Quantumrun

ZITHUNZI CREDIT: Quantumrun

Zowona zenizeni komanso malingaliro apadziko lonse lapansi: Tsogolo la intaneti P7

David Tal, Wofalitsa, Futurist
@DavidTalWrites
LinkedIn

Lolemba, 09/14/2020 - 13:11

Mapeto a intaneti - mawonekedwe ake omaliza osinthika. Zinthu zammutu, ndikudziwa.

Tinalozerapo pamene timalankhula Augmented Zenizeni (AR). Ndipo tsopano titafotokoza za tsogolo la Virtual Reality (VR) pansipa, tiwulula momwe intaneti yathu yamtsogolo idzawonekera. Langizo: Ndi kuphatikiza kwa AR ndi VR ndi luso lina laukadaulo lomwe lingamveke ngati nthano zasayansi.

Ndipo kwenikweni, zonsezi ndi zopeka za sayansi-pakali pano. Koma dziwani kuti zonse zomwe mukufuna kuwerenga zayamba kale, ndipo sayansi kumbuyo kwake yatsimikiziridwa kale. Matekinoloje omwe tawatchulawa akaphatikizidwa, mawonekedwe omaliza a intaneti adzadziwonetsera okha.

Ndipo udzasintha mkhalidwe wa anthu kosatha.

Kukwera kwa zenizeni zenizeni

Pamlingo woyambira, zenizeni zenizeni (VR) ndikugwiritsa ntchito ukadaulo kupanga digito chinyengo chozama komanso chokhutiritsa cha zenizeni. Sitiyenera kusokonezedwa ndi augmented reality (AR) yomwe imawonjezera zidziwitso zapa digito pamwamba pa dziko lenileni, monga tidakambirana gawo lomaliza la mndandanda uno. Ndi VR, cholinga ndikusintha dziko lenileni ndi dziko lenileni.

Ndipo mosiyana ndi AR, yomwe idzavutike ndi zovuta zambiri zaukadaulo komanso zachikhalidwe isanavomerezedwe pamsika, VR yakhalapo kwazaka zambiri pachikhalidwe chodziwika bwino. Taziwonapo m'makanema ndi makanema apawailesi yakanema osiyanasiyana azamtsogolo. Ambiri aife tayesapo mitundu yakale ya VR m'mabwalo akale komanso misonkhano yokhudzana ndi masewera ndi ziwonetsero zamalonda.

Chosiyana ndi nthawi ino ndikuti ukadaulo wa VR womwe watsala pang'ono kutulutsidwa ndiye mgwirizano weniweni. Chaka cha 2020 chisanafike, makampani opanga mphamvu monga Facebook, Sony, ndi Google azitulutsa zotsika mtengo za VR zomwe zibweretsa maiko enieni komanso osavuta kugwiritsa ntchito kwa anthu ambiri. Izi zikuyimira kuyambika kwa njira yatsopano yogulitsira malonda, yomwe ingakope masauzande ambiri opanga mapulogalamu ndi ma hardware. M'malo mwake, pofika kumapeto kwa zaka za m'ma 2020, mapulogalamu a VR ndi masewera atha kuyamba kutsitsa kuposa mapulogalamu am'manja achikhalidwe.

Maphunziro, maphunziro a ntchito, misonkhano yamalonda, zokopa alendo, masewera, ndi zosangalatsa - izi ndi zochepa chabe mwa mapulogalamu omwe VR otchipa, osavuta kugwiritsa ntchito, komanso VR yeniyeni angasokoneze. Koma mosiyana ndi zomwe mwina mwawona m'mafilimu kapena nkhani zamakampani, njira yomwe VR ingatengere kuti ipitirire kufala ikhoza kukudabwitsani.

Njira ya Virtual Reality kupita kugulu

Ndikofunikira kumveketsa bwino zomwe kupita patsogolo kumatanthauza pankhani ya VR. Pomwe iwo omwe anayesa mahedifoni aposachedwa a VR (Oculus Rift, HTC kendipo Sony Project Morpheus) adasangalala ndi zomwe zikuchitika, anthu amakondabe dziko lenileni kuposa dziko lenileni. Kwa anthu ambiri, VR pamapeto pake ikhazikika ngati chida chodziwika bwino, chosangalatsa chapanyumba, komanso kugwiritsa ntchito pang'ono maphunziro ndi maphunziro amakampani/maofesi.

