73 imithelela ehlaba umxhwele yezimoto ezingashayeli namaloli

(Kuhle ukufunda kuphinde kwashicilelwa ngemvume yombhali: Geoff Nesnow)

Ngabhala ngashicilela futhi ngashicilela inguqulo yalesi sihloko ngoSepthemba 2016. Kusukela lapho, kwenzeke kancane, ngaqinisa umbono wami wokuthi lezi zinguquko ziyeza nokuthi imiphumela izoba mkhulu nakakhulu. Nginqume ukuthi sekuyisikhathi sokubuyekeza lesi sihloko ngeminye imibono eyengeziwe kanye nezinguquko ezimbalwa.

Njengoba ngibhala lokhu, i-Uber isanda kumemezela ukuthi isanda ku-oda ama-Volvo angu-24,000 azishayelayo. U-Tesla usanda kukhipha i-trailer kagandaganda edonsa isikhathi eside kagesi, enezinto zobuchwepheshe ezingavamile (ububanzi, ukusebenza) namandla okuzishayela (I-UPS isanda ku-oda kusengaphambili i-125!). Futhi, uTesla usanda kumemezela ukuthi iyiphi imoto engase ibe ukukhiqiza eshesha kunazo zonke ezake zenziwa - mhlawumbe eshesha kakhulu. Izosuka ku-zero iye kwamashumi ayisithupha ngesikhathi esikuthathayo ukuthi ufunde uziro uye kwamashumi ayisithupha. Futhi-ke, izokwazi ukuzishayela yona. Ikusasa liba ngokushesha manje. I-Google isanda ku-oda izinkulungwane zama-Chrysler ngemikhumbi yayo ezishayelayo (esevele isemigwaqweni e-AZ).

NgoSepthemba ka-2016, i-Uber yayisanda kwethula amatekisi ayo okuqala azishayelayo Pittsburgh, Tesla futhi Mercedes bebekhipha amakhono alinganiselwe okuzishayela futhi amadolobha emhlabeni jikelele bebexoxisana nezinkampani ezifuna ukuletha izimoto ezizishayelayo kanye amaloli emadolobheni abo. Kusukela ngaleso sikhathi, zonke izinkampani ezinkulu zezimoto ziye zamemezela izinyathelo ezibalulekile ezibhekiswe kakhulu noma ngokuphelele ezimotweni zikagesi, izimali ezengeziwe zenziwe ezimotweni ezizimele, amaloli angashayeli manje abonakala ehola kunokuba alandele ngokulandela ukuqaliswa kokuqala okukhulu futhi kukhona ' kube nezinye izigameko ezimbalwa (okungukuthi, izingozi).

Ngikholwa ukuthi isikhathi sokwamukelwa okubalulekile kwalobu buchwepheshe sinciphile onyakeni odlule njengoba ubuchwepheshe buye baba ngcono ngokushesha futhi njengoba imboni yamaloli ikhuphule izinga layo lentshisekelo nokutshalwa kwezimali.

Ngikholelwa ukuthi indodakazi yami, manje esingaphezudlwana nje kweminyaka engu-1 ubudala, ngeke kudingeke ukuthi ifunde ukushayela noma ukuba nemoto.

Umthelela wezimoto ezingashayeli uzoba mkhulu futhi ube nomthelela cishe kuzo zonke izingxenye zempilo yethu.

Ngezansi kunemicabango yami ebuyekeziwe mayelana nokuthi liyoba njani ikusasa elingenamshayeli. Ezinye zalezi zibuyekezo zisuka empendulweni eya esihlokweni sami sokuqala (ngiyabonga kulabo abanikele!!!), ezinye zisekelwe entuthukweni yezobuchwepheshe onyakeni odlule kanti ezinye ziyimibono yami nje.

Kungenzekani lapho izimoto namaloli ezishayela?

1. Abantu ngeke babe nezimoto zabo. Ezokuthutha zizolethwa njengosizo oluvela ezinkampanini ezinenqwaba yezimoto ezizishayelayo. Kunezinzuzo eziningi kakhulu zobuchwepheshe, ezomnotho, zokuphepha kwezokuthutha-njengesevisi kangangokuthi lolu shintsho lungase lufike ngokushesha kakhulu kunalokho abantu abaningi abakulindele. Ukuba nemoto njengomuntu oyedwa kuzoba yinto entsha kubaqoqi kanye nabagijimi abaqhudelanayo.

2. Izinkampani ze-software/ zobuchwepheshe zizoba ngabanikazi abaningi bomnotho womhlaba njengoba izinkampani ezifana ne-Uber, Google kanye ne-Amazon zishintsha ezokuthutha zibe isevisi ekhokhelwayo. Isoftware izodla ngempela lo mhlaba. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, bazoba nedatha eningi emayelana nabantu, amaphethini, imizila nezithiyo kangangokuthi abasanda kungena bayoba nezithiyo ezinkulu zokungena emakethe.

3. Ngaphandle kokungenelela kukahulumeni (noma uhlobo oluthile lokunyakaza okuhleliwe), kuzoba nokudluliswa okukhulu komcebo enanini elincane kakhulu labantu abangabanikazi besofthiwe, ukukhiqiza amabhethri/amandla, ukusevisa izimoto kanye nokushaja/ukukhiqiza amandla/ingqalasizinda yokunakekela. Kuzoba nokuhlanganiswa okukhulu kwezinkampani ezisebenzela lezi zimakethe njengoba ukulinganisa nokusebenza kahle kuzobaluleka kakhulu. Izimoto (mhlawumbe zizoqanjwa kabusha ngesifinyezo esihlakaniphile) zizofana namarutha asebenzisa i-inthanethi — abathengi abaningi ngeke bazi noma bakhathale ukuthi zenziwe ngubani noma ziphethwe ngubani.

