New Zealand predictions for 2024

Read 21 predictions about New Zealand in 2024, a year that will see this country experience significant change in its politics, economics, technology, culture, and environment. It’s your future, discover what you’re in for.

Quantumrun Foresight prepared this list; A trend intelligence consulting firm that uses strategic foresight to help companies thrive from future trends in foresight. This is just one of many possible futures society may experience.

International relations predictions for New Zealand in 2024

International relations predictions to impact New Zealand in 2024 include:

Politics predictions for New Zealand in 2024

Politics related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2024 include:

Government predictions for New Zealand in 2024

Government related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2024 include:

  • The government releases a draft biometrics code for public comment as it continues its push to establish clear guardrails on using biometrics in the country. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • The deadline for owners of rental properties in New Zealand to reach 'healthy home' standards, as set by the government, ends this year. Likelihood: 100%1
  • All tenancies must meet the new nationwide standards of adequate insulation or contain a heating source able to make the home warm and dry from this year. Likelihood: 100%1
  • Government passes Healthy Homes bill, requiring all rentals to be warm and dry.Link

Economy predictions for New Zealand in 2024

Economy related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2024 include:

  • House prices rise due to an ongoing supply shortage and expectations for interest rate cuts. Likelihood: 65 percent.1
  • Annual wage growth rises by 6.2% in 2024 before increasing to 5.2% in 2025. Likelihood: 65 percent.1
  • New Zealand's interactive media and games sector creates a billion-dollar export industry this year, up from a $143 million in 2018. Likelihood: 80%1
  • New Zealand artificial intelligence market to grow nearly 30 percent this year compared to 2020 growth levels. Likelihood: 90%1
  • Research: A/NZ AI market to grow nearly 30% by 2024.Link
  • NZ video gaming billion-dollar export industry by 2024: Report.Link

Technology predictions for New Zealand in 2024

Technology related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2024 include:

Culture predictions for New Zealand in 2024

Culture related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2024 include:

  • International visitors arriving in New Zealand surpass five million this year, up from 3.82 million visitors in 2018. Likelihood: 40%1
  • The supermarket chain, Countdown, sells only cage-free eggs now. Likelihood: 90%1
  • Supermarket chain to stop selling caged eggs by 2024.Link
  • Government's 'long overdue' tourism strategy to handle 5m overseas visitors.Link

Defense predictions for in 2024

Defense related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2024 include:

  • The new and improved armored, high-mobility and tactical vehicles costing USD $300-$600 million are introduced into service. Likelihood: 65 percent1
  • A fleet of 'Super Hercules' planes are introduced into service this year in New Zealand. These planes will be used by crucial defense partners and carry a higher payload faster and further than the current fleet, with no loss of ability to land. Likelihood: 100%1

Infrastructure predictions for New Zealand in 2024

Infrastructure related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2024 include:

  • The $3-4 billion Taranaki clean energy center is up and running this year. The plant is built around the world's highest-efficiency hydrogen production process, which uses natural gas and produces no atmospheric carbon dioxide greenhouse gas. Likelihood: 80%1
  • Four-strong group named to build Manawatū-Tararua highway.Link
  • $3-4b Taranaki energy centre could be up and running in 2024.Link

Environment predictions for New Zealand in 2024

Environment related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2024 include:

Science predictions for New Zealand in 2024

Science related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2024 include:

Health predictions for New Zealand in 2024

Health related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2024 include:

  • The New Zealand government's new frontline service for mental health achieves its goal of reaching 325,000 people by this year. Likelihood: 100%1
  • Mental health wins record funding in New Zealand’s first ‘well-being budget’.Link

More predictions from 2024

Read the top global predictions from 2024 - click here

Next scheduled update for this resource page

January 7, 2022. Last updated January 7, 2020.

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