Ke hele nei ka Honua i kekahi au hau?

ʻAʻole anei he mea hoʻohenehene ke aʻo ʻana i ka pau ʻana o nā kinoea ʻōmaʻomaʻo a pau o ke kanaka i ka lewa no nā makahiki i hala aku nei e hoʻopakele maoli iā mākou, ma mua o ka lawe ʻana i ka apocalypse? 

ʻO ia ka hihia inā loaʻa nā ʻike hou ʻO Valentina Zharkova, he polopeka o ka makemakika ma ke Kulanui o Northumbria ma United Kingdom, he oiaio. Ua hōʻike ʻia kāna noiʻi "E hāʻule ka hana o ka lā i 60% i nā makahiki he iwakālua e hiki mai ana," e hāpai ana i nā hopohopo e pili ana i kekahi makahiki hau.

Ua ʻike mākou a pau ʻaʻole ʻo ke kanaka ka mea mua i koi i ka honua honua. He nui nā ʻano ʻano like ʻole i noho ma mua o mākou a aia kekahi mau ʻano e ola ma hope o mākou. Inā ʻoe e kāhea i ka hopena o ka honua ʻo Armageddon, ka lā hoʻokolokolo a i ʻole ka lā o ka helu ʻana, ʻaʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke hōʻole  ua hoʻolilo ʻoe i ka manawa e noʻonoʻo ai pehea e pau ai ka honua. Ua noʻonoʻo paha ʻoe e pau ana ke kanaka ma muli o kekahi au hau.

No kēlā mau physicists non-solar ma waho, eia ka mea e pono ai ʻoe e ʻike: ua ana ʻia ka hana o ka lā i nā pōʻai 11 makahiki. Hiki ke ʻike a nalo ka lā i kēia mau pōʻai. ʻOi aku ka nui o nā lā ma ka lā, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka wela o ka Lā i ka honua. Inā emi ka lā i nā poho lā, a Maunder Minimum hiki ke hana, ʻo ia hoʻi e emi ka wela i ka honua.

Hoʻohālikelike nā mea i ʻike ʻia e Zharkova i nā helu sunspot i ʻekolu pōʻai, mai 1979-2008. Ma ka hoʻohālikelike ʻana i nā ʻano lā i hala, hoʻāʻo ʻo Zharkova e wānana i ka wā e hiki mai ana. Hōʻike kāna mau ʻike ʻelua nā nalu electromagnetic ma hope o 2022 mai ka pōʻaiapuni 26, ʻaʻole ia e holo like, e hōʻike ana i ka emi ʻana o ka hana o ka lā.

"I ka pōʻaiapuni 26, ua hoʻohālikelike pono nā nalu ʻelua i kekahi i kekahi - e piʻi ana i ka manawa like akā ma nā ʻāpana kūʻē o ka Lā. E hoʻopilikia ʻia kā lākou launa ʻana, a i ʻole e hoʻopau koke kekahi i kekahi. Manaʻo mākou e alakaʻi kēia i nā waiwai. o ka 'Maunder Minimum,'" wahi a Zharkova. "ʻO ka maikaʻi, i ka wā e kokoke ana nā nalu, hiki iā lākou ke hōʻike i ka pilina ikaika, a i ʻole ka resonance, a loaʻa iā mākou ka hana ikaika o ka lā. ʻike hope loa i ka Maunder Minimum, 370 mau makahiki i hala.

ʻO ka Maunder Minimum hope loa i hana ʻia me kahi makahiki hau liʻiliʻi ma ʻEulopa, ʻAmelika ʻĀkau a me ʻAsia mai 1550-1850. ʻOiai ʻaʻole hiki i ka poʻe ʻepekema ke maopopo, manaʻo ka poʻe he nui ka Maunder Minimum i ʻāpana o ke kumu.

Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Zharkova, "ʻO ka Maunder Minimum e hiki mai ana e ʻoi aku ka pōkole ma mua o ka mea hope loa i ke kenekulia 17 (ʻelima mau pōʻai lā o 11 mau makahiki)" a e mau ana ma kahi o ʻekolu mau pōʻai lā.

Ke manaʻo nei anei kēia mau ʻike o ka lā e hele ana mākou i kahi makahiki hau liʻiliʻi?

He kanalua ka nui o ka poʻe kānalua, e ʻōlelo ana ʻo ka Maunder Minimum a me ka liʻiliʻi o ka hau hau i ke kenekulia 17, ua hui wale ʻia ma muli o ka manawa like. 

Ma kāna ʻatikala no Ars Technica, kākau ʻo John Timmer, "Hōʻike nā hana hou i ka hāʻule ʻana o ka hana o ka lā i mea kōkua liʻiliʻi i kēlā manawa anu. Akā, ʻo ka hana lua pele ke kumu nui. Ma ke ʻano o ka nui o ka lā e hiki aku ai i ka Honua, ʻaʻole nui ka ʻokoʻa ma waena o nā wā kiko haʻahaʻa a kiʻekiʻe."

ʻO nā mea a pau i ʻōlelo ʻia, inā e hoʻemi iki ʻia ka hana ʻana o ka lā, a laila e hoʻoikaika ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana i ke kinoea ʻōmaʻomaʻo e mālama i ka Honua i hoʻokahi degere a ʻelua paha i ʻoi aku ka mahana ma mua o ke ʻano ʻē aʻe, hiki ke pale aku i kahi makahiki hau e hiki mai ana. Auwe ka haohao maoli.