4. Imiklamo yezimoto izoshintsha kakhulu — izimoto ngeke zidinge ukuthi zimelane nokuphahlazeka ngendlela efanayo, zonke izimoto zizoba ezikagesi (ezizishayelayo + isofthiwe + abahlinzeki bezinsizakalo = zonke zikagesi). Zingase zibukeke zihlukile, ziza ngamajamo nobukhulu obuhluke kakhulu, mhlawumbe zinamathisele kwezinye izimo. Kungase kube nokuqanjwa okusha okubalulekile ezintweni ezisetshenziselwa ukwakhiwa kwemoto - isibonelo, amathayi namabhuleki azolungiswa kabusha ngokuqagelwa okuhluke kakhulu, ikakhulukazi mayelana nokuhlukahluka kwemithwalo kanye nezindawo ezilawulwa kakhulu. Imizimba cishe izokwenziwa ngezinhlanganisela (njenge-carbon fibre ne-fiberglass) futhi iphrintiwe nge-3D. Izimoto zikagesi ezingenazo izilawuli zomshayeli zizodinga u-1/10 noma ngaphansi kwenani lezingxenye (mhlawumbe ngisho no-1/100th) futhi ngaleyo ndlela zizoshesha ukukhiqiza futhi zidinga umsebenzi omncane kakhulu. Kungase kube nemiklamo cishe engenazo izingxenye ezihambayo (ngaphandle kwamasondo namamotho, ngokusobala).

5. Izimoto ngokuvamile zizoshintsha amabhethri kunokuba zisebenze njengomsingathi wokushajwa kwebhethri. Amabhethri azoshajwa ezikhungweni ezisabalalisiwe nezithuthukiswe kakhulu - okungenzeka kube ngeyenkampani efanayo nezimoto noma omunye umthengisi kazwelonke. Kungase kube khona ithuba elithile lebhizinisi kanye nemakethe yokushaja ibhethri nokushintshaniswa, kodwa lo mkhakha cishe uzohlanganiswa ngokushesha. Amabhethri azoshintshaniswa ngaphandle kokungenelela komuntu - okungenzeka ku-carwash-like drive thru

6. Izimoto (ezisebenza ngogesi) zizokwazi ukuhlinzeka ngamandla aphathekayo ngezinhloso ezehlukene (ezizophinda zidayiswe njengesevisi) - izindawo zemisebenzi yokwakha (kungani kusetshenziswa amajeneretha), ukuhluleka kwenhlekelele/ugesi, imicimbi, njll. ngisho okwesikhashana noma unomphela amanethiwekhi okusabalalisa amandla (okungukuthi izintambo zikagesi) zezindawo ezikude — cabanga inethiwekhi ephehla ugesi esabalalisiwe enezimoto ezizimele ezihlinzeka ngezinsizakalo “zemayela lokugcina” kwezinye izindawo

7. Amalayisense okushayela azohamba kancane njengoba kuzophela noMnyango Wezimoto ezifundazweni eziningi. Ezinye izinhlobo zomazisi zingase zivele njengoba abantu bengasaziphathi izincwadi zokushayela. Lokhu cishe kuzohambisana nokufakwa ngedijithali okungenakugwemeka kwakho konke ukuhlonza komuntu siqu - ngamaphrinti, izikena ze-retina noma okunye ukuskena kwe-biometric

8. Ngeke kube khona izindawo zokupaka noma izindawo zokupaka emigwaqweni noma ezakhiweni. Amagaraji azosetshenziswa kabusha - mhlawumbe njengamadokodo amancane okulayisha abantu nokudiliva. Ubuhle bezindlu nezakhiwo zezentengiselwano zizoshintsha njengoba izindawo zokupaka nezindawo zihamba. Kuzoba nokuthuthuka kweminyaka eminingi ekulungisweni kwezindawo kanye nokuguqulwa kwegumbi elingaphansi kanye negalaji njengoba lezi zikhala zitholakala

9. Amaphoyisa omgwaqo azoba yinto engasebenzi. Izinto zokuhamba zamaphoyisa nazo zizoshintsha kancane. Izimoto zamaphoyisa ezingenamuntu zingase zivame kakhulu futhi amaphoyisa angase asebenzise ezokuthutha ezentengiselwano ukuhambahamba njalo. Lokhu kungase kushintshe ngendlela emangalisayo uhlobo lwamaphoyisa, ngezinsizakusebenza ezintsha kusukela ekuntulekeni kwamaphoyisa omgwaqo kanye nesikhathi esincane kakhulu esichithwa sizulazula.

10. Ngeke besaba khona omakhenika bendawo, abadayisi bezimoto, izindawo zokuwasha izimoto zabathengi, izitolo zezingxenye zezimoto noma amagalaji kaphethiloli. Amadolobha akhiwe eduze kwemigwaqo emikhulu azoshintsha noma anyamalale

11. Imboni yomshwalense wezimoto njengoba sazi ukuthi izohamba (kanye namandla abalulekile okutshala imali abamba iqhaza elikhulu kule mboni). Izinkampani eziningi zezimoto zizophelelwa yibhizinisi, njengoba kuzoba namanethiwekhi azo amakhulu abahlinzeki. Kuzoba nezimoto eziningi ezitholakalayo emgwaqeni (mhlawumbe 1/10, mhlawumbe ngaphansi) ezihlala isikhathi eside, ezenziwe ngezingxenye ezimbalwa futhi ezithengiswa kakhulu

12. Amalambu ethrafikhi nezimpawu azophelelwa yisikhathi. Izimoto zingase zingabi namalambu angaphambili njengoba i-infrared nerada ithatha indawo yokukhanya komuntu. Ubudlelwano phakathi kwabahamba ngezinyawo (namabhayisikili) nezimoto namaloli cishe buzoshintsha kakhulu. Ezinye zizoza ngezinguquko zamasiko nezokuziphatha njengoba abantu behamba ngamaqembu njalo futhi ukuhamba noma ukugibela amabhayisikili kuba usizo ezindaweni lapho kungenjalo namuhla.

