italy predictions for 2045

Read 12 predictions about Italy in 2045, a year that will see this country experience significant change in its politics, economics, technology, culture, and environment. It’s your future, discover what you’re in for.

Quantumrun Foresight prepared this list; A trend intelligence consulting firm that uses strategic foresight to help companies thrive from future trends in foresight. This is just one of many possible futures society may experience.

International relations predictions for Italy in 2045

International relations predictions to impact Italy in 2045 include:

Politics predictions for Italy in 2045

Politics related predictions to impact Italy in 2045 include:

Government predictions for Italy in 2045

Government related predictions to impact Italy in 2045 include:

Economy predictions for Italy in 2045

Economy related predictions to impact Italy in 2045 include:

  • Italy has just one worker working per pensioner from this year onward. Likelihood: 75 Percent1

Technology predictions for Italy in 2045

Technology related predictions to impact Italy in 2045 include:

Culture predictions for Italy in 2045

Culture related predictions to impact Italy in 2045 include:

  • The old-age dependency ratio exceeds 60% by this year, up from 34.3% in 2018. Likelihood: 80 Percent1
  • Understanding the role of immigration in the Italian election result.Link

Defense predictions for in 2045

Defense related predictions to impact Italy in 2045 include:

Infrastructure predictions for Italy in 2045

Infrastructure related predictions to impact Italy in 2045 include:

Environment predictions for Italy in 2045

Environment related predictions to impact Italy in 2045 include:

  • A general increase in temperature is recorded relative to 1981-2010, up to 2° C under the RCP8.5 scenario (the concentration of carbon is at an average of 8.5 watts per square meter across the planet). Likelihood: 50 percent1
  • Under the RCP4.5 (the concentration of carbon is at an average of 4.5 watts per square meter across the planet) scenario, a general rainfall reduction in spring and a higher reduction of summer rain, especially over south Italy and Sardinia (up to 60%), are likely. Likelihood: 50 percent1
  • Winter is affected by a slight precipitation reduction over the Alps and south Italy and a small increase in Sardinia and Po Valley. In autumn, a general slight precipitation reduction is projected. Likelihood: 50 percent1
  • Under the RCP8.5 scenario (the concentration of carbon is at an average of 8.5 watts per square meter across the planet), winter and autumn precipitation increase is recorded over north Italy and a slight decrease over south Italy. Spring precipitation will diminish over south Italy, while in summer, a general reduction is observed (except for Apulia). Likelihood: 50 percent1
  • Climate change impacts on Italian coastal areas include: (i) increase in erosion and instability; (ii) loss of land and related economic activities, infrastructures, urban settlements, recreational areas, and natural heritage sites; (iii) reduction and loss of biodiversity and ecosystems (especially wetlands), and decrease of marine life caused by the combined effect of climate change and anthropogenic stress; (iv) damages to the rural coastal economy due to saltwater intrusion; (v) adverse im Likelihood: 50 percent1
  • About 4,500 square kilometers of Italian coastal areas are at risk of sea flooding from sea level rise, most are located in the North Adriatic Sea, but some Tyrrhenian and Ionian coasts may be at risk too. The Northern Adriatic coast, characterized by the Po river delta and the Venice lagoon, is at high risk, as this area lies below sea level and hosts many residential settlements, cultural heritage sites, and industrial establishments. Likelihood: 50 percent1
  • A temperature increase of +2-5°C could further reduce crop productivity. Likelihood: 50 percent1
  • The decline in agricultural productivity could significantly affect wheat yield and fruit and vegetable production due to water scarcity, increasing pathogens species, and soil degradation. Conversely, olive, citrus, wine, and durum wheat cultivation could become possible in the North of Italy. Likelihood: 50 percent1
  • The existing conditions of high stress on water resources and hydro-geologic disturbance in some Italian regions could be worsened by projected climate change, with the following effects: reduced water availability and quality, and increases in frequency and intensity of droughts, especially in summer; more river summer flow reductions and annual river flow decline and limited groundwater recharge; increased seasonal water deficit due to significant pressure of summer tourism in small Italian Likelihood: 50 percent1

Science predictions for Italy in 2045

Science related predictions to impact Italy in 2045 include:

Health predictions for Italy in 2045

Health related predictions to impact Italy in 2045 include:

More predictions from 2045

Read the top global predictions from 2045 - click here

Next scheduled update for this resource page

January 7, 2022. Last updated January 7, 2020.

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