo ezilandelayo.

Inani labantu emhlabeni uma kuqhathaniswa nokushintsha kwesimo sezulu kanye nokukhiqizwa kokudla

Kufundwe kabanzi ngohlelo lwethu Ikusasa Lokuguquguquka Kwesimo Sezulu uchungechunge, lapho abantu bebaningi emhlabeni, yilapho abantu besebenzisa izinsiza Zomhlaba ukuze baqhubeke nempilo yabo yansuku zonke. Futhi njengoba inani labantu besigaba esiphakathi nabacebile likhula (njengephesenti lalesi sibalo sabantu esikhulayo), kanjalo nezinga eliphelele lokusetshenziswa lizokhula ngamanani akhulayo. Lokhu kusho amanani amakhulu kakhulu okudla, amanzi, amaminerali, namandla akhishwa eMhlabeni, okuphuma kwawo kwekhabhoni kuzongcolisa indawo yethu ezungezile.

Njengoba kuhlolisiswe ngokugcwele esihlokweni sethu Ikusasa Lokudla uchungechunge, isibonelo esikhathazayo salokhu kuhlangana kwabantu ngokumelene nesimo sezulu kudlalwa emkhakheni wethu wezolimo.

Kukho konke ukuphakama kwedigri elilodwa lokufudumala kwesimo sezulu, inani eliphelele lokuhwamuka lizokhuphuka cishe ngamaphesenti angu-15. Lokhu kuzoba nomthelela omubi enanini lemvula ezindaweni eziningi zokulima, kanye nasemazingeni amanzi emifuleni namachibi amanzi ahlanzekile emhlabeni jikelele.

Lokhu kuzoba nomthelela ekuvuneni kokulima emhlabeni jikelele njengoba ukulima kwesimanje kuvame ukuthembela ezinhlobonhlobo zezitshalo ezimbalwa ukuthi zikhule ngezinga lemboni—izitshalo zasekhaya ezikhiqizwa phakathi nezinkulungwane zeminyaka zokuzalaniswa ngezandla noma inqwaba yeminyaka yokuxhaphaza izakhi zofuzo. Inkinga ukuthi izitshalo eziningi zingakhula kuphela endaweni ethile lapho izinga lokushisa lilungile. Yingakho ukuguquka kwesimo sezulu kuyingozi kakhulu: kuzophusha eziningi zalezi zitshalo zasekhaya ngaphandle kwezindawo ezikhulayo ezithandwayo, kukhuphule ubungozi bokuhluleka kwezitshalo okukhulu emhlabeni jikelele.

Ngokwesibonelo, izifundo eziqhutshwa yi-University of Reading ithole ukuthi i-lowland indica kanye ne-upland japonica, izinhlobo ezimbili zerayisi ezitshalwa kakhulu, zazisengozini kakhulu emazingeni okushisa aphezulu. Ngokukhethekile, uma izinga lokushisa lingaphezu kuka-35 degrees Celsius ngesikhathi sokuqhakaza kwazo, izitshalo zizoba yinyumba, zinikeze okusanhlamvu okuncane. Amazwe amaningi asezindaweni ezishisayo nase-Asia lapho irayisi liwukudla okuyisisekelo okuyinhloko kakade esemaphethelweni ale ndawo yokushisa ye-Goldilocks, ngakho noma yikuphi ukufudumala okwengeziwe kungase kusho inhlekelele.

Manje cabanga ukuthi ingxenye enkulu yokusanhlamvu esiyitshalayo isetshenziselwa ukukhiqiza inyama. Ngokwesibonelo, kudinga amakhilogremu angu-13 (amakhilogremu angu-5.6) okusanhlamvu namalitha angu-2,500 9463 (amalitha angu-XNUMX) amanzi ukuze kukhiqizwe ikhilogremu elilodwa lenyama yenkomo. Iqiniso liwukuthi imithombo yendabuko yenyama, njengenhlanzi nemfuyo, iyimithombo yamaprotheni engasebenzi ngendlela emangalisayo uma iqhathaniswa namaprotheni atholakala ezitshalweni.

