ʻO ka hoʻomaka ʻana o AI 'vicarious' e hoʻohauʻoli i ke awāwa silicon elite - Akā he hype wale nō?

ʻO ka hoʻomaka ʻana o Artificial Intelligence, ʻo Vicarious, ke ʻike nui nei i kēia mau lā, a ʻaʻole maopopo loa ke kumu. Ua wehe ka nui o nā poʻe nui o Silicon Valley i kā lākou pocketbooks a hāʻawi i nā kālā nui e kākoʻo i ka noiʻi ʻana o ka hui. Ke hōʻike nei kā lākou pūnaewele i ka loaʻa ʻana o ke kālā mai nā mea kaulana e like me Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos, Yahoo co-founder Jerry Yang, Skype co-founder Janus Friis, Facebook hoʻokumu ʻo Mark Zuckerberg a me ... Ashton Kutcher. ʻAʻole maopopo i kahi e hele ai kēia mau kālā. ʻO AI kahi wahi huna a palekana o ka hoʻomohala ʻenehana i kēia mau lā, akā ʻo ka hoʻopaʻapaʻa lehulehu e pili ana i ka hōʻea ʻana a me ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka AI i manaʻo nui ʻia i ka honua maoli he mea ʻole wale nō.

ʻOiai ua nui nā haʻihaʻi e pili ana i ka hui, ʻoiai ʻoiai ua haki kā lākou kamepiula i ka "CAPTCHA" i ka hāʻule hope loa, ua hoʻokō lākou i kahi mea pāʻani paʻakikī a pohihihi. No ka laʻana, ʻaʻole lākou e hāʻawi i kā lākou helu wahi no ka makaʻu i ka mākaʻikaʻi ʻoihana, a ʻo ke kipa ʻana i kā lākou pūnaewele e haʻalele iā ʻoe i ka huikau e pili ana i kā lākou hana maoli. ʻO kēia mau mea pāʻani paʻakikī e loaʻa i nā mea hoʻopukapuka e laina laina. ʻO ka papahana nui ʻo Vicarious ʻo ia ke kūkulu ʻana i kahi pūnaewele neural hiki ke hoʻopili i ka ʻāpana o ka lolo kanaka e hoʻomalu i ka ʻike, ka neʻe ʻana o ke kino a me ka ʻōlelo.

Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Co-founder ʻo Scott Phoenix ke hoʻāʻo nei ka hui e "kūkulu i kahi kamepiula e manaʻo like me ke kanaka, koe wale nō ʻaʻole pono e ʻai a hiamoe." ʻO ka manaʻo nui o Vicarious i kēia manawa aia ma ka ʻike ʻike mea ʻike: ma mua me nā kiʻi, a laila me nā wikiō, a laila me nā ʻano ʻē aʻe o ka naʻauao kanaka a me ke aʻo ʻana. ʻO ka mea hoʻokumu ʻo Dileep George, ʻo ia ka mea noiʻi alakaʻi ma Numenta, ua koʻikoʻi ʻo ia i ka nānā ʻana o ka hoʻoili ʻikepili perceptual i ka hana a ka hui. ʻO ka hoʻolālā e hana hope i kahi mīkini hiki ke aʻo i ka "noʻonoʻo" ma o ke ʻano o nā algorithms pono a mālama ʻole ʻia. ʻO kaʻoiaʻiʻo, he mea weliweli kēia i nā kānaka.

No nā makahiki, hiki i ka hiki ke lilo ʻo AI i ʻāpana o ke ola maoli ua huki koke i nā kuhikuhi Hollywood. Ma luna o nā hopohopo e pili ana i nā hana kanaka i nalowale i nā robots, hopohopo maoli ka poʻe ʻaʻole e liʻuliʻu ma mua o ka loaʻa ʻana iā mākou iho i kahi kūlana ʻaʻole like me nā mea i hōʻike ʻia ma ka Matrix. ʻO Tesla Motors a me PayPal co-hoʻokumu ʻo Elon Musk, he mea hoʻopukapuka hoʻi, i hōʻike i nā hopohopo e pili ana iā AI i kahi hālāwai ninaninau CNBC.

"Makemake au e makaʻala wale i nā mea e hana nei me ka naʻauao hana," wahi a Musk. "Manaʻo wau aia paha kahi hopena weliweli ma laila. Aia nā kiʻiʻoniʻoni e pili ana i kēia, ʻike ʻoe, e like me Terminator. Aia kekahi mau hopena weliweli. A e hoʻāʻo mākou e hōʻoia i ka maikaʻi o nā hopena, ʻaʻole ʻino. "

Ua hoʻokomo ʻo Stephen Hawking i kāna mau keneta ʻelua, e hōʻoiaʻiʻo ana i ko mākou hopohopo e makaʻu mākou. ʻO kāna mau ʻōlelo hou ma ke kūʻokoʻa Ua alakaʻi ʻia i ka huhū media, e hoʻāla ana i nā poʻomanaʻo e like me Huffington Post's "Stephen Hawking is Terrified of Artificial Intelligence," a me MSNBC's brilliant "Artificial Intelligence Could End Mankind!" ʻOi aku ka liʻiliʻi o nā ʻōlelo a Hawking, ʻo ia ka ʻōlelo aʻoaʻo: "ʻO ka kūleʻa i ka hana ʻana iā AI ʻo ia ka hanana nui loa i ka mōʻaukala kanaka.