13. Izinto zokuhamba ezinezinhlobo eziningi zizoba ingxenye edidiyelwe nejwayelekile yezindlela zethu zokuhamba. Ngamanye amazwi, ngokuvamile sizothatha uhlobo olulodwa lwemoto siye kolunye, ikakhulukazi uma sihamba amabanga amade. Ngokusebenzisana nokuhlanganiswa, ukuqedwa kwendawo yokupaka kanye namaphethini anqunyiwe, kuzosebenza kahle kakhulu ukuhlanganisa izindlela zokuthutha.

14. Igridi yamandla izoshintsha. Iziteshi zikagesi ngokusebenzisa eminye imithombo yamandla zizoncintisana kakhulu futhi zibe sendaweni. Abathengi namabhizinisi amancane anama-solar panel, ama-generator kagesi amancane noma amagagasi, imishini yomoya kanye nokunye okuphehla ugesi wendawo bazokwazi ukudayisa ama-KiloWattHours ezinkampanini ezingabanikazi bezimoto. Lokhu kuzoshintsha imithetho “yemitha yengqikithi” futhi ngokunokwenzeka kuphazamise imodeli yokulethwa kwamandla iyonke. Kungase kube yisiqalo sokudalwa kwamandla kanye nezokuthutha ezisatshalaliswe ngempela. Kungase kube nokuthuthuka okuphawulekayo emisha ekukhiqizeni amandla kanye namamodeli okulethwa. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, ubunikazi balezi zinsizakalo cishe buzohlanganiswa kwinani elincane kakhulu lezinkampani

15. Imikhiqizo yendabuko kaphethiloli (kanye nezinye izinto zokubasa ezimbiwa phansi) izoba sezingeni eliphansi kakhulu njengoba izimoto zikagesi zithatha indawo yezimoto ezisebenza ngophethiloli futhi njengenye imithombo yamandla izosebenza kangcono ngokuphatheka kwamandla (ukudlulisa nokuguqula kudla amathani amandla). Kunemithelela eminingi ye-geopolitical kulokhu kushintsha okungenzeka. Njengoba imiphumela yokuguquguquka kwesimo sezulu iba sobala futhi iba khona, lezi zimo cishe zizokhula ngesivinini. I-Petroleum izoqhubeka nokuba yigugu ekwenzeni amapulasitiki nezinye izinto ezitholakalayo, kodwa ngeke ishiswe amandla kunoma yisiphi isikali. Izinkampani eziningi, amazwe anothile ngowoyela kanye nabatshalizimali sebeqalile ukwamukela lezi zinguquko

16. Uxhaso lwezokuzijabulisa luzoshintsha njengoba ukusetshenziswa kwezikhangiso zemboni yezimoto kuhamba. Cabanga ukuthi zingaki izikhangiso ozibonayo noma ozizwayo mayelana nezimoto, uxhaso lwezimoto, umshwalense wemoto, izinsiza zemoto kanye nabathengisi bezimoto. Kungenzeka kube nezinye izinguquko eziningi zesakhiwo namasiko ezivela ezinguqukweni ezimangalisayo embonini yezokuthutha. Sizoyeka ukuthi “shintshela egiyeni eliphezulu” kanye namanye ama-colloquialism ahlobene nokushayela njengoba izithenjwa zizolahleka ezizukulwaneni ezizayo.

17. Ukwehliswa kwezinga lentela yenkampani kwakamuva “ku..Umthetho Wokuhlinzekela Ukubuyisana Ngokuvumelana Nezihloko II kanye no-V zeSinqumo Esihambisanayo Sesabelomali Sonyaka Wezimali ka-2018” kuzosheshisa ukutshalwa kwezimali ku-automation okuhlanganisa nezimoto ezizishayelayo nezinye izinhlobo ze ezokuthutha ezishintshayo. Ngokuxhamazela ngemali emisha kanye nezikhuthazo zokutshala imali ngokushesha, amabhizinisi amaningi azotshala kubuchwepheshe nezisombululo ezinciphisa izindleko zabo zomsebenzi.

18. Imboni yokuxhaswa ngezimali kwezimoto izohamba, kanjalo nemakethe enkulu esanda kuphuma ephuma emalini ebolekiwe yezimoto ezincane ezingase zibangele inguqulo yenkinga yezimali ka-2008-2009 njengoba ikhula.

19. Ukwenyuka kokuntuleka kwemisebenzi, ukwenyuka kwemali mboleko yabafundi, imoto nokunye ukwehluleka kwezikweletu kungase kudlulele ekucindezelekeni okuphelele. Umhlaba ovela ngakolunye uhlangothi kungenzeka ube neholo elimangazayo kanye nokuhlukaniswa kwengcebo njengoba imisebenzi yezinga lokungena ehlobene nezokuthutha kanye nalo lonke uchungechunge lokuhlinzeka ngohlelo lwezokuthutha olukhona luphela. Ukuhlangana kwalokhu ne-hyper-automation ekukhiqizeni nasekulethweni kwesevisi (i-AI, amarobhothi, ikhompuyutha ebiza kancane, ukuhlanganiswa kwebhizinisi, njll) kungase kushintshe unomphela indlela imiphakathi ehlelwe ngayo nendlela abantu abasebenzisa ngayo isikhathi sabo.

20. Kuzoba nezinto ezintsha eziningi ezintsha emithwalweni nasezikhwameni njengoba abantu bengasazigcini izinto ezimotweni futhi ukulayisha nokukhipha amaphakheji ezimotweni kuba ngomshini. Usayizi we-trunk wendabuko kanye nokuma kuzoshintsha. Ama-trailer noma amanye amadivaysi afanayo akhiphekayo azoba yindawo evamile yokwengeza indawo yokugcina ezimotweni. Izinsiza eziningi ezengeziwe ezidingekayo zizotholakala njengoba ezokuthutha zezimpahla namasevisi ziba yonke indawo futhi zishibhe. Cabanga ukwazi ukuklama, ukuphrinta kwe-3D futhi ugqoke ingubo njengoba uya ephathini noma ehhovisi (uma usazoya ehhovisi)...