Ngokudabukisayo, ukunambitheka kwenyama ngeke kuphele maduze. Iningi lalabo abahlala emazweni athuthukile bayayazisa inyama njengengxenye yokudla kwabo kwansuku zonke, kuyilapho iningi lalabo emazweni asathuthuka babelana ngalezo zimiso futhi bafisa ukwandisa ukudla kwabo inyama lapho bekhuphuka iledi lezomnotho elikhuphukayo.

Njengoba inani labantu emhlabeni likhula, futhi njengoba labo abasemazweni asathuthuka beceba kakhulu, isidingo somhlaba wonke senyama sizokhuphuka, njengoba nje ukuguquka kwesimo sezulu kunciphisa inani lendawo yokulima nokufuya izinkomo. Oh, futhi kukhona nayo yonke indaba yakho konke ukugawulwa kwamahlathi okugqugquzelwa ezolimo kanye ne-methane evela emfuyweni okuhlanganisa amaphesenti angama-40 okukhishwa kwesisi esingcolisa umoya emhlabeni.

Futhi, ukukhiqizwa kokudla kuyisibonelo ESISODWA kuphela sokuthi ukukhula kwenani labantu kuqhuba kanjani ukusetshenziswa kufinyelele emazingeni angemihle.

Ukulawulwa kwesibalo sabantu kuyasebenza

Njengoba kunikezwe konke lokhu kukhathazeka okusekelwe kahle mayelana nokukhula okungalawuleki kwesibalo sabantu, kungase kube khona imiphefumulo emnyama ephikelela entsha. Ukufa Okumnyama noma ukuhlasela kwe-zombie ukuze mncane umhlambi womuntu. Ngenhlanhla, ukulawula inani labantu akudingeki kuncike ezifweni noma empini; esikhundleni salokho, ohulumeni emhlabeni wonke bane futhi benza ngenkuthalo izindlela ezehlukene zokulawula isimilo (ngezinye izikhathi) sokulawula inani labantu. Lezi zindlela zisukela ekusebenziseni ukuphoqelela kuya ekusunguleni kabusha imikhuba yomphakathi.

Kusukela ngasohlangothini oluphoqayo lwezimboni, umgomo waseShayina womntwana oyedwa, owethulwa ngo-1978 futhi osanda kuqedwa ngo-2015, ukhuthalele ukudikibalisa imibhangqwana ekubeni nengane engaphezu kweyodwa. Abephula lo mgomo babebhekene nezinhlawulo ezinzima, futhi abanye babephoqwa ukuthi bakhiphe izisu kanye nezinqubo zokuvala inzalo.

Khonamanjalo, ngawo lowo nyaka i-China yaqeda inqubomgomo yayo yokuba nengane eyodwa, iMyanmar yaphasisa uMthethosivivinywa Wokulawulwa Kwezempilo Wokulawulwa Kwabantu ophoqelela uhlobo oluthambile lokulawulwa kwabantu okuphoqelelwe. Lapha, imibhangqwana efuna ukuba nezingane eziningi kufanele ihlukanise ukuzalwa ngakunye iminyaka emithathu ngokuhlukana.

E-India, ukulawulwa kwenani labantu kwenziwa lula ngobandlululo olusezikhungweni. Isibonelo, yilabo kuphela abanezingane ezimbili noma ngaphansi abangangenela ukhetho kuhulumeni wasekhaya. Izisebenzi zikahulumeni zinikezwa izinzuzo ezithile zokunakekela izingane kuze kufike ezinganeni ezimbili. Futhi kubantu abaningi, i-India ikhuthalele ukuhlelwa komndeni kusukela ngo-1951, yaze yafinyelela ekukhuthazeni abesifazane ukuba bathole inzalo ngemvume.

Ekugcineni, e-Iran, uhlelo lokuhlela umndeni olucabangela phambili ngokumangalisayo lwenziwa kuzwelonke phakathi kuka-1980 kuya ku-2010. Lolu hlelo lwakhuthaza osayizi bemindeni emincane kwabezindaba futhi lwaludinga izifundo zokuvimbela inzalo eziyisibopho ngaphambi kokuba imibhangqwana ithole ilayisensi yomshado.