ʻO ka mea pōʻino, ʻo ia paha ka hope, ke ʻole mākou e aʻo pehea e pale aku ai i nā pilikia. ʻO ka hopena lōʻihi o AI e pili ana i ka hiki ke hoʻomalu ʻia. " ʻO kēia nīnau o ka "mana" i lawe mai i ka nui o nā mea hana pono lopako mai ka hana lāʻau, e kākoʻo ana i ke kūʻokoʻa robot, me ka ʻōlelo ʻana e hoʻāʻo e "hoʻomalu" i kēia mau mea noʻonoʻo e hana ʻino a nui i ke ʻano o ke kauā, a pono mākou e ʻae. manuahi nā robots a ola i ko lākou mau ola i ka mea hiki loa (ʻAe, aia kēia mau mea hana.)

Pono e hoʻopaʻa ʻia nā ʻōlelo āpau ma mua o ka lawe ʻia ʻana o nā kānaka. ʻO ka mea hoʻokahi, ʻaʻole ʻo Vicarious e hoʻokumu i kahi liona o nā robots e loaʻa nā manaʻo, nā manaʻo a me nā ʻano pilikino a i ʻole ka makemake e kū kūʻē i nā kānaka nāna i hana a lawe i ka honua. ʻAʻole hiki iā lākou ke hoʻomaopopo i ka ʻakaʻaka. I kēia manawa ua aneane hiki ʻole ke aʻo i nā kamepiula i kekahi mea e like me ke ʻano o ke alanui, ka "meaningfulness" o ke kanaka a me nā subtleties kanaka.

No ka laʻana, kahi papahana mai Stanford i kapa ʻia "Hohonu loa, "ʻo ia ka wehewehe ʻana i nā manaʻo kiʻiʻoniʻoni a hāʻawi i nā kiʻiʻoniʻoni i ka manamana lima a i ʻole ka manamana lima lalo, ʻaʻole hiki ke heluhelu i ka ʻōlelo hoʻomāʻewaʻewa a me ka hoʻohenehene. I ka hopena, ʻaʻole ʻōlelo ʻo Vicarious e pili ana i kahi simulation o ka ʻike kanaka. ʻO ka ʻōlelo ākea ākea e "manaʻo" nā kamepiula ʻo Vicarious e like me nā kānaka. Pono mākou e hana i kahi huaʻōlelo ʻē aʻe no ka "noʻonoʻo" ma kēia ʻano. Ke kamaʻilio nei mākou e pili ana i nā kamepiula hiki ke aʻo ma o ka ʻike ʻana - ma ka liʻiliʻi loa i kēia manawa.

No laila he aha ke ʻano o kēia? ʻO nā ʻano hana a mākou e neʻe maoli nei i nā hiʻohiʻona kūpono e like me ka ʻike maka, nā kaʻa kaʻa ponoʻī, ka maʻi lapaʻau, ka unuhi ʻana o nā kikokikona (hiki iā mākou ke hoʻohana i kahi mea ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi ma mua o ka unuhi Google, ma hope o nā mea āpau) a me ka hoʻohui ʻenehana. ʻO ka mea lapuwale o kēia mau mea a pau ʻaʻohe mea hou. Tech guru a me ka luna o ka Artificial General Intelligence Society, Dr. Ben Goertzel kuhikuhi i loko kona moʻomanaʻo, “Inā ʻoe i koho i nā pilikia ʻē aʻe e like me ka lilo ʻana i ʻelele kaʻa kaʻa ma ke alanui ʻo New York, kākau i kahi ʻatikala nūpepa e pili ana i kahi kūlana e ulu hou ana, ke aʻo ʻana i kahi ʻōlelo hou e pili ana i ka ʻike honua maoli, a i ʻole ka ʻike ʻana i nā hanana kanaka koʻikoʻi i waena o nā mea āpau. ka launa pū ʻana ma waena o ka poʻe i loko o ke keʻena lehulehu, a laila e ʻike ʻoe ʻaʻole maikaʻi loa nā ʻano helu helu [Machine Learning] o kēia lā.