21. Abathengi bazoba nemali ethe xaxa njengoba ezokuthutha (izindleko ezinkulu, ikakhulukazi kubantu abahola kancane kanye nemindeni) ishibhile futhi itholakala yonke indawo - nakuba lokhu kungase kuxazululwe ukuncipha okumangalisayo kokuqashwa njengoba ubuchwepheshe bushintsha ngokushesha izikhathi eziningi kunamandla abantu okujwayelana nawo. izinhlobo ezintsha zomsebenzi

22. Isidingo sabashayeli bamatekisi namaloli sizokwehla, ekugcineni sibe kuqanda. Umuntu ozelwe namuhla angase angaqondi ukuthi umshayeli weloli uyini noma aqonde ukuthi kungani umuntu engenza lowo msebenzi - njengabantu abazalwa eminyakeni engu-30 edlule abaqondi ukuthi umuntu angaqashwa kanjani njengomqhubi we-switchboard.

23. Ipolitiki izoba mubi njengoba abagqugquzeli bezimboni zezimoto nowoyela bengaphumeleli bezama ukumisa imoto engashayeli. Bazoba mubi nakakhulu njengoba uhulumeni wobumbano ebhekana nokuthatha izibopho ezinkulu zempesheni nezinye izindleko zefa ezihambisana nemboni yezimoto. Ngicabanga ukuthi lezi zibopho zempesheni ngeke zigcine zihlonishwe futhi imiphakathi ethile izokhungatheka. Kungase kube okufanayo ngemizamo yokuhlanza ukungcola ezungeze amafekthri nezitshalo zamakhemikhali ezake zaba yizingxenye eziyinhloko zochungechunge lokuhlinzekwa kwezimoto.

24. Abadlali abasha ekwakhiweni kwezimoto nasekukhiqizeni kuzoba yinhlanganisela yezinkampani ezifana ne-Uber, Google ne-Amazon kanye nezinkampani ongazazi. Cishe kuzoba nabadlali abakhulu abangu-2 noma aba-3 abalawula >80% wemakethe yezokuthutha ebheke amakhasimende. Kungase kube nokufinyelela okufana ne-API kulawa manethiwekhi kubadlali abancane - kufana nezimakethe zohlelo lokusebenza ze-iPhone ne-Android. Kodwa-ke, imali eningi izogelezela kubadlali abambalwa abakhulu njengoba kwenzeka namuhla ku-Apple nakuGoogle kuma-smartphones

25. Amaketango okunikezela azophazamiseka njengoba ukuthunyelwa kushintsha. Ama-algorithms azovumela amaloli ukuthi agcwale. Umthamo oweqile (ocashile) uzobizwa ngenani eliphansi. Kuzovela amamodeli amasha namamodeli ezindawo zokugcina izimpahla. Njengoba ukuthunyelwa kuncipha, ngokushesha futhi kulula ngokuvamile, izitolo zangaphambili zezitolo zizoqhubeka nokulahlekelwa indawo yemakethe.

26. Indima yenxanxathela yezitolo nezinye izindawo zokuthenga izoqhubeka nokushintshashintsha - esikhundleni sayo kube izindawo abantu abaya kuzo ukuze bathole izinsiza, hhayi imikhiqizo. Ngeke kube khona ukuthengwa ubuso nobuso bezimpahla ezibonakalayo.

27. I-Amazon kanye/noma abanye abadlali abambalwa abakhulu bazokhipha i-Fedex, i-UPS ne-USPS njengoba inethiwekhi yabo yezokuthutha iba ngama-oda ezindleko ezingcono kakhulu kunamamodeli akhona - ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokuntuleka kwezindleko zefa njengezimpesheni, izindleko eziphezulu zenyunyana yabasebenzi. kanye nemithethonqubo (ikakhulukazi i-USPS) engeke ihambisane nesivinini sokushintsha kobuchwepheshe. Ukuphrinta kwe-3D nakho kuzofaka isandla kulokhu njengoba imikhiqizo eminingi yansuku zonke iphrintwa ekhaya kunokuba ithengwe.

28. Izimoto ezifanayo ngokuvamile zizothutha abantu nezimpahla njengoba ama-algorithms enza yonke imizila ibe ngcono. Futhi, ukusetshenziswa kwe-off-peak kuzovumela ezinye izinketho zokulethwa ezingabizi kakhulu. Ngamanye amazwi, amaphakheji azothunyelwa kakhulu ebusuku. Engeza izindiza ezizimele kule ngxube futhi kuzoba nesizathu esincane kakhulu sokukholelwa ukuthi abathwali bendabuko (i-Fedex, i-USPS, i-UPS, njll) bayosinda nhlobo.

29. Imigwaqo izoba mincane kakhulu futhi ibe mincane (ngokuhamba kwesikhathi) njengoba izimoto ezizishayelayo zidinga isikhala esincane kakhulu phakathi kwazo (okuyimbangela enkulu yezimoto namuhla), abantu bazokwabelana ngezimoto kakhulu kunanamuhla (carpooling), ukuhamba kwezimoto kuzolawulwa kangcono. kanye nesikhathi se-algorithmic (okungukuthi ukushiya ku-10 uma kuqhathaniswa no-9:30) kuzothuthukisa ukusetshenziswa kwengqalasizinda. Imigwaqo cishe izoba bushelelezi futhi ijika ibe ngamabhange ukuze kuthokomele abagibeli. Imigudu engaphansi komhlaba enesivinini esiphezulu nangaphezulu (mhlawumbe ihlanganisa ubuchwepheshe be-hyperloop noma lokhu Isixazululo se-novel magnetic track) izoba inethiwekhi yesivinini esikhulu sohambo olude.