Ububi bezinhlelo eziphoqelela kakhulu zokulawula inani labantu ukuthi nakuba zisebenza ngempumelelo ekunqandeni ukukhula kwenani labantu, zingase futhi zibangele ukungalingani kobulili kubantu. Ngokwesibonelo, eShayina lapho abafana bethandwa kakhulu kunamantombazane ngenxa yezizathu zamasiko nezomnotho, ucwaningo lwathola ukuthi ngo-2012, kwazalwa abafana abangu-112 kumantombazane ayikhulu. Lokhu kungase kungabonakali njengokuningi, kodwa by 2020, abesilisa lapho besanda kushada bayokwedlula abesifazane ngenani elingaphezu kwezigidi ezingu-30.

Kodwa akulona yini iqiniso ukuthi inani labantu emhlabeni liyancipha?

Kungase kuzwakale kuphambene, kodwa ngenkathi inani labantu lizofinyelela inani lezigidigidi eziyisishiyagalolunye kuya kweziyi-11, inani labantu. isilinganiso sokukhula empeleni isengozini enkulu emhlabeni. Kuwo wonke amazwe aseMelika, iningi laseYurophu, eRussia, ezingxenyeni zase-Asia (ikakhulukazi i-Japan), ne-Australia, izinga lokuzalwa lizabalaza ukuhlala lingaphezu kokuzalwa kuka-2.1 ngowesifazane ngamunye (izinga elidingekayo okungenani lilondoloze amazinga abantu).

Lesi silinganiso sokukhula sehlisa ijubane alibuyiseleki emuva, futhi kunezizathu ezahlukahlukene zokuthi kungani kwenzeke. Lokhu kubandakanya:

Ukufinyelela ezinsizeni zokuhlela umndeni. Kulawo mazwe lapho izindlela zokuvimbela inzalo zisakazeke kabanzi, kugqugquzelwa imfundo yokuhlela umndeni, futhi nezinsiza eziphephile zokuhushula izisu zifinyeleleka, mancane amathuba okuba abesifazane baphishekele ubukhulu bemikhaya yezingane ezingaphezu kwezimbili. Bonke ohulumeni emhlabeni banikeza eyodwa noma ngaphezulu yalezi zinsizakalo ngezinga elithile, kodwa amanani okuzalwa ayaqhubeka ehlala ephakeme kakhulu kunenkambiso yomhlaba wonke kulawo mazwe nezifunda lapho entuleka khona.

Ukulingana ngokobulili. Ucwaningo luye lwabonisa lapho abesifazane befinyelela imfundo namathuba emisebenzi, bavunyelwa kangcono ukwenza izinqumo ezinolwazi mayelana nendlela abahlela ngayo ubukhulu bomndeni wabo.

Ukufa kwezinsana eziwayo. Ngokomlando, isizathu esisodwa esenze amazinga okubeletha abe mkhulu kunesilinganiso kwazinga eliphezulu lokufa kwezinsana elibone inqwaba yezingane zishona ngaphambi kosuku lwazo lokuzalwa lwesine ngenxa yezifo nokungondleki. Kodwa kusukela ngeminyaka yawo-1960, umhlaba ubone ukuthuthuka okuqhubekayo ekunakekelweni kwezempilo kokuzala okwenze ukukhulelwa kuphephe kokubili kumama nengane. Futhi ngokushona kwezingane okulinganiselwe, zimbalwa izingane ezizozalwa ukuze zithathe indawo yalezo okwakulindeleke ukuthi zisheshe zife.

Ukwandisa ukufudukela emadolobheni. Kusukela ngo-2016, ngaphezu kwesigamu sabantu emhlabeni bahlala emadolobheni. Ngo-2050, 70 amaphesenti omhlaba azohlala emadolobheni, futhi acishe abe ngamaphesenti angama-90 eNyakatho Melika naseYurophu. Lo mkhuba uzoba nomthelela omkhulu kumazinga okuzala.