Ku Quantumrun, tikuwonabe kuti AR ikhala njira yosankha anthu pakapita nthawi, koma kukwera kwachangu kwa VR posachedwa kudzawona kuti ikhala njira yosinthira anthu kwakanthawi kochepa. (Kwenikweni, m'tsogolomu, teknoloji yomwe ili kumbuyo kwa AR ndi VR idzakhala yofanana.) Chifukwa chimodzi cha izi ndi chakuti VR idzalimbikitsidwa kwambiri ndi matekinoloje awiri omwe ali kale: mafoni a m'manja ndi intaneti.

VR foni yamakono. Mahedifoni a VR omwe tatchula kale akuyembekezeka kugulitsa pafupifupi $ 1,000 akatulutsidwa pakati pa 2016 ndi 2017 ndipo angafunike zodula, zapamwamba, zida zamakompyuta apakompyuta kuti zigwire ntchito. Zowonadi, mtengo wamtengowu sungathe kufikira anthu ambiri ndipo utha kuthetsa kusintha kwa VR kusanayambike ndikuchepetsa kuwonekera kwake kwa otengera oyambira komanso osewera ovuta.

Mwamwayi, pali njira zina zosinthira mahedifoni apamwambawa. Chitsanzo chimodzi choyambirira ndi Google makatoni. Kwa $20, mutha kugula katoni ya origami yomwe imapindika mumutu. Chomverera m'makutuchi chimakhala ndi kagawo kakang'ono ka foni yanu yam'manja, yomwe imakhala ngati chiwonetsero chazithunzi ndikusintha bwino foni yanu yam'manja kukhala VR yotsika mtengo.

Ngakhale makatoni sangakhale ndi malingaliro ofanana ndi amtundu wapamwamba wamutu wapamwamba pamwambapa, mfundo yoti anthu ambiri ali ndi mafoni a m'manja amachepetsa mtengo wopeza VR kuchoka pa $ 1,000 mpaka $ 20. Izi zikutanthawuzanso kuti ambiri omwe amapanga VR odziyimira pawokha adzalimbikitsidwa kuti apange mapulogalamu am'manja a VR kuti atsitsidwe kuchokera m'masitolo achikhalidwe, m'malo mwa mapulogalamu a mahedifoni apamwamba. Mfundo ziwirizi zikuwonetsa kuti kukula koyambirira kwa VR kudzakhala koyambira pa smartphone. (Zosintha: Mu Okutobala 2016, Google idatulutsa Google Daydream View, mtundu wapamwamba kwambiri wa Cardboard.)

VR pa intaneti. Kumanga pa kuthyolako kwa kukula kwa foni yamakono, VR idzapindulanso ndi intaneti yotseguka.

Pakadali pano, atsogoleri a VR ngati Facebook, Sony, ndi Google onse akuyembekeza kuti ogwiritsa ntchito amtsogolo a VR adzagula mahedifoni awo amtengo wapatali ndikuwononga ndalama pamasewera a VR ndi mapulogalamu kuchokera pamanetiweki awo. M'kupita kwa nthawi, izi sizothandiza kwa wogwiritsa ntchito wamba wa VR. Ganizilani izi—kuti mupeze VR, mufunika kukopera ndi kukhazikitsa pulogalamu kapena masewera; ndiye ngati mukufuna kugawana zomwe zachitika pa VR ndi munthu wina, muyenera kuwonetsetsa kuti akugwiritsa ntchito mutu womwewo kapena netiweki ya VR yomwe mumagwiritsa ntchito.

Yankho losavuta kwambiri ndikungovala chomverera m'makutu cha VR, kulumikizana ndi intaneti, lembani ulalo wokongoletsedwa ndi VR, ndipo nthawi yomweyo lowetsani dziko la VR mofanana ndi momwe mungafikire patsamba. Mwanjira iyi, luso lanu la VR silidzangokhala pulogalamu imodzi, mtundu wamutu, kapena wopereka VR.

Mozilla, wopanga Firefox, akupanga kale masomphenya awa a VR otseguka pa intaneti. Iwo anamasula a oyambirira WebVR API, komanso dziko la VR lozikidwa pa intaneti lomwe mungafufuze kudzera pamutu wanu wa Google Cardboard mozvr.com.

Kukula kwamalingaliro amunthu: mawonekedwe apakompyuta

Pazokambirana zathu zonse za VR ndi ntchito zake zambiri, pali mikhalidwe yochepa paukadaulo yomwe ingakonzekeretse bwino anthu kuti adzakhale pa intaneti (mapeto omwe tawatchula kale).

Kuti mulowe dziko la VR, muyenera kukhala omasuka:

Kuvala chomverera m'makutu, makamaka chomwe chimakukuta mutu, makutu, ndi maso;
Kulowa ndi kukhalapo mu dziko pafupifupi;
Ndikulankhulana ndi kucheza ndi anthu ndi makina (posachedwa Artificial Intelligence) muzochitika zenizeni.