Aia kekahi mau mea i maopopo ʻole i nā mīkini, a me kekahi mau mea hiki ʻole ke hopu ʻia i kahi algorithm. Ke ʻike nei mākou i kahi ʻano hype e holo ana i ka hau hau i hōʻoia nui ʻia, i ka liʻiliʻi loa, he fluff ka nui. Akā hiki i ka hype ke pilikia. Ma ke ʻano he Luna Hoʻokele o AI Research a me ka Luna Hoʻokumu o ka NYU Center for Data Science, ua hoʻolaha ʻo Yann LeCun i ka lehulehu. kāna ʻaoʻao Google+: "He mea weliweli ka hype i AI. Ua pepehi ʻo Hype iā AI ʻehā mau manawa i nā makahiki ʻelima i hala. Pono e hooki ʻia ʻo AI hype.

I ka wā i haki ai ʻo Vicarious i ka CAPTCHA i ka hāʻule hope loa, ua kānalua ʻo LeCun i ka huhū o ka media, e kuhikuhi ana i kekahi mau mea nui loa: "1. ʻO ka uhaki ʻana i nā CAPTCHA ʻaʻole ia he hana hoihoi, ke ʻole ʻoe he spammer; 2. He mea maʻalahi ke koi aku i ka kūleʻa ma kahi ʻikepili āu i kuke ai iā ʻoe iho. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo ia i ka poʻe nūpepa ʻenehana, "E ʻoluʻolu, mai manaʻoʻiʻo i nā ʻōlelo hoʻopiʻi a nā mea hoʻomaka AI ke ʻole lākou e hoʻopuka i nā hopena kiʻekiʻe ma nā pae i ʻae ʻia." nā loina helu o ka lolo kanaka," a i ʻole "recursive cortical network."

Ma nā kūlana o LeCun, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka hoʻomohala ʻana o AI. ʻOi aku kona manaʻoʻiʻo i ka hana a nā hui e like me Deep Mind, nona ka moʻolelo maikaʻi i nā puke hanohano a me ka hoʻomohala ʻenehana, a me kahi hui maikaʻi o nā ʻepekema a me nā ʻenekinia e hana ana no lākou. "Malia paha ua uku nui ʻo Google no Deep Mind," wahi a LeCun, "akā, ua loaʻa iā lākou kahi ʻāpana maikaʻi o ka poʻe akamai me ke kālā. ʻOkoʻa loa ka manaʻo o LeCun no Vicarious. "He uahi a me nā aniani ʻo Vicarious a pau," wahi āna. "ʻAʻohe o ka poʻe i hoʻopaʻa inoa (a inā loaʻa iā lākou kekahi, he mele mele no ka hyping a ʻaʻole hoʻopuka).

ʻAʻole lākou i hāʻawi i nā haʻawina i AI, aʻo mīkini a i ʻole ʻike kamepiula. ʻAʻohe ʻike e pili ana i nā ala a me nā algorithm a lākou e hoʻohana nei. A ʻaʻohe hopena ma nā ʻikepili maʻamau e hiki ke kōkua i ke kaiāulu e loiloi i ka maikaʻi o kā lākou mau ʻano. ʻO ka hype a pau. Nui nā hoʻomaka ʻana o AI/hohonu e hana i nā mea hoihoi (ʻo ka hapa nui o nā noi o nā ʻano hana i hoʻomohala hou ʻia ma ke kula). He mea kānalua iaʻu no ka hoihoi nui ʻana o Vicarious (a me ke kālā) me nā ʻōlelo hoʻopiʻi hewa ʻole.

Malia paha ʻo ka hoʻomanaʻo ʻana i nā neʻe ʻuhane pseudo-cult e komo ai ka poʻe kaulana. Hoʻolilo ia i ka mea holoʻokoʻa me he hokey liʻiliʻi a i ʻole he hapa paha. ʻO koʻu manaʻo, pehea ʻoe e hana nui ai i kahi hana e pili ana iā Ashton Kutcher a me kahi miliona mau kuhikuhi Terminator? I ka wā ma mua, ua hauʻoli nui ka hoʻolaha ʻana o ka media, hauʻoli paha ka poʻe paʻi i ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā huaʻōlelo e like me "biologically inspired processor" a me "quantum computation."

Akā i kēia manawa, ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o ka hype-machine e hoʻololi maʻalahi i ka mīkini. E like me kā Gary Marcus i kuhikuhi ai i kēia manawa ʻO ka New Yorker, ʻo ka nui o kēia mau moʻolelo "pilikia i ka maikaʻi loa," ʻaʻole maoli i ka hoʻopuka ʻana i nā mea hou a me ka rehashing ʻike e pili ana i ka ʻenehana i loaʻa iā mākou a hoʻohana. A ke hele nei kēia mau mea no mau makahiki. E nānā wale i ka Perceptron a hiki iā ʻoe ke loaʻa i ka manaʻo o ka ʻeleʻele maoli o kēia tech-train. ʻO kēlā ʻōlelo, ke lele nei ka poʻe waiwai ma luna o ke kaʻaahi kālā a ʻaʻole me he mea lā e kū koke ana.