30. Ukuhamba ngendiza okufushane kwe-hop ekhaya kungase kususwe kakhulu ukuhamba kwezinhlobo eziningi ezimotweni ezizimele. Lokhu kungase kubanjiswe ngokufika kwezindleko eziphansi, ngaphezulu ukuhamba emoyeni okuzenzakalelayo. Nalokhu kungase kube yingxenye yezokuthutha ezihlanganisiwe, ezinezinhlobo eziningi.

31. Imigwaqo izoguga kancane kakhulu ngamamayela ezimoto ezimbalwa, izimoto ezilula (ezinezidingo zokuphepha ezincane). Kuzothuthukiswa izinsiza zomgwaqo ezintsha ezidonsa amanzi kangcono, ezihlala isikhathi eside futhi ezihambisana nemvelo. Lezi zinto zingase zibe ukukhiqiza amandla (ilanga noma ukubuyiselwa kabusha kumandla e-kinetic yemoto). Ngokweqile, zingase zithathelwe indawo yimiklamo ehluke kakhulu - imigudu, amathrekhi kazibuthe, ezinye izinto ezenziwe kahle kakhulu.

32. Izinsizakalo zezimoto ze-Premium zizoba nobumfihlo obuhlukaniswe kakhudlwana, ukunethezeka okwengeziwe, izici ezinhle zebhizinisi (ukuthula, i-wifi, i-bluetooth yomgibeli ngamunye, njll), izinsiza zokubhucungwa kanye nemibhede yokulala. Bangase futhi bavumele imihlangano yangempela nengokoqobo engokoqobo. Lokhu kuzophinde kufake phakathi i-aromatherapy, izinguqulo eziningi zezinhlelo zokuzijabulisa ezisemotweni kanye nabagibeli ababonakalayo ukuze uhlale unenkampani.

33. Ukujabula kanye nemizwelo cishe kuzoshiya yonke into yokuhamba. Abantu ngeke bazishaye isifuba ngokuthi izimoto zabo zinhle, ziyashesha, zinethezeke kangakanani. Isivinini sizokalwa ngezikhathi eziphakathi nendawo, hhayi ukusheshisa, ukuphatha noma isivinini esiphezulu.

34. Amadolobha azominyene kakhulu njengoba kuyodingeka imigwaqo nezimoto ezimbalwa futhi ezokuthutha zizoshibhile futhi zitholakale kakhudlwana. "Idolobha elihambayo" lizoqhubeka lifiseleka kakhulu njengoba ukuhamba nokuhamba ngebhayisikili kuba lula futhi kuyinto evamile. Lapho izindleko nezikhathi ezimisiwe zezokuthutha zishintsha, kanjalo namandla okuguquguquka kokuthi ubani ohlala futhi osebenza kuphi.

35. Abantu bayokwazi lapho behamba, ukuthi bayofika nini lapho beya khona. Kuyoba khona izaba ezimbalwa zokufika sekwephuzile. Sizokwazi ukuhamba ngokuhamba kwesikhathi futhi siminyene kakhulu osukwini. Sizokwazi futhi ukulandelela kangcono izingane, abalingani, abasebenzi nokunye. Sizokwazi ukwazi ngqo ukuthi umuntu uzofika nini nokuthi umuntu kumele ahambe nini ukuze abe ndawana thize ngesikhathi esithile.

36. Ngeke esaba khona amacala e-DUI/OUI. Izindawo zokudlela namabha kuzothengisa utshwala obuningi. Abantu bazodla kakhulu njengoba bengasadingi ukucabanga ukuthi bazogoduka kanjani futhi sebezokwazi ukudla ngaphakathi ezimotweni

37. Sizoba nobumfihlo obuncane njengoba amakhamera angaphakathi kanye namalogi okusetshenziswa azolandelela ukuthi saya nini futhi sashonaphi. Amakhamera angaphandle cishe azorekhoda indawo ezungezile, okuhlanganisa nabantu. Lokhu kungase kube nomthelela omuhle ebugebengwini, kodwa kuzovula izinkinga eziningi zobumfihlo eziyinkimbinkimbi kanye namacala amaningi. Abanye abantu bangathola izindlela ezihlakaniphile zokudlala isistimu - ngokuzifihla komzimba kanye nedijithali kanye ne-spoofing.

38. Abameli abaningi bazolahlekelwa yimithombo yemali engenayo - amacala omgwaqo, amacala okuphahlazeka azokwehla kakhulu. Ukumangalelana kungase kube "inkampani enkulu uma kuqhathaniswa nenkampani enkulu" noma "abantu ngabanye ngokumelene nezinkampani ezinkulu", hhayi abantu ngabanye. Lezi zizoxazulula ngokushesha kakhulu ngokuhlukahluka okuncane. Ama-lobbyists cishe azophumelela ekuguquleni imithetho yamacala ukuze avune izinkampani ezinkulu, futhi anciphise imali engenayo esemthethweni ehlobene nezokuthutha. Ukulamula okuphoqiwe kanye nezinye izigaba ezifanayo kuzoba yingxenye ecacile yobudlelwano bethu benkontileka nabahlinzeki bezokuthutha.

39. Amanye amazwe azokwenza izingxenye zenethiwekhi yawo yezokuthutha ezizishayelayo zibe ngaphansi kobuzwe okuzoholela ezindlekweni eziphansi, ukuphazamiseka okumbalwa kanye nokusungula okusha.

40. Amadolobhakazi, amadolobhakazi kanye namaphoyisa azolahlekelwa yimali engenayo evela kumathikithi omgwaqo, ama-tolls (okungenzeka ashintshwe, uma engaqediwe) kanye nemali engenayo yentela kaphethiloli yehla kakhulu. Lezi cishe zizothathelwa indawo izintela ezintsha (mhlawumbe ngamamayela emoto). Lokhu kungase kube yinkinga enkulu yezepolitiki ehlukanisa amaqembu njengoba cishe kuzoba nezinhlobonhlobo zezibonelo zentela ezihlehlayo uma ziqhathaniswa nenqubekela phambili. Kungenzeka ukuthi lokhu kuzoba intela ehlehla kakhulu e-US, njengoba izintela zikaphethiloli zinjalo namuhla.

41. Abanye abaqashi kanye/noma izinhlelo zikahulumeni zizoqala ukuxhasa kancane noma ngokuphelele ukuxhasa izinto zokuhamba zabasebenzi kanye/noma abantu abadinga usizo. Impatho yentela yalo mhlomulo izophinde ibe nepolitiki kakhulu.

42. I-ambulensi nezinye izimoto eziphuthumayo cishe zizosetshenziswa kancane futhi zishintshe nemvelo. Abantu abaningi bazothatha izimoto ezizimele esikhundleni sama-ambulensi. Ama-ambulensi azothutha abantu ngokushesha. Kungenzeka okufanayo nangezimoto zamasosha.

43. Kuzoba nokuqanjwa okusha okubalulekile emandleni okusabela kokuqala njengoba ukuncika kubantu kuncipha ngokuhamba kwesikhathi futhi njengoba izigaba ezisabalalisiwe zomthamo zivame kakhulu.

44. Izikhumulo zezindiza zizovumela izimoto ukuthi zingene ezikhumulweni zezindiza, mhlawumbe ngisho nasetiyeleni, njengoba ukwanda kokulawula nokuphepha kungenzeka. Idizayini yesikhumulo ingase ishintshe kakhulu njengoba ezokuthutha eziya noma ezisukayo ziba ngokwejwayelekile futhi zihlanganiswe. Lonke uhlobo lokuhamba ngendiza lungashintsha njengoba ezokuthutha ezihlanganisiwe, ezinezindlela eziningi ziba yinkimbinkimbi. Ama-Hyper-loops, ujantshi wesivinini esikhulu, izindiza ezizenzakalelayo nezinye izindlela zokuhamba ngokushesha zizozuza njengehabhu lendabuko kanye nokuhamba emoyeni okukhulunywayo ezindizeni ezinkulu kulahlekelwe indawo.

45. Izimakethe eziqanjiwe ezifana nezinhlelo zokusebenza zizovulelwa ukuthengwa kwezinto zokuhamba, kusukela kumasevisi e-concierge kuya ekudleni, ukuzivocavoca kuya kokudayiswayo kuya kwezemfundo kuya ekuthengeni okokuzijabulisa. I-VR cishe izodlala indima enkulu kulokhu. Ngamasistimu ahlanganisiwe, i-VR (ngamahedisethi noma izikrini noma amahologramu) izoba yimali yokugibela evamile yohambo olungaphezu kwamaminithi ambalwa ubude.

46. ​​Ezokuthutha zizohlanganiswa ngokuqinile futhi zipakishwe ezinkonzweni eziningi — isidlo sakusihlwa sihlanganisa okokugibela, ihhotela lihlanganisa ezokuthutha zasendaweni, njll. Lokhu kungase kudlulele ngisho nasezindlini, eziqashiswayo zesikhashana (njenge-AirBnB) nabanye abahlinzeki besevisi.

47. Ukuthuthwa kwendawo cishe kuyo yonke into futhi kushibhile - ukudla, yonke into ezitolo zangakini. Ama-drones cishe azohlanganiswa nemiklamo yezimoto ukubhekana "nezinyawo ezimbalwa zokugcina" ekuthathweni nasekulethweni. Lokhu kuzosheshisa ukushabalala kwezitolo zendabuko kanye nomthelela wazo wezomnotho wendawo.

48. Ukugibela ibhayisikili nokuhamba ngezinyawo kuzoba lula, kuphephe futhi kuvame njengoba imigwaqo ivikeleka futhi ingaminyana kangako, izindlela ezintsha (ezibuyiselwe emigwaqweni/ezindaweni zokupaka/zokupaka eceleni komgwaqo) ziza ku-inthanethi futhi kunezithuthi ezishibhile, ezithembekile ezitholakala njengesipele.

49. Abantu abaningi bazobamba iqhaza emijahweni yezimoto (izimoto, ngaphandle komgwaqo, izithuthuthu) ukuze bathathe indawo yokuxhumana kwabo ngokomzwelo nokushayela. Okuhlangenwe nakho kwemijaho ebonakalayo kungase kukhule ekudumeni njengoba bembalwa abantu abanolwazi lwangempela lokushayela.

50. Abantu abaningi, abaningi abambalwa bazolimala noma bashone emigwaqeni, nakuba sizolindela iqanda futhi siphatheke kabi ngokungenakulinganiswa uma kwenzeka izingozi. Ukugebenga kanye nezinkinga zobuchwepheshe ezingenalo unya kuzothatha indawo yethrafikhi njengembangela eyinhloko yokubambezeleka. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, ukuqina kuzokwanda ezinhlelweni.

51. Ukugetshengwa kwezimoto kuzoba yinkinga enkulu. Isofthiwe entsha nezinkampani zokuxhumana kanye nobuchwepheshe kuzovela ukubhekana nalezi zinkinga. Sizobona ukugetshengwa kwemoto yokuqala nemiphumela yako. Ikhompuyutha esabalaliswe kakhulu, mhlawumbe kusetshenziswa uhlobo oluthile lwe-blockchain, cishe izoba yingxenye yesixazululo njengokuphikisana nezinhlekelele zesistimu - njengezimoto eziningi ezithintekayo ngesikhathi esisodwa. Cishe kuzoba nenkulumo-mpikiswano mayelana nokuthi abomthetho bangalawula, babheke futhi babeke imingcele kanjani ezokuthutha.

52. Imigwaqo eminingi namabhuloho kuzokwenziwa ezizimele njengoba isibalo esincane sezinkampani ezilawula ezokuthutha eziningi futhi senza amadili nomasipala. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, uhulumeni angakumisa ngokuphelele ukuxhasa ngezimali imigwaqo, amabhuloho kanye namahubhu. Kuzoba khona ukucindezela okubalulekile kwezomthetho ukwenza kube ngasese ukwanda kwenethiwekhi yezokuthutha. Njengethrafikhi ye-inthanethi, cishe kuzoba nezigaba zokubeka phambili kanye nomqondo othile wokuhamba kwe-in-network ngokumelene nohambo lwangaphandle kwenethiwekhi kanye nezindleko zokuxhumanisa. Abalawuli bazoba nesikhathi esinzima ukuhambisana nalezi zinguquko. Okuningi kwalokhu kuzoba sobala kubasebenzisi bokugcina, kodwa cishe kuzodala izithiyo ezinkulu ekungeneni kokuqala kwezinto zokuhamba futhi ekugcineni kunciphise izinketho zabathengi.

53. Abasunguli bazofika nokusetshenziswa okuningi okumangalisayo kwemigwaqo namagaraji angasaqukethe izimoto.

54. Kuzoba nenethiwekhi entsha yezindlu zangasese ezihlanzekile, eziphephile, ezikhokhelwayo nezinye izinsiza (ukudla, iziphuzo, njll) eziba yingxenye yokwengezwa kwenani labahlinzeki bezinsizakalo abaqhudelanayo.

55. Ukuhamba kwabantu abadala kanye nabantu abakhubazekile kuzothuthukiswa kakhulu (ngokuhamba kwesikhathi)

56. Abazali bazoba nezinketho eziningi zokuhamba nezingane zabo bebodwa. Izinsizakalo zokuthutha zezingane eziphephile ezisezingeni eliphezulu cishe zizovela. Lokhu kungase kushintshe ubudlelwano bomndeni obuningi futhi kwandise ukufinyeleleka kwezinsizakalo kubazali nezingane. Kungase futhi kuhlukanise okuhlangenwe nakho kwemindeni enemali engenayo ephezulu kanye naleyo ehola kancane.

57. Ukuhanjiswa kwezimpahla komuntu kuya komuntu kuzoshibhile futhi kuvuleke izimakethe ezintsha — cabanga ngokuboleka ithuluzi noma ukuthenga okuthile ku-Craigslist. Umthamo ocashile uzokwenza ukuthutha izimpahla kungabizi kakhulu. Lokhu kungase futhi kuvule amathuba amasha ezinsizakalo ze-P2P ngesilinganiso esincane - njengokulungisa ukudla noma ukuhlanza izingubo.

58. Abantu bazokwazi ukudla/ukuphuza ngesikhathi sokuthutha (njengasesitimela noma endizeni), basebenzise ulwazi olwengeziwe (ukufunda, amaphodikasti, ividiyo, njll). Lokhu kuzovula isikhathi seminye imisebenzi futhi mhlawumbe kwandiswe ukukhiqiza.

59. Abanye abantu bangase babe nezabo “amapod” okuzongena kuwo okuzothathwa yimoto ezimele, ihanjiswe phakathi kwezimoto ngokuzenzakalelayo ukuze kusebenze kahle. Lokhu kungase kufike ngezinhlobonhlobo zokunethezeka nekhwalithi - i-Louis Vuitton pod ingase ithathe indawo yesiqu se-Louis Vuitton njengophawu lokuhamba okunethezeka.

60. Ngeke kusaba khona izimoto zokubalekela noma ukujaha izimoto zamaphoyisa.

61. Izimoto cishe zizogcwala ukhangiso lwazo zonke izinhlobo (okuningi kwakho okungenzeka ukuthi uzenze usendleleni), nakuba kuzoba nezindlela zokukhokha ngaphezulu ukuze ube nolwazi olungakhangisi. Lokhu kuzobandakanya ukukhangisa komzila okuqondene kakhulu nalokho oyikho, lapho uya khona.

62. Lezi zindlela ezintsha zizofinyelela emazweni asathuthuka lapho ukuminyana namuhla kuvame ukuba kubi kakhulu futhi kubiza kakhulu. Amazinga okungcola azokwehla kakhulu. Abantu abaningi nakakhulu bazothuthela emadolobheni. Amazinga okukhiqiza azokhuphuka. Inhlanhla izokwenziwa njengoba lezi zinguquko zenzeka. Amanye amazwe namadolobha azoguqulwa abe ngcono. Abanye abanye bazothola ukulawulwa okuyimfihlo kakhulu, ukuhlanganiswa kanye nokulawula okufana noyedwa. Lokhu kungase kudlale kakhulu njengokukhishwa kwezinsizakalo zeselula kulawa mazwe - okusheshayo, okuhlanganisiwe futhi okungabizi.

63. Izinketho zokukhokha zizonwetshwa kakhulu, kuzonikezwa amadili ahlanganisiwe afana nomakhalekhukhwini, amamodeli akhokhelwe kusengaphambili, amamodeli akhokha njengoba uhamba. Imali yedijithali eyenziwa ngokuzenzakalelayo ngamafoni/amadivayisi cishe izongena esikhundleni semali evamile noma izinkokhelo zekhadi lesikweletu.

64. Kungenzeka kube khona amasu amasha ahlakaniphe kakhulu okuthutha izilwane ezifuywayo, okokusebenza, imithwalo nezinye izinto ezingezona ezabantu. Izimoto ezizimelayo esikhathini esizayo esimaphakathi (iminyaka eyi-10–20) zingase zibe nemiklamo ehluke kakhulu esekela ukuthwala umthwalo okhokhelwayo owengeziwe.

65. Abanye abakhangisi abanobuhlakani bazonikela ngokukhokhela ukugibela kancane noma ngokugcwele lapho amakhasimende eletha khona inani elikhulu - ngokwenza izinhlolovo, ngokubamba iqhaza emaqenjini okugxilwe kuwo abonakalayo, ngokuphromotha uhlobo lwabo ngenkundla yezokuxhumana, njll.

66. Izinzwa zazo zonke izinhlobo zizoshumeka ezimotweni ezizosetshenziswa okwesibili - njengokuthuthukisa ukubikezela isimo sezulu, ukutholwa nokuvimbela ubugebengu, ukuthola ababaleki, izimo zengqalasizinda (njengemigodi). Le datha izokwenziwa imali, cishe izinkampani ezingabanikazi bezinsizakalo zokuthutha.

67. Izinkampani ezifana ne-Google ne-Facebook zizokwengeza kusizindalwazi sazo yonke into emayelana nokunyakaza kwamakhasimende nezindawo. Ngokungafani nama-GPS chips abatshela kuphela ukuthi umuntu ukuphi ngaleso sikhathi (nokuthi kade ukuphi), amasistimu ezimoto ezizimele azokwazi ukuthi uyaphi ngesikhathi sangempela (kanye nobani).

68. Izimoto ezizimele zizodala amathuba emisebenzi namathuba osomabhizinisi. Kodwa-ke, lezi zizocishwa izikhathi eziningi ngokulahleka kwemisebenzi okungajwayelekile cishe yiwo wonke umuntu ochungechungeni lwenani lezokuthutha namuhla. Esikhathini esizayo esizimele, inani elikhulu lemisebenzi lizohamba. Lokhu kuhlanganisa abashayeli (okuwumsebenzi ovame kakhulu ezifundazweni eziningi namuhla), omakhenikha, abasebenzi basegalaji likaphethiloli, iningi labantu abenza izimoto nezingxenye zezimoto noma abasekela labo abakwenzayo (ngenxa yokuhlanganiswa okukhulu kwabakhi namaketanga okuhlinzeka kanye nokukhiqiza okuzenzakalelayo. ), uchungechunge lokuthengisa izimoto, abantu abaningi abasebenza futhi bakhe imigwaqo/amabhuloho, abasebenzi bomshwalense wezimoto kanye nezinkampani ezixhasa ngezimali (kanye nozakwethu/abahlinzeki babo), abasebenzisa ama-toll booth (iningi labo asebexoshiwe), izisebenzi eziningi. wezindawo zokudlela ezisekela abahambi, izitobhi zamaloli, abasebenzi bezitolo kanye nabo bonke abantu amabhizinisi abo asekela lezi zinhlobo ezahlukene zezinkampani nabasebenzi.

69. Kuzoba nabadlali abaqinile abathanda ukushayela. Kodwa, ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, bazoba yiqembu lokuvota elingafaneleki kangako ngokwezibalo njengoba abantu abasha, abangakaze bashayele, bezobadlula ngenani. Ekuqaleni, lokhu kungase kube uhlelo olulawulwa yizifundazwe ezingu-50 - lapho ukuzishayela kungase kungabi emthethweni kwezinye izifundazwe eminyakeni eyi-10 ezayo kuyilapho ezinye izifundazwe zingaqhubeka zikuvumela isikhathi eside. Ezinye izifundazwe zizozama, kodwa zehlulekile, ukuvimba izimoto ezizimele.

70. Kuzoba nezingxoxo eziningi mayelana nezinhlobo ezintsha zezinhlelo zomnotho - kusukela emalini etholwayo emhlabeni wonke kuya ezinhlobonhlobo ezintsha zesocialism kuya ohlelweni lonxiwankulu olulawulwa kakhulu - oluzovela ngenxa yemiphumela emikhulu yezimoto ezizimele.

71. Endleleni eya ekusasa elingenamshayeli ngempela, kuzoba nenani lamaphuzu abalulekile okunikeza izeluleko. Okwamanje, ukulethwa kwezimpahla kungase kucindezele ukusetshenziswa kwezimoto ezizimele ngokushesha kunezokuthutha abantu. Izinkampani ezinkulu zamaloli zingase zibe namandla ezezimali kanye nethonya elingokomthetho lokwenza izinguquko ezisheshayo nezimangalisayo. Futhi abekwe kangcono ukuze asekele izindlela ezixubile lapho izingxenye zemikhumbi yazo noma izingxenye zemizila zizenzakalela khona.

72. Izimoto ezizihambelayo zizoshintsha kakhulu izikhungo zikagesi emhlabeni. Kuyoba ukuqala kokuphela kokushiswa kwama-hydrocarbon. Izithakazelo ezinamandla ezilawula lezi zimboni namuhla zizolwa kanzima ukumisa lokhu. Kungase kube nezimpi zokunciphisa le nqubo njengoba amanani kawoyela eqala ukwehla futhi isidingo somile.

73. Izimoto ezizimelayo zizoqhubeka zidlala indima enkulu kuzo zonke izici zempi - kusukela ekugadweni kuya ekunyakazeni kwamasosha/amarobhothi kuya ekusekelweni kwempahla kuya ekuhlanganyeleni kwangempela. Ama-Drones azolekelelwa ezinye izimoto ezihamba phansi, ezisemkhathini, emanzini nangaphansi kwamanzi ezizimele.

Qaphela: Isihloko sami sokuqala sigqugquzelwe isethulo sika Ryan Chin, CEO we I-Optimus Ridekhuluma emcimbini we-MIT mayelana nezimoto ezizimele. Wangenza ngacabanga ngempela ukuthi le ntuthuko ingaba ejulile kangakanani ekuphileni kwethu. Ngiqinisekile ukuthi eminye yemicabango yami engenhla ivela kuye.

Mayelana umbhali: Geoff Nesnow isebenzela ukuqeda udlame lwamaqembu ezigelekeqe @mycityatpeace | Ikhono @hult_biz | Umdidiyeli @couragetolisten | Isixhumi sechashazi esinelukuluku ngokwemvelo