Pakati pa 2018 ndi 2040, anthu ambiri adzakhala atakumana ndi dziko la VR. Chiwerengero chachikulu cha anthu (makamaka Generation Z ndi mtsogolo) adzakhala atakumana ndi VR nthawi zokwanira kuti azikhala omasuka kuyenda m'maiko enieni. Chitonthozo ichi, chokumana nacho ichi, chidzalola anthuwa kukhala odzidalira polumikizana ndi njira yatsopano yolankhulirana, yomwe idzakhala yokonzeka kukhazikitsidwa pakati pa zaka za m'ma 2040: Brain-Computer Interface (BCI).

Zosungidwa m'mitu yathu Tsogolo Lamakompyuta mndandanda, BCI imaphatikizapo kugwiritsa ntchito implant kapena chipangizo choyang'ana ubongo kuti muyang'ane mafunde a ubongo wanu ndi kuwagwirizanitsa ndi chinenero / malamulo kuti azilamulira chirichonse chomwe chikuyenda pa kompyuta. Ndiko kulondola, BCI ikulolani kuwongolera makina ndi makompyuta kudzera m'malingaliro anu.

M'malo mwake, mwina simunazindikire, koma masiku oyambilira a BCI ayamba kale. Anthu odulidwa ziwalo tsopano kuyesa miyendo ya robotic kulamuliridwa mwachindunji ndi maganizo, m’malo mogwiritsa ntchito masensa amene amamangiriridwa ku chitsa cha mwini wake. Momwemonso, anthu olumala kwambiri (monga quadriplegics) ali pano kugwiritsa ntchito BCI kuyendetsa njinga zawo za olumala ndikuwongolera zida za robotic. Koma kuthandiza anthu odulidwa ziwalo ndi olumala kukhala ndi moyo wodziyimira pawokha si kuchuluka kwa zomwe BCI ingathe kuchita. Osati mwa kuwombera nthawi yayitali. Nawu mndandanda wachidule wa zoyeserera zomwe zikuchitika:

Kulamulira zinthu. Ochita kafukufuku awonetsa bwino momwe BCI ingalolere ogwiritsa ntchito kuwongolera ntchito zapakhomo (zowunikira, makatani, kutentha), komanso zida zina ndi magalimoto. Penyani a kanema wachiwonetsero.

Kulamulira nyama. Labu idayendetsa bwino kuyesa kwa BCI komwe munthu adatha kupanga khoswe akusuntha mchira wake pogwiritsa ntchito maganizo ake okha. Izi zitha tsiku lina kukulolani kuti mulankhule ndi chiweto chanu.

Ubongo-ku-lemba. Matimu mu US ndi Germany akupanga dongosolo lomwe limasiyanitsa mafunde aubongo (malingaliro) kukhala mawu. Kuyesera koyambirira kwakhala kopambana, ndipo akuyembekeza kuti ukadaulowu sudzangothandiza anthu wamba komanso umapatsa anthu olumala kwambiri (monga katswiri wa sayansi ya zakuthambo, Stephen Hawking) kuthekera kolumikizana ndi dziko mosavuta.

Ubongo-ku-ubongo. Gulu lapadziko lonse la asayansi linatha kutsanzira telepathy. Munthu wina ku India analangizidwa kuganiza mawu akuti “moni.” BCI idatembenuza liwulo kuchokera ku mafunde aubongo kukhala ma code binary kenako ndikutumiza imelo ku France, komwe ma code binary adasinthidwa kukhala mafunde a ubongo kuti azindikire ndi munthu wolandirayo. Kulankhulana kwaubongo ndi ubongo, anthu!

Kujambula maloto ndi kukumbukira. Ofufuza ku Berkeley, California, apita patsogolo modabwitsa mafunde a ubongo kukhala zithunzi. Mitu yoyesedwa idaperekedwa ndi zithunzi zingapo pomwe idalumikizidwa ndi masensa a BCI. Zithunzi zomwezi kenako zidapangidwanso pakompyuta. Zithunzi zomangidwanso zinali zonyansa kwambiri koma kupatsidwa zaka khumi kapena ziwiri za nthawi yachitukuko, umboni wa lingaliro ili tsiku lina utilola kusiya kamera yathu ya GoPro kapena kujambula maloto athu.

Koma kodi VR (ndi AR) imagwirizana bwanji ndi BCI? N’chifukwa chiyani mukuwaphatikiza m’nkhani imodzi?