Ezifundeni zasemaphandleni, ikakhulukazi lapho iningi labantu lihileleke emsebenzini wezolimo, izingane ziyimpahla ekhiqizayo engasetshenziswa ukuze kuzuze umndeni. Emadolobheni amakhulu, izinsiza ezidinga ulwazi kanye nohwebo yizona zindlela eziqavile zomsebenzi, izingane ezingawufanelekeli kahle. Lokhu kusho ukuthi izingane ezisezindaweni zasemadolobheni ziba isibopho sezezimali kubazali okufanele bakhokhele ukunakekelwa nemfundo yabo kuze kube yilapho sebekhulile (futhi ngokuvamile isikhathi eside). Lokhu kwenyuka kwezindleko zokukhulisa izingane kudala ukudangala okukhulayo kwezezimali kubazali abacabanga ukukhulisa imikhaya emikhulu.

Izindlela ezintsha zokuvimbela inzalo. Ngo-2020, izindlela ezintsha zokuvimbela inzalo zizofika ezimakethe zomhlaba ezizonikeza imibhangqwana izinketho ezengeziwe zokulawula inzalo yabo. Lokhu kuhlanganisa isivimbeli sokukhulelwa se-microchip esifakelwayo, esilawulwa kude esingahlala iminyaka eyi-16. Lokhu kuhlanganisa neyokuqala wesilisa iphilisi lokuvimbela inzalo.

Ukufinyelela i-inthanethi kanye nabezindaba. Kubantu abayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-7.4 emhlabeni (ngo-2016), abangaba yizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-4.4 abakabi nayo i-Internet. Kodwa ngenxa yezinhlelo eziningi ezichazwe kuhlelo lwethu Ikusasa le-inthanethi uchungechunge, imbulunga yonke izongena ku-inthanethi maphakathi nawo-2020. Lokhu kufinyelela kuwebhu, kanye nemithombo yezindaba yaseNtshonalanga etholakala ngayo, kuzodalula abantu emhlabeni wonke osathuthuka kwezinye izindlela zokuphila, kanye nokufinyelela olwazini lwezempilo zokuzala. Lokhu kuzoba nomthelela ophansi ocashile emazingeni okukhula kwabantu emhlabeni jikelele.

Ukuthathwa kwe-Gen X kanye ne-Millennial. Ngokunikezwa okufundile kuze kube manje ezahlukweni ezedlule zalolu chungechunge, manje usuyazi ukuthi iGen Xers kanye neMillennials ngenxa yokuthatha ohulumeni bomhlaba ekupheleni kweminyaka yowezi-2020 bakhululekile ngokwenhlalo kunabanduleli babo. Lesi sizukulwane esisha sizogqugquzela ngenkuthalo izinhlelo zokuhlela umndeni zokucabanga emhlabeni wonke. Lokhu kuzokwengeza elinye futhi ihange eliya phansi ngokumelene namazinga enzalo omhlaba.

Umnotho wabantu abanciphayo

Ohulumeni manje abengamele inani labantu elinciphayo bazama ngenkuthalo ukukhulisa amanani abo okuzala asekhaya kokubili ngentela noma izibonelelo zezibonelelo kanye nokwanda kwabantu abavela kwamanye amazwe. Ngeshwa, ayikho indlela ezonqamula lokhu kuthambekela kokwehla kakhulu futhi lokhu kukhathaze osomnotho.

Ngokomlando, amazinga okuzalwa nokufa alolonge inani labantu ukuthi libukeke njengephiramidi, njengoba kuboniswe esithombeni esingezansi kusuka. I-PopulationPyramid.net. Lokhu kwakusho ukuthi kuhlale kukhona abantu abasha abazalwayo (phansi kwephiramidi) abazothatha indawo yezizukulwane ezindala ezifayo (phezulu kwephiramidi).

Kodwa njengoba abantu emhlabeni wonke bephila isikhathi eside futhi amazinga enzalo ayancipha, lesi simo sephiramidi sakudala sishintsha sibe ikholomu. Eqinisweni, ngo-2060, amazwe aseMelika, iYurophu, iningi lase-Asia ne-Australia azobona okungenani abantu abadala abangama-40-50 (abaneminyaka engama-65 noma ngaphezulu) kubo bonke abantu abaneminyaka eyi-100 yokusebenza.

Lo mkhuba unemiphumela emibi kakhulu kulawo mazwe athuthukile abandakanyeka ohlelweni lwe-Ponzi olunemininingwane nolwesikhungo olubizwa ngeSocial Security. Ngaphandle kwentsha eyanele ezalwe ukuze isekele isizukulwane esikhulile ngokwezimali kuze kube sebudaleni obukhula njalo, izinhlelo Zokuvikeleka Komphakathi emhlabeni wonke zizowa.

Esikhathini esiseduze (2025-2040), izindleko Zokuvikeleka Komphakathi zizosabalala ngenani elinciphayo labakhokhi bentela, ekugcineni kuholele ekwenyukeni kwezintela kanye nokuncipha kokusetshenziswa kwemali/ukusetshenziswa yizizukulwane ezincane—kokubili kumelela ukwehla kwengcindezi emnothweni womhlaba. Sesikushilo lokho, ikusasa alilibi njengoba lezi zivunguvungu zezomnotho zisikisela.

Ukwanda kwabantu noma ukwehla kwenani labantu, akunandaba

Ukuqhubekela phambili, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ufunda izingosi zokuhlela ezikhathazayo ezivela kosomnotho ezixwayisa ngokuncipha kwenani labantu noma ezivela kubabhali bezibalo zabantu baseMalthusian bexwayisa ngokwanda kwabantu, yazini ukuthi ohlelweni olukhulu lwezinto akunandaba!

Uma kucatshangwa ukuthi inani labantu emhlabeni likhula lifinyelele ku-11 bhiliyoni, ngokuqinisekile sizobhekana nobunzima bokuhlinzeka impilo enethezekile yawo wonke umuntu. Nokho, ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, njengoba nje senza ngeminyaka yawo-1870 futhi futhi ngawo-1930-60s, isintu sizothuthukisa izixazululo ezintsha zokwandisa umthamo womhlaba wokuthwala abantu. Lokhu kuzobandakanya ukugxuma okukhulu phambili endleleni esiphatha ngayo ukushintsha kwesimo sezulu (okuhlolisiswe kweyethu Ikusasa Lokuguquguquka Kwesimo Sezulu uchungechunge), ukuthi sikhiqiza kanjani ukudla (kuhlolisiswe kweyethu Ikusasa Lokudla series), siwenza kanjani ugesi (kuhlolisiswe kweyethu Ikusasa Lamandla series), ngisho nendlela esithutha ngayo abantu nezimpahla (kuhlolisiswe kweyethu Ikusasa Lezokuthutha uchungechunge).

Kubantu baseMalthusia abafunda lokhu, khumbula: Indlala ayibangelwa ukuba nemilomo eminingi kakhulu okufanele idliwe, ibangelwa umphakathi ongasebenzisi ngokuphumelelayo isayensi nobuchwepheshe ukuze wenyuse inani futhi wehlise izindleko zokudla esikukhiqizayo. Lokhu kusebenza kuzo zonke ezinye izici ezithinta ukuphila komuntu.

Kuwo wonke umuntu ofunda lokhu, qiniseka, phakathi nengxenye yekhulu leminyaka ezayo isintu sizongena enkathini yenala engakaze ibonwe lapho wonke umuntu engahlanganyela ezingeni eliphezulu lokuphila.

Khonamanjalo, uma inani labantu emhlabeni kufanele Shrink ngokushesha kunalokho obekulindelwe, futhi, lesi sikhathi esinala sizosivikela ohlelweni lwezomnotho oluwohlokayo. Njengoba kuhlolisisiwe (ngokuningiliziwe) kweyethu Ikusasa Lomsebenzi uchungechunge, amakhompuyutha nemishini ehlakaniphe ngokwandayo futhi enekhono izoshintsha iningi lemisebenzi yethu nemisebenzi. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, lokhu kuzoholela emazingeni okukhiqiza angakaze abonwe azohlinzeka ngakho konke esikufunayo ngokwezinto ezibonakalayo, kuyilapho kusivumela ukuba siphile izimpilo ezikhudlwana zokungcebeleka.

Ngalesi sikhathi, kufanele ube nesibambo esiqinile ngekusasa labantu, kodwa ukuze uqonde ngempela lapho siya khona, uzodinga futhi ukuqonda kokubili ikusasa lokuguga kanye nekusasa lokufa. Sihlanganisa zombili izahluko ezisele zalolu chungechunge. Sobonana lapho.