Kugawana malingaliro, kugawana maloto, kugawana zakukhosi

Kukula kwa BCI kudzakhala pang'onopang'ono poyamba koma kudzatsatiranso kukula komweko komwe kunkachitika m'zaka za m'ma 2000. Nayi chidule cha momwe izi zingawonekere:

Poyamba, zomverera m'makutu za BCI zitha kugulidwa kwa ochepa okha, zachilendo za olemera komanso olumikizidwa bwino omwe azilimbikitsa mwachangu pazama media awo, kukhala ngati otengera oyambira komanso olimbikitsa, kufalitsa kufunikira kwake kwa anthu ambiri.
M'kupita kwa nthawi, zomverera m'makutu za BCI zidzakhala zotsika mtengo zokwanira kuti anthu ambiri aziyesa, mwina kukhala nthawi yatchuthi yomwe muyenera kugula zida.
Chomverera m'makutu chidzamveka ngati chomverera m'makutu cha VR chomwe aliyense adachizolowera. Zitsanzo zoyambirira zidzalola ovala BCI kuti azilankhulana ndi telepathically, kuti agwirizane wina ndi mzake mozama, mosasamala kanthu za zolepheretsa chinenero chilichonse. Zitsanzo zoyambirirazi zithanso kulemba malingaliro, kukumbukira, maloto, ndipo pamapeto pake ngakhale zovuta.
Kuchuluka kwa anthu pa intaneti kudzachulukira anthu akayamba kugawana malingaliro awo, zomwe akukumbukira, maloto awo, komanso momwe akumvera pakati pa mabanja, abwenzi, ndi okonda.
M'kupita kwa nthawi, BCI idzakhala njira yatsopano yolankhulirana yomwe mwa njira zina imasinthira kapena kusintha malankhulidwe achikhalidwe (mofanana ndi kukwera kwa ma emoticons ndi memes lero). Ogwiritsa ntchito a Avid BCI (omwe mwina anali achichepere kwambiri panthawiyo) ayamba kusintha malankhulidwe achikhalidwe pogawana zikumbukiro, zithunzi zodzaza ndi malingaliro, zithunzi ndi mafanizo opangidwa ndi malingaliro. (Kwenikweni, lingalirani m’malo monena mawu akuti “Ndimakukondani,” mungathe kupereka uthengawo mwa kugawana maganizo anu, osakanikirana ndi zithunzithunzi zoimira chikondi chanu.) Izi zikuimira njira yoyankhulirana yozama, yotheka kukhala yolondola kwambiri, komanso yowona kwambiri. tikayerekeza ndi zolankhula ndi mawu omwe takhala tikudalira kwa zaka zikwizikwi.
Amalonda adzapindula ndi kusintha kwa mauthengawa. Opanga mabizinesi apakompyuta apanga malo atsopano ochezera a pa Intaneti ndi mabulogu okhazikika pakugawana malingaliro, kukumbukira, maloto, ndi malingaliro kumitundu ingapo yosatha. Apanga njira zatsopano zowulutsira pomwe zosangalatsa ndi nkhani zimagawidwa mwachindunji m'malingaliro a ogwiritsa ntchito, komanso ntchito zotsatsa zomwe zimayang'ana zotsatsa malinga ndi malingaliro anu ndi momwe mukumvera. Kutsimikizika koyendetsedwa ndi malingaliro, kugawana mafayilo, mawonekedwe apaintaneti, ndi zina zambiri zidzaphuka mozungulira ukadaulo woyambira kumbuyo kwa BCI.
Pakadali pano, mabizinesi a Hardware apanga zinthu zothandizidwa ndi BCI ndi malo okhala kuti dziko lapansi litsatire malamulo a ogwiritsa ntchito a BCI. Monga momwe mungaganizire, izi zitha kukhala zowonjezera Internet Zinthu takambirana m'nkhani ino.
Kubweretsa magulu awiriwa palimodzi adzakhala amalonda omwe amagwira ntchito mu AR ndi VR. Mwachitsanzo, kuphatikiza chatekinoloje ya BCI m'magalasi a AR omwe alipo ndi magalasi olumikizana nawo apangitsa kuti AR ikhale yomveka bwino, kupangitsa moyo wanu weniweni kukhala wosavuta komanso wopanda msokonezo - osatchulanso kukulitsa zamatsenga zomwe zimasangalatsidwa ndi mapulogalamu osangalatsa a AR.
Kuphatikiza ukadaulo wa BCI mu VR kungakhale kozama kwambiri, chifukwa kudzalola aliyense wogwiritsa ntchito BCI kupanga dziko lawo momwe angafune - lofanana ndi kanema. chiyambi, komwe mumadzuka m'maloto anu ndikupeza kuti mutha kupindika zenizeni ndikuchita chilichonse chomwe mukufuna. Kuphatikiza BCI ndi VR kudzalola anthu kukhala ndi umwini wokulirapo pazokumana nazo zomwe amakhalamo popanga maiko enieni opangidwa kuchokera kuphatikiza kukumbukira kwawo, malingaliro, ndi malingaliro. Madziko awa adzakhala osavuta kugawana ndi ena, inde, ndikuwonjezera kusokoneza kwamtsogolo kwa VR.

Malingaliro a dziko lapansi

Ndipo tsopano tikufika kumapeto kwa intaneti-mapeto ake, ponena za anthu (kumbukirani mawu amenewo pamutu wotsatira mndandanda uno). Pamene anthu ochulukirachulukira ayamba kugwiritsa ntchito BCI ndi VR kuti azilankhulana mozama ndikupanga maiko ambiri, sipatenga nthawi kuti ma protocol atsopano a intaneti aphatikizire intaneti ndi VR.

Popeza BCI imagwira ntchito pomasulira malingaliro kukhala deta, malingaliro aumunthu ndi deta mwachibadwa zidzasintha. Sipadzafunikanso kukhala kulekana pakati pa malingaliro aumunthu ndi intaneti.

Pofika pano (mozungulira 2060), anthu sadzafunanso mahedifoni apamwamba kuti agwiritse ntchito BCI kapena kulowa m'dziko la VR, ambiri adzasankha kuti ukadaulo uwu uyikidwe muubongo wawo. Izi zipangitsa telepathy kukhala yopanda msoko ndikulola anthu kuti alowe m'maiko awo a VR potseka maso awo. (Ma implants oterowo-mwinamwake watsopano wozikidwa mozungulira nanotechnology-Zikuthandizaninso kuti muzitha kudziwa zonse zomwe zasungidwa pa intaneti popanda zingwe.)

Chifukwa cha ma implants awa, anthu ayamba kuwononga nthawi yochulukirapo pazomwe titi titchule metaverse, monga akugona. Ndipo chifukwa chiyani iwo sanatero? Malo enieniwa ndi omwe mumapeza zosangalatsa zanu zambiri ndikucheza ndi anzanu komanso abale anu, makamaka omwe amakhala kutali ndi inu. Ngati mumagwira ntchito kapena mumapita kusukulu kutali, nthawi yanu munyengo imatha kukula mpaka maola 10-12 patsiku.

Pofika kumapeto kwa zaka za m’ma 24, anthu ena angafike pokalembetsa m’malo apadera ogonekedwa m’tulo, kumene amalipira kuti azikhala m’kabokosi ka mtundu wa Matrix amene amasamalira zosowa za thupi lawo kwa nthaŵi yaitali—masabata, miyezi, m’kupita kwa nthaŵi zaka. chilichonse chomwe chili chovomerezeka panthawiyo - kuti athe kukhala mu gawo ili la 7/XNUMX. Izi zitha kumveka monyanyira, koma kwa iwo omwe asankha kuchedwetsa kapena kukana kulera, kukhalapo kwanthawi yayitali kumatha kukhala kwanzeru.

Pokhala, kugwira ntchito, komanso kugona mozungulira, mutha kupewa ndalama zanyumba za lendi, zothandizira, zoyendera, chakudya, ndi zina zambiri, m'malo mwake mukulipira kuti mubwereke kanyumba kakang'ono ka hibernation. Pankhani ya chikhalidwe cha anthu, kukhala m’nyengo yachisanu kwa anthu ochuluka kungachepetse kupsinjika kwa nyumba, mphamvu, chakudya, ndi zoyendera—makamaka pamene chiŵerengero cha anthu padziko lonse chikukwera pafupifupi pafupifupi. 10 biliyoni pofika 2060.

Pomwe kuwonetsa kanema wa Matrix kungapangitse kuti tsogololi liwoneke ngati loyipa, zoona zake ndizakuti anthu, osati Agent Smith, azilamulira gulu lonse. Kuphatikiza apo, lidzakhala dziko la digito lolemera komanso lamitundumitundu monga malingaliro ophatikizidwa a mabiliyoni a anthu omwe amalumikizana nawo. Kwenikweni, kudzakhala kumwamba kwa digito Padziko Lapansi, malo omwe zokhumba zathu, maloto, ndi ziyembekezo zathu zitha kukwaniritsidwa.

Koma monga momwe mungapangire zomwe ndidalemba pamwambapa, si anthu okhawo amene angagawane izi, osati